The first place in the fresh poll is taken by the Civic Coalition with 31.2% support. This is an increase of 0.8 percent points compared to the survey from the end of April – according to the latest United Surveys survey for Virtual Poland, which was conducted on 7 May.
Second place was the Law and Justice with a score of 27.5%. This is simply a delicate increase of 0.2 percent points.
However, this 3rd place could be crucial if elections were presently held. They are occupied by the Confederation with 13.1 percent support. This is simply a decrease of 1.3 percent points compared to the erstwhile study.
The bad news for the rulers is that only the Left would be in the Sejm. The consequence of this formation is 7.6 percent, which means a minimum increase of 0.8 pp.
Because the parliament would run out of space for the 3rd Way, which gained 7.4 percent, and this is the consequence below the electoral threshold for the coalition, which is 8 percent.
The Together organization can number on 3.9 percent. The consequence of another groups is marginal due to the fact that they have achieved only 0.5 percent points. It is worth noting that the percent of the indecisive rose by 1.4 percent points and is 8.8 percent.
And here's how the Parliament's mandates are projected on the basis of the poll results.
Civil Coalition - 192 mandates
Law and Justice – 167 mandates
Confederation – 69 mandates
Left - 32 mandates
As indicated by the HR, today’s rulers (KO and Left) could number on only 224 seats in total. For this, the combined forces of the PiS and the Confederacy would have 236 seats in the fresh Sejm, which would give them a majority.
Let us remind that the minimum majority in the Polish 460-member Sejm is 231 seats.
