Larry Johnson: Revealing Ukrainian Lies About Russian Victims

Source: https://sonar21.com/debunking-the-Ukrainian-claim-about-Russian-casualties/

Mantra, that Russia has suffered over a million casualties, is repeated to be bored by Donald Trump, media and members of Congress. This propaganda run is inactive being utilized to convince the public that Ukraine has a chance to fight Russia. But that's a lie. I intend to usage data comparing artillery missiles launched by Ukraine to those launched by Russia between 2022 and 2024. Why artillery? due to the fact that this weapon is the primary origin of the victims on both sides. Another major origin of death and wounds is drone attacks. For the purposes of this article, I will focus solely on artillery.

I asked DeepSeek and ChatGPT this question: How many artillery missiles did Ukraine fire in 2022, 2023 and 2024? I asked the same question about Russian missiles. (AI programs list Pentagon/NATO reports , RUSI/ISW analysis and media reports as sources of this data.) Here are the results:

Estimate number of shots fired in 2022:

In 2022 Ukraine faced a crucial shortage of artillery ammunition, but in highest periods it managed to fire around 3000-7000 rounds a day , depending on the war phase.

• Assuming average number of missiles fired per day of 4000 missiles Ukraine will most likely fire approximately 1.5 million artillery missiles in 2022.
• For comparison, Russia fired during the same period approximately 10–12 million rounds .

Estimated shots fired in 2023:

• Assuming average number of missiles fired per day of about 4500 Ukraine will most likely fire approximately 1.6 million artillery missiles in 2023.
• By comparison, Russia fired approximately 5-7 million missiles in 2023 (also struggling with limitations, but keeping more missiles fired).

Estimated usage of artillery in 2024

In 2024 the usage of artillery Ukraine will be importantly reduced due to ammunition shortages and supply chain problems.

• Daily Fire Speed : At the beginning of the year Ukrainian forces fired little than 1,800 artillery shells per day . The Cipher Brief
• Total per year : On the basis of this data, it can be concluded that Ukraine fired most likely from 650 000 to 750,000 artillery missiles .

In March 2024, estimates indicated that Russian forces fired around 10,000 artillery shells per day , while Ukrainian forces fired around 2000 missiles a day , which highlights a crucial disparity in artillery capabilities.

In 2024, Russian forces fired estimatedly from 12 to 17 million artillery missiles Ukraine. This figure reflects a crucial escalation of artillery usage compared to erstwhile years.

These are the indicators according to the years comparing the firing of Russian artillery to Ukrainian fire:

2022, Russia vs Ukraine — 7 to 1.

2023, Russia vs Ukraine — 4 to 1.

2024, Russia vs Ukraine — 23 to 1.

If we consider Russian air strikes utilizing glide bombs (i.e. FABS), multi-guided rocket launchers (MLRS), maneuvering and ballistic missiles, the likelihood of disproportionately large numbers of casualties on the Ukrainian side of the front line becomes unquestionable.

Russia suffered losses, but a fraction of those suffered by Ukrainians. MediaZonaoffers the best estimates for Russian missing in action as they collect and analyse obituaries from all Russian republics. These are data, not opinions. By MediaZona It is estimated that 165,000 Russian soldiers died in combat or from wounds sustained in combat. Ukraine, on the another hand, has lost more than 1 million people — any estimates say even 1.5 million killed. These numbers are consistent with artillery fire rates (and yes, I presume that the rocket fired by each side has the same chances of killing or mutilating soldiers on the another side).

Five months to 2025, disparity remains... Ukraine shoots an average of 5,000 a day, while Russia shoots an average of 30,000 a day. Ukraine, even with the unlimited support of NATO countries, cannot match Russia. This is what NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte, said NATO defence ministers in February:

"Today we will discuss the industrial base of the defence sector and how to produce more. We don't make enough. And this is simply a collective problem that we have, from the United States to Turkey inclusive, as well as across the European Union, Norway, the UK, we have a fantastic defence industry, but we do not produce enough," Rutte said.

Secretary General of the Alliance stressed That NATO does not produce adequate weapons compared to Moscow.

"No, I wanted to say that Russia produces ammunition within 3 months, as much as the full Alliance produces over a year, and that is simply not sustainable. We request to increase the production of the defence industry," said NATO Secretary-General.

The disparity between Russian and Ukrainian fires explains why Ukrainian losses are so high. It's a simple math question.