The full North Korean military contingent, which supports Russia in the war in Ukraine, can be liquidated by April 2025 – provided experts from the Institute of War Research. Their losses on the front are counted at tens of thousands per month, so Moscow must scope for more meals.
The Pentagon and South Korean intelligence estimation that since October in Russia deployed by order Kim Jong Una About 12,000 North Korean soldiers. At least 300 of them were killed and over a 1000 injured.
Analysts of the Institute for War Studies (ISW) point out that fresh deployment North Korean troops will keep the current rate of infantry attacks in Chicken circuitBut it won't take long.
SEE: Zelenski with an offer for North Korean leader. The Kremlin reacted
Their losses can be incurred 30 to 45,000 soldiers a period – all killed and wounded. This means that, while maintaining this pace by mid-April of this year, the full quota may cease to exist.
If Moscow wants to keep the current dynamics, they must scope for additional support.
Losses of North Korean troops will rise. Additional forces needed
As the fresh York Times learned, in the US Department of defence additional North Korean forces will arrive in Russia “in the next 2 months” – i.e. until mid-March This year.
As “Ukrainian Pravda” reminds, fresh soldiers previously They needed about a month., before they found further exercises in the back of the front in November to join regular military activities only in December.
In December, the Joint Chiefs of Staff of South Korea reported that North Korea may be preparing to rotate or deploy additional forces in Ukraine and military equipment to Russia.
SEE: North Korean soldiers die on the front. "Family was forbidden to cry"
According to ISW analysts, if the usage of North Korean troops by Russia remains unchanged, The fresh quota will rapidly divide the old fate.
‘It is unlikely“In order for these fresh North Korean forces to be able to importantly improve Russian operations and likely to face the same advanced losses as the current North Korean contingent”, the experts stress.
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