Who's gonna win in the second round? fresh presidential poll

news.5v.pl 4 months ago

The latest poll shows the chances in the second circular of the presidential election of 4 candidates who in the erstwhile first circular survey gained the highest support.

These are: Rafał Trzaskowski (32%), Karol Nawrocki (24%), Sławomir Mentzen (15%) and Szymon Hołownia (9%).

Rafał Trzaskowski a second-round favorite

The results show that in all fight, the candidate of the Civic Coalition has the best chance of becoming the next president of Poland.

It is interesting, however, that it is not Karol Nawrocki and the Confederate candidate, Sławomir Mentzen, receives the best results in a duel with Rafał Trzaskowski.

SEE: Presidential election 2025. Simon Holovnia made a decision. "A run begins"

For this summary President of Warsaw can number on 54 percent support, a Sławomir Mentzen at 46 percent. The survey besides conducted more detailed studies on groups of candidates' voters.

According to the sex distinction, Confederate leader somewhat over half of men (54%), and more women (62%) vote for Rafał Trzaskowski. In the case of age groups, Mentzen collects more voters in group 40-49, in turn Trzaskowski 60+.

Karol Nawrocki weaker than Rafał Trzaskowski

Worse, though little, manages in clashing with the president of Warsaw citizen candidate supported by the Law and Justice Karol Nawrocki. According to the survey Trzaskowski wins 56 percent of the vote and the president of IPN 44 percent.

In the case of sex division, the situation is akin to that of Mentzen. Women (63%) would be more likely to vote for the Citizen Coalition candidate, and in the case of Nawrocki, the votes spread more equally (52%) men, 48% women).

The division of voters from age is somewhat different. In a clash with Karol Nawrocki, Rafał Trzaskowski has 68 percent support among young voters aged 25-29. The citizen candidate in turn is more popular among the group 40-49 years (54%)

Karol Nawrocki defeats Sławomir Mentzen

Despite the better possible consequence in the clash with Rafał Trzaskowski, Sławomir Mentzen would lose 47% to 53% in the second circular of Karol Nawrocki..

Women (61%) would more frequently vote for a candidate supported by the Law and Justice, and men (54%). Sławomir Mentzen gathers the most support among young voters in the group 18-39 years (65 percent). As many as 75 percent of people over the age of 60 would vote for Nawrocki.

Simon Holovnia better in clashes with Nawrock and Mentzen

According to the survey Speaker of the Sejm has a good chance of defeating both Karol Nawrocki and Sławomir MentzenIf they met in the second circular of elections.

In the event of a clash with the president of the IPN, the poll gives Holownia a triumph of 56 percent to 44 percent. Both politicians would receive 50% of men's votes, but the leader of the 3rd Way would receive 61% of women's votes.

Younger voters from the age group of 18-24 (64%), as well as 25-29 (65%), would besides be placed on the Holovnia. The survey besides shows that Nawrocki and Hołownia would fight for voters aged 40 to 49. In this group both have 50% support.

SEE: Marcin Kierwiński in the program “Graphiti”

Hołównia besides wins against Mentzen (54 percent to 46 percent). The survey indicates that Mentzen is more likely to vote for men (53%) and for Women's Holovnia (61%).

The division into age groups shows that Mentzen has more supporters among the young generation of 18-29 (55%), but Holovnia would support more older people in the 60+ group (62%).

Raphael Trzaskowki and Simon Holovnia. Clear winner

The leader of the 3rd Road, however, is much worse in the clash with Rafał Trzaskowski. The KO candidate would win 65 percent to 35 percent with the talker of the Sejm.

This is the only script where the candidate has greater support in both men and women. The president of Warsaw would receive 63 percent and 68 percent.

In the case of age groups, Trzaskowski is powerfully supported by the 60+ seniors. There he would have 82 percent of the vote. However, the Holovnia would fight for groups of 30-39 and 40-49 years, where it would receive 47 and 49 percent of the vote.

== sync, corrected by elderman ==

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