On Economic Forum in Davos 1 of the main topics is global hazard report. These are armed conflicts, utmost weather phenomena, geopolitical confrontations (e.g. trade wars), misinformation and polarization. Over 900 experts from around the world felt that we were surviving in times of large uncertainty.
– Our survey shows that 36% of respondents believes that we are dealing with stormy or very stormy sometimes – these are the 2 most negative categories. This refers to a two-year perspective, and in the 10-year position this figure increases to 62%. This means that nearly 2/3 of respondents anticipate stormy or very stormy times," said the global hazard expert in the conversation with Polsat News Mark Elsner.
‘Risk number one’. Expert warns against armed conflict
Reporter Piotr Witkowski asked his interviewer about the impact on the global situation oath of Donald Trump to be president of the United States. – Any change of power introduces a fresh level of uncertainty. The study shows that this level is already very high. We will see what the policy of the fresh government will bring – Elsner said.
SEE: "This does not bode well." A grim imagination of an American analyst
– We will observe different areas covered by the policy of the fresh administration, specified as Geoeconomic conflicts, i.e. trade wars, customs. The question of whether we are entering an era where there is more protectionism – the expert wondered.
In his opinion risk of armed conflict is now "at a much higher level" than in erstwhile years. Elsner stressed that 32 percent of respondents who pointed out as ‘risk number one’. “Two years ago, the armed conflict was not even in the top ten,” Elsner noted.
WIDEO: Conversation with global hazard expert Mark Elsner during the Davos economical Forum
Disinformation, polarization, but besides utmost weather phenomena. “We have reasons to worry about
– In the long term, the risks that our respondents have long pointed to are environmental issues, specified as: extreme weather, pollution. Number of specified utmost phenomena is a origin for concern. I think we connect dots and although this is not the only aspect of climate change, they are straight connected – said the expert.
Referring to misinformationElsner estimated that it was connected to polarisation. – Our study shows that these 2 issues go hand in hand. We have a bigger problem with disinformation erstwhile we spend more time online, it has to do with the improvement of artificial intelligence, and the spread of disinformation takes place on faster and wider Elsner stressed.
– We are counting on our study to encourage governments to act. This. call on many countries to dialogue. Many of these risks are global in nature, there are no limits," the expert stressed.
