In a fresh interview with the TASS agency, Kremlowski political scientist Fiodor Łukjanov expressed the belief that there is no chance of a truce between Russia and Ukraine in the close future. Instead, Łukjanov suggested that the territory acquired during the current Russian aggression should be quelled by Russia. His statements were examined by the American Institute for War Studies.
In an interview that sparked large interest, Łukjanov stated that future peace negotiations should not focus on issues another than territorial issues. As the “roots of war”, he pointed out the expansion of NATO in east Europe, which took place in the 1990s and early 21st century. According to a political scientist, it was the extension of the Alliance's influence to the east that was the direct origin of the current conflict. Lukjanov went on to say that Russia's designation of the annexation of Ukrainian territories by the United States would be a key component of future negotiations.
Lukjanov suggests that the intent of the negotiations will be to force the US administration to recognise about 20% of Ukrainian territory as part of the Russian Federation. He besides stressed that the function of the United States in these talks would be crucial, and mediation should be aimed at obtaining a Russia-friendly solution. See besides how Łukjanov commented on Donald Trump's abroad policy, judging his administration as weak and easy to manipulate by the Kremlin.
Politologist noted that Trump showed greater vulnerability to Kremlin propaganda than his predecessor Joe Biden, and besides showed reluctance to affect the US in Ukrainian affairs, he would like to shed his work on Europe. In addition, he suggested that Trump, being a NATO critic, could agree to compromise against Russia, especially if the Alliance had withdrawn from east Europe. The ISW analysis shows that the intent of the interview with Lukjanov was to block increasing speculation about the anticipation of a truce with Ukraine in the close future.
The interview was so designed to dispel the hope that Russia would turn to negotiations in the short term. Fyodor Lukjanov is 1 of the most celebrated Cremolovian polytologists who reflects the views of Russian authorities internationally. As head of the Welsh Club, focusing leading analysts and global experts, he is considered an crucial voice of the Kremlin on abroad affairs. His actions are tolerated by Vladimir Putin, which highlights his close ties with Russian politics.
The figures indicate that more than 30,000 people have already died since the beginning of the conflict and over 5 million have been forced to leave their homes. Russia has already lost more than 10,000 soldiers, and Ukraine has lost more than 20,000. War costs are estimated at over $100 billion and Russia's economy has already lost more than 10% of its value.
NATO expansion in east Europe can be considered as 1 of the main reasons for the conflict. The Alliance extended its influence to the east by adopting fresh associate States, which caused Russia to feel threatened. Łukjanov suggests that Russia should retaliate around 20% of Ukraine's territory, which would consequence in a change of borders in the region. The United States should recognise these changes, which would benefit Russia.
Mediation in conflict will be crucial and the function of the United States will be decisive. Trump may be prone to concessions against Russia, which could origin changes in the region. Europe should be ready to work with Russia to resolve the conflict. Further negotiations will require cooperation between Russia, Ukraine and the United States to resolve this conflict.
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Russia and Ukraine: Is there a chance for a truce?
