Karol Nawrocki president. 9 hot applications

First hot conclusions:

1. It was a run “for razor blades” – not due to the fact that the consequence remained completely unknown, but due to the theme: setups, gangsters, taking over apartments, prostitutes, snorting unusual substances – it was more like Patrick Vega's movie than the real election. Even specified aggravating facts as participation in the kibolian statutes (and any deficiency of remorse or guilt) did not burden a man aspiring to the most prestigious office in the state.

2. Not competence, experience, handling, languages or even presence have decided on the outcome. With a record-breaking presidential turnout almost equal to the 1 from 2023, the candidate with no basic competence, which no 1 knew six months ago, won. The deficiency of basic cognition – about NATO or taxes, no longer disqualifies and ridicules. It decided that the candidate is “our”. specified a consequence would indicate that a large number of Poles reject the current elite of power, regardless of the apparent moral and competency deficiencies of the another party.

3. immense support for anti-system and anti-establishment candidates worked in favour of a candidate from the right. Young people who went to the elections in mass (especially young men) chose Nawrocki, who was more credible in his opposition to "mainstream". In this campaign, the current coalition had no offer or language, which would be nevertheless attractive to young, especially men – and a large part of young progressive women discouraged an incredible election campaign.

4. In order for Nawrocki to win this campaign, Trzaskowski had to lose it. The close draw consequence in the 1st circular was a "deed" of the disastrous debate in Koński, as a consequence of which Trzaskowski lost his advantage and a large condition of the votes which later fell to the left. Not all of these votes were recovered. specified a minimal failure to Nawrocki, contrary to the polls forecasting his defeat, gave fuel to the PiS candidate to mobilize before the second circular and to the presidency. There was no sense of the importance of this election. That they are serious – at a time erstwhile war is at our borders. For many KO voters (and possibly besides the right wing of the reluctant KO), Radosław Sikorski would be more credible in these subjects.

5. The concept of mimicry failed. alternatively of Trump – saying what he thinks, directly, provoking his opponents, Trzaskowski was Kamala Harris – avoiding themes that caused emotions, losing credibility. Attempts to attract voters with a communicative of common sense and pictures with Martyniuk burned down. alternatively of trying to enter our own biography and political choices into a broader context, we got a candidate who said small inspirational things. alternatively of a thrilling imagination – building a Polish power and a modern, solidarityal state, showing a imagination of ambitious and independent presidency – including Donald Tusk and an highly unpopular government, we received a safe and uninterested offer, the main conclusion of which was that it was essential to vote for the candidate KO so that PiS would not return to power. Obviously, it didn't work.

6. Rafał Trzaskowski was not credible in seeking the voices of the Polish province, although he did a titanium job, driving around places where he had weaker support. He did not tell himself in a way that would make him a typical of all Poland. I can't tell you how many personality traits there are in this, and how objectively they can't identify with individual like him. These elections were won by the village, and they lost large cities.

7. He did not play emotional blackmail – you must halt PiS. The sense of work no longer wins elections, which has always been the specialty of PO and Donald Tusk. Disappointing governments and the deficiency of request to explain themselves from inertia – due to the fact that it does not come from a fewer (it can be counted on the fingers of 1 hand) the veto of president Andrzej Duda – made any voters who rejected the Law and Justice in 2023 unwilling to give the PO another chance.

This is simply a bomb planted under the main PO message: whose reason for being is to prevent the Law and Justice. present voters can say: you have not been able to win even with specified a terrible and disgraced candidate. possibly we should look for a fresh offer?

8. It would be effective to say that half of Poland reflects half a liter present and half of Poland has a hangover. But that would be inaccurate. Nearly 1 3rd of Poles did not vote, many chose "minor evil" without conviction. 40 percent in the first circular for parties outside of the duople attest to the fatigue of the current division, which is becoming increasingly dysfunctional.

9. We have a hard time. Another embarrassment about president Elek? And on the another hand, we may have a emergence in the conflict by Nawrocki to overthrow the government. The clashes will besides search PO – to keep their position and save themselves from losing power. If anti-PiS voters agree to proceed and more of the same, then the delirium constitutional majority for Kaczyński-Mentzen and Braun can prove to be a reality.

And razor blades will cease to be just a neat political metaphor.

Leszek Jażdżewski