Political earthquake in the fresh poll. 3 parties outside the Sejm

In the latest poll conducted by Opinia24, the Civic Coalition and Law and Justice go head-to-head, reaching almost identical results. Apart from the Sejm, however, there would be 3 another formations.


Opinion24 asked Poles whether they would participate in parliamentary elections if they were held next Sunday. 76 percent of respondents declared their willingness to vote, including 55 percent replied "yes" and 21 percent "more or little so".

The election would not be attended by 18 percent of respondents (including 10 percent 'no', 8 percent 'no'), while 6 percent had no opinion yet.

Civil Coalition and Law and Justice go head-to-head in a fresh poll

In this poll, the Civic Coalition can number on 29.3% support. It was followed by the Law and Justice with a score of 29.2%. The 3rd place was taken by the Confederate, which was indicated by 14.9 percent of respondents.

The 4th place in this ranking belongs to the Confederation of the Polish Crown with a consequence of 5.6 percent. Further were left (5%), Poland 2050 (4.7%), the full organization (3.9%) and the Polish People's organization (1.8%). The "other party" was indicated by 0.4% of respondents, and 5.2% could not find their choice.

Compared to the June study, KO gained 0.5 percent points and PiS 0.4 percent points. The largest increase was recorded by the Confederation (+1.1 percent points). The declines were recorded, among others, in the case of the Confederation of the Polish Crown (-1.3 percent points), the Left (-1.1 percent points) and the Together organization (-0.7 percent points).

Three political parties outside the Sejm

In the erstwhile poll Poland 2050 and PSL were inactive together as the 3rd Road, gaining 5.1 percent of support. erstwhile separated, individual results were below the electoral threshold.

According to Opinia24, the Sejm would not have 3 groups present present in the parliament: Poland 2050, PSL and organization Together.

The survey was conducted on 7-9 July 2025 on a typical group of 1003 adults of Poles by mixed-mode: telephone interviews CATI and online CAWI. The results concern only those who declared to participate in the vote (552 respondents).