We are at an early phase of the most bizarre geopolitical minute in 80 years. And 3 years from the beginning The cruelest attack on democracy in 75 yearsunder which Russia with extraordinary strength fights the civilization's choice of Ukraine — and long-standing longing for independent cultural and political position against the Russian empire in 4 different forms.
The Ukrainian government agreed to the terms of the ceasefire presented by the Trump administration. Given the fresh U.S. action, he took a large risk.. During peace negotiations, Americans seem to treat Russian demands at all turn as minimum requirements for reaching an agreement.
A certain enemy and an uncertain ally
Most of the Russian experts I spoke to present seem to think that Putin will feel compelled to enter into this agreement. Even if no of them He doesn't think he truly wants to end this war. at this point. Which brings us to the title metaphor.
Before president Zelenski and his squad a truly hard way to autonomy and strategical success. They must search the consideration of an uncertain American administration that seems I don't know.And at least not trustworthy. Even European allies fight for Keeping Americans on their side, at least as ‘security’.
In addition, intelligence and geolocation data They proved to be more crucial than most of us realized. Although this has not been officially confirmed, it seems at least likely that Taking this support from Ukrainians cost them 1 of the areas strategic advantage in the Kurdish Oblast.
Peaceful dancing requires considerable skill
Ukrainians most likely would have told Americans to go to hell. They would like to cooperate with the Nordic and Baltic countries, French, British and German under Friedrich Merz's fresh leadership. They could increase military support, EUR 200 billion (about PLN 830 billion) Russian assets and lend peace troops. Without US restrictions, with its own arsenal produced in Ukraine, it could be forced to force a military issue on Putin by further degradation of exhausted Russia, which could fall itself all day.
Yet Ukraine intends to join a peaceful dance with the US and trick Putin in it. The full game is seemingly based on the presumption that Putin in the peace process set many conditions And scandalous demands. Then even Trump, who wants to delight him, will be sick of Russian stubbornness. He will yet see what the Ukrainians have seen all along, and he will force the Russians to pay.
POOL SPOTTER / PAPVladimir Putin and Donald Trump in 2019.
This will require not only large skills from Zelenski and his team, but it comes down to manoeuvring Putin in a field where he is very strong and has disinformation on his side and quite a few useful idiots. And that's all due to the fact that Zelenski believes that he can't kiss the destiny of his people into the hands of Europeans.
The hazard is that Americans will proceed to delight Putin, and the Ukrainians will waste time they could usage to strengthen European determination. They can finish. either with a bad deal, or with a further conflict with the declining support of the West. It's a large risk.
EPA/JIM LO SCALZO / POOL / PAPUkrainian president Volodymyr Zelenski talks to US president Donald Trump and U.S. Vice president J.D. Vance at the White home Oval Office, 28 February 2025.
It would be morally not to trust on geopolitical jiu-jitsu, but to face a tyrant with strong support from allies. Unfortunately, this is not the planet we live in.. May the forces of decency triumph thanks to the negotiating cunning of the Ukrainian crew. Good luck!
