The polls before the second circular show that the election consequence on June 1st will be for the "jewels". The latest IBRiS survey for Polish Radio 24 turned out to be somewhat more favourable for Rafał Trzaskowski, who was supported by 45.7% of respondents. However, the advantage of the candidate KO is symbolic, as Karol Nawrocki won 44.9 percent of the vote.
The difference is only 0.8 percent points and falls within the limits of statistical error. The survey besides shows that the answers "I don't know/tough to say" were given by 7.8% of respondents. 1.6 percent refused to answer the question.
The survey of the Institute for marketplace and Social investigation of IBRiS on behalf of Polish Radio 24 was carried out on 25 May 2025 by CATI method on a typical nationwide example of 1070 people.
More information soon.