Mijanka Mentzena from Nawrock? “It’s like a self-fulfilling prophecy”

– If a run is simply a conflict for narratives, it is simply a communicative in which our candidate is not certain about the second circular is simply a problem – says Interii 1 of the more experienced politicians who participated in many campaigns. “Today we gotta do everything we can to guarantee that this problem does not grow besides much, although it is known that the another side will pump it in this direction,” he adds.

Staff PiS, with whom we are talking, they say that for the time being, the subsequent polls are approached calmly, due to the fact that they do not believe Mentzen could jump a candidate supported by the Law and Justice for a simple reason – the base of the PiS voters is much larger than the database of Confederate voters. Doesn't mean they don't see a threat in questioning the fact that it's Karol Nawrocki will face Rafał Trzaskowski in the second round. – In our research, Charles has a safe 8 percent points advantage to Mentzena. However, we are constantly reasoning about how to dynamicize the run – says 1 of our speakers.

Because there is simply a belief in the staff that the run is simply a small unsettling and besides schematic. That she lacks flight and surprise effect with ideas. And the correctness of the PiS candidate goes into Sławomir Mentzenas a protest candidate. Meanwhile, PiS's first plan assumed that it would be Karol Nawrocki who would gather the support of voters, disappointed by governments Donald Tusk. It's not truly working out due to the fact that Nawrocks He's inactive moving in the PiS electorate, not getting another voters.

– I have a feeling that sometimes the staff lacks courage to give the candidate a swim, to let him make any little scuffle move, to say something harder, to spark discussion, to fight even. Meanwhile, he is transparent and in the media, in the main messages he simply does not be – believes the politician of the Law and Justice Party, who looks at the run somewhat from the side. – Of course the PiS will tell that it is media fault, but the fact is that against the background NavrockiMentzen there is 1 – he adds.

A point breaking the run deadlock PiS It was expected to be candidate programme convention. And although she did well, and the staff was pleased with her, it did not bring a wave of growth in support. any in the PiS complain that the staff is implementing the minimum plan – to make as fewer mistakes as possible at this phase and to make it to the second circular alternatively of actively fighting for the best score already in the first round.

W Jarosław Kaczyński party It is besides alive to believe that polls indicate that PiS candidate does not enter the second circular you can anticipate more shortly due to the fact that it is part of the run fight. PiS politicians are convinced that Sławomir Mentzen would be an easier opponent for Rafał Trzaskowski than Karol Nawrocki.

– This is due to investigation of potentials – we hear in the PiS staff. – Nawrocki has a better chance of mobilising Confederate voters than Mentzen to mobilise PiS voters, especially seniors. The Trzaskowski Staff in the second circular will do anything to scare the pensioners by taking distant thirteens, fourteens and another things by Mentzen and his liberal facilities – says 1 of the PiS politicians.

He besides adds that voters who present most favour Mentzen, which is little than 1.5 million in the 18-25 age group, are little than 1.5 million, while seniors 65 plus, from which getting the Confederate and Mentzen have the biggest problem is about 6.5 million. – For this reason Mentzen will not surpass Navrocki And for the same reason, he wouldn't be able to win a second circular against Trzaskowski. The platform knows it, and we know it. That does not mean that they will not effort to weaken us with specified polls," concludes our PiS interviewer.

Confederate politicians argue that... it's precisely the opposite. That it is Sławomir Mentzen who has a better chance of defeating Rafał Trzaskowski In the second round, due to the fact that it's generating more emotions today, besides on the right side, and it's more on the wave than a PiS candidate.

Przemysław WiplerMember Confederations In recent Interii interview he argued that it was Mentzen, not Nawrocki, who unleashed energy in people today, as well as Andrzej Duda 10 years ago. We see the same enthusiasm. (...) At the time it was a immense dynamics that carried Andrzej Duda and present the same dynamics carries Sławomir Mentzena – stressed Przemysław Wipler.

In turn Bartosz Bocheńczak, Chief of Staff of Sławomir Mentzen He says that PiS voters will vote in the second circular on Sławomir Mentzen alternatively than Confederate voters on Karol Nawrocki. Why?

– The PiS voters will vote in the second circular against Rafał Trzaskowski and Donald Tusk, who stands behind him and who they want to stop. Besides, for PiS voters Sławomir Mentzen as a right-wing politician will be a credible candidate, says Bartosz Bocheńczak.

For poll results, beneficial to Mentzena But he's very careful. Like the full Confederate.

– We are not excited about the polls, we approach them cold and calm, knowing that they frequently service as a tool for political manipulation, says Interia. “We focus on our strategy, our tour of Poland and hard work. And the second round? Since the beginning of our run is simply a triumph in elections, nothing has changed here – he emphasizes Confederate policies.

Interestingly, how can you hear from Members of the Confederation, Mentzen himself was to urge those liable for social media not to make and empathize online graphics with poll results.

There are a fewer reasons. The first is the fear that it will neglect to deliver specified results and then objectively a good consequence Mentzena, but not giving him a second circular entrance, he will be considered a failure. The second is the lesson Mentzen drew from the run in 2023 erstwhile advanced ratings failed to hold until election day. And the 3rd is simply a deep conviction that polls are part of a larger, political gameplay.

This does not change the fact that Confederates They enjoy quietly from the polls Mentzena. “This may prove to be a self-fulfilling prophecy, and even if in reality the support of Sławek is lower, it can grow as a consequence of specified emotions.”

Confederates admit that what happens on meetings with Mentzen It gives them optimism. “We do our job, Sławek continues his tour of the country, we have an thought to hit voters 65 plus, who are key for us and to increase our activity in east Poland. So we will besides pinch any PiS voters – says 1 of the activists of this party.

He besides adds that they expected it to be for Confederations 1 of the most comfortable campaigns. – Nobody pays to attack Sławek due to the fact that each candidate hopes for his support in the second round. So they attack each other, and Sławko grows support – concludes our interviewer with Confederations.

Kamila Baranowska