Why did Kaczyński win the election? There are a fewer reasons. In my opinion, 1 of the main things is simply a certain knowing of demographic processes by the PiS leader. Not many politicians realize that. KPN leader Leszek Moczulski understood this perfectly once. He rather accurately predicted the expectations of young people who entered active life during the period of the end of the People's Poland. Another thing he couldn't take advantage of. They utilized it on the young. But the diagnosis was absolutely correct.
Poland has long since entered a period of demographic decline, which includes further parts of the globe. less people are little quantitative needs and only partial increases in quality. There's a increasing number of pensioners. It was essential to focus on this electorate, which is constantly increasing and disciplined. Kaczyński understood that through the wallet of pensioners he could win further elections. Retirers remembering erstwhile governments, in large part vote for the Law and Justice, due to the fact that their residual social is the only 1 they know in the 3rd Republic.
Kaczyński speaks the language of a large part of Polish pensioners. He rejects the various quirks that the Citizens' Coalition and what is called the Left have carried on the banners. The leader of the PiS plays the function of a clumsy neighbour with a cat who has the same problems as them. Pensioners realize the language code Kaczyński says.
So it is not amazing that after combining these 2 elements – social issues + language, a large proportion of seniors present are able to believe him any nonsense – specified as putinflation, Smolensk assassination or threat from Western and east neighbours.
Was that in politics? I don't think so. As in the Polish People's Republic, there came a fresh generation of Poles, whose expectations were different from their predecessors – so is the fresh generation, but pensioners. Their expectations are different too. It's not adequate for them to make a 13th and 14th salary, which is considered natural. They want more and better.
In addition to the residual social (although real) the SS did not deal with the remainder of the problems of Polish pensioners. The wellness situation is not improving. Getting to specialists frequently borders on a miracle. It's very hard to find a decent geriatric. Many seniors are anxiously observing rising prices in shops and feeling genuine anxiety erstwhile visiting pharmacies.
Older people no longer feel safe in Poland. any time ago, I spoke to old ladies in Brzeszcze, who invited “The Pilska Thought” to their meeting. Turns out the main concern isn't the bad guy waiting under the post office or the pharmacy to get his purse. “You know, I have 50 zlotys in my purse, I'll lose the most. It is not worth to struggle.” Older people fear the law and do not believe in justice. They are afraid of regulations, authoritative writings – due to the fact that it may be fraud (at best another raise). They are afraid to give their pesel or sign any paper – due to the fact that it may be a loan. They're afraid to call 911 due to the fact that they can be paid. They are afraid to go to any gathering – so that individual does not compression in any pots or installments.
The Law and Justice is simply a coloss on 2 pillars – social and fear. Both of them are slow breaking today. But politics mills in Poland are slow crushing the concrete political scene. Today, the real force of the Law and Justice is the deficiency of a social alternate to the regulation of this formation.
The social becomes social yesterday, and people will anticipate a fuller and wiser safeguard of old age. Fear of pandemic and war replaces the reality of poorness and inflation. PiS has no fresh ideas but to print money and submit to the United States. The parliamentary opposition completely does not realize the pains of Polish pensioners and with its economical and moral liberalism is no alternative. tiny ideological formations are formed – like the Polish Left Movement. Whether they win – it depends on many factors.
As a nation we match Estragon and Vladimir from Samuel Beckett's play “Waiting for Godot”. We know we gotta move, but we're inactive stuck.
Łukasz M. Jastrzębski
