President Donald Trump's administration must organize its approach to regional allies from the Indo-Pacific area, while preparing for a long-term confrontation with China. In this case, will they pass a business test on tricks that the president of the United States is trying to re-build relations with the remainder of the world? The Asian offensive of the USA is already visible, and its orbit includes, among others, the Philippines and Vietnam.
The fact that president Donald Trump looks at the strategical rivalry of the US–PRC as the major challenge of American safety policy should not be amazing to anyone who is even a small bit curious in global policy. A small different is the question of the kind and methods he uses, due to the fact that these can surprise and affect the effectiveness of this policy.
During his first term, Trump started a trade war with China, with any success in it. Among another things, he managed to convince any allies to limit the introduction of Chinese technologies to key sectors of the economy (e.g. 5G technology). However, the unprecedentedness of the then president of the United States, manifested e.g. in an open request to buy U.S. weapons in exchange for maintaining the safety guarantee, with today's kind of politics may seem simply innocent. possibly it will not be exaggerated to say that the customs war that has been started is simply a full war, though not in terms of tools, but in terms of scale. It is directed against all – rivals (China), neighbours (Canada and Mexico) and allies (including the European Union). On the another hand, we are dealing with a number of returns: imposition of duties, suspension of duties for a period of time, condition of their maintenance... It's easy to lose focus. However, it seems that China is determined to, unless it wins in this clash, at least be a organization that will lose less.
Kurt Campbell, U.S. Deputy Secretary of State in Joe Biden's office, late said that the fresh administration must be careful that America's first policy does not lead to a situation where the United States will stand alone against global challenges. It seems that the current White home host, on the 1 hand, is aware of this, but on the other, uses methods that have brought him success in business relations. These, however, do not warrant effectiveness in policy.
It is certain that the Asian US offensive is already visible. First of all, this concerns Strengthening relations with the Philippines, the main victim of Chinese territorial claims in the South China Sea. There are at least respective examples. Last year, the U.S. deployed Typhoon rocket kits in the archipelago. At that time, Indo-Pacific Command Adm. Samuel Paparo assured that the US Navy was ready to support the Philippines Navy in operations within their exclusive economical zone. This policy is likely to continue. In the waters of the Philippines, the largest naval exercises Manila has organized together with the US are underway. During maneuvers on the Batanes Islands, sets of NEMESIS antiship missiles were deployed.
But that is not all. The U.S. besides plans to get additional land (2–3 ha) close Clark base, which would be utilized under retention for air force and Marine Corps. The Philippines is expected to receive 0.5 billion dollars in military aid by 2029. The State Department has late besides approved the sale of F-16 fighters (a $5.6 billion contract).
He besides returns, although for now without authoritative confirmation, the issue of selling 24 aircraft of this kind to Vietnam. On the 1 hand, this would mean a weakening of Russia's position, which provides Hanoi with a vast majority of weapons, and on the another hand would be a clear informing signal for China. Vietnam is simply a desirable partner for the United States in the South East Asia region, although the rule of 4 ‘no’, which is guided by abroad policy (not to join military alliances, not to talk together with 1 country against another, not to consent to the establishment of abroad military bases in its territory, or to usage it to conduct military operations, and besides ‘no’ for the usage of force or threat of force in global relations) makes it incompatible with American policy for the region.
The future remains an interesting issue AUKUS, or agreements between the United States, large Britain and AustraliaThe nonsubjective is to get nuclear-powered submarines by the latter. As in the first term, Trump emphasizes the request to grow the US Navy, only that almost all US ship programs are delayed. And so in the case of frigate Constellation they can scope up to 3 years. In the case of Virginia-type submarines, which would go to Australia as a bridge solution until the alleged SSN-AUKUS was acquired, the rate of production required by the navy at the level of 2 ships per year would gotta increase to level 2.33. Only that American shipyards deficiency capacity. So will the United States be ready to share the ships they desperately lack? A decision consistent with the America first motto can indeed be misreceived by allies.
The fresh administration in the White home must organize its approach to regional allies from the Indo-Pacific area and at the same time prepare for a long-term confrontation with the mediate State. China had a fewer years to strengthen the thought of an economical clash with the US. And they are, it seems, prepared, as evidenced by the retaliatory decision to rise duties and calm communications about the impenetrableness of their further lifting erstwhile Trump threatened to retaliate for retaliation. The Chinese assurance he wrote in Samuel Huntington's "The Crash of Civilization" as well as Beijing's strategical patience will be a hard nut to crack for the impulsive U.S. President.
