Donald Trump, against the background of his predecessors from the past fewer decades, has acted on the global phase as a "dove", not a "hawk". Rhetorically aggressive – sometimes even vulgar – was besides the president who tried to keep the US out of the war. Afghan – in his first word – "inherited" after Bush and Obama. He himself was against her, and it was for his presidency that the United States prepared to leave Afghanistan, although – due to Trump's failure in the 2020 election – the military withdrawal operation had already taken place during Joe Biden's tenure. So why did Trump decide to hit Iran now? And will the conflict spill to another countries?
Both between 2017 and 2021 and during the run in 2024, Trump and his environment stressed the request to retreat the US from the function of "world gendarme". Even at the expense of allied commitments, which was badly received in Europe, utilized to the American umbrella. Trump's attitude towards the war in Ukraine was besides in these categories of reasoning – The states were not only to halt engaging directly, but besides indirectly, through the supply of equipment and the financing of armed actions by another countries. “We have adequate problems at home, we gotta focus on them,” argued the Republican leader, and nevertheless frequently he misjudged the facts, this pacifist-isolationist rhetoric convinced millions of Americans to himself. And that's why they gave him another mandate to rule.
Sacrifice to Israel
When he took office again, ordered the armed forces to attack Yemeni rebels, but the action limited on a scale did not remove Trump's "peaceful" image. However, hitting Iran is simply a completely different matter. It is simply a cold shower for those who believed that the president of the United States would "not put the country into another brawl". any of the influential representatives of the MAGA ("Make America large Again", "let's make America large again", the run slogan of Republicans, whose acronym has become the name of a political environment centered around Trump) speaks of a "fail". I do not intend to go into the details of American interior policy, but this confusion is worth noting. The fact that Trump is volatile and unpredictable, we know not from today. But now his most bitter followers gotta face the awareness of this fact – so far they could lie or consider it an asset.
Let us, however, leave the dilemmas affecting the MEGA environment and effort to realize why Trump decided to attack Iran. I don't think hitting Iran's atomic objects is simply a prelude to any larger intervention. I let escalation – in the form of, for example, a multiweek bombing run – but there will surely not be a classical war involving land forces. After Iraq and Afghanistan, no 1 in Washington will take that risk. In my opinion, the White House's intention is to maximise Iran's weakness, so that it does not pose a serious threat to Israel. due to the fact that Israel is de facto about this country, it is for this country that the American president sacrifices his image of "goose". For Israel, he risks the anger of his own followers. He is not the first president of the United States, for which the endurance of the judaic state in the mediate East has an absolute priority. It has been part of the foundation of American abroad policy for almost 80 years.
Member of the establishment
Would Iran with atomic weapons pose an existential threat to Israel? In Washington and Jerusalem, they believe they do. Israelis have long warned that Iranians are close to building A bombs. “But they inactive don’t have it!” the allies of Tehran emphasize, accusing the Jews of lying like the 2003 American claims of Iraqi weapons of mass destruction. The fact is that if the alarming announcements of 2005 or 2010 were fulfilled, Iran would have had atomic weapons for years. But it is besides actual that Israel has been struggling for more than 2 decades to torpedo Iran’s atomic program. The method in this fight has so far been to assassinate (kill scientists) and to sabotage technological and digital. As a result, the efforts of the Iranians were delayed, but they were never definitively stopped. An open conflict with the usage of classical weapons offers more opportunities.
And the most method possibilities for destroying underground infrastructure are the United States, which has not yet quashed for hard, kinetic hits on Iran (which concerns current but besides earlier administrations). I don't believe in the opinions that Israeli Bomb run launched June 12 It was planned together with the Americans. I am convinced that Israel has put the U.S. before the fact that it has been done, went to war with Iran to show not only its own determination but besides the seriousness of the situation. Like a younger brother who got into a fight with an unpopular friend, weaker, but not adequate to make the result of the duel easy to predict. The older brother will not hazard wellness and younger life – this universal imperative applies to American-Israeli relations. Trump, although he denies the Washington establishment, is simply a part of it, speaks and thinks like the American elite.
