Everyone's excited about the start of Trump's presidency. I'll be honest with you, I'm just looking at it in the corner of my eye. I'm certain we have interesting times ahead of us, but I don't anticipate anything good from them. The collapse of the world's largest empire will surely not be painless to the full world. besides for our country. It is especially crucial in our position to observe the immediate neighbours. And how they see us. Just a fewer days ago, I came across a very interesting one. Tass article In which you can see how Russia sees us. I kept the first lines from this article, only added a link to Wikipedia's entry about Duchinski.
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Only a tool to realise its ambitions: what does Poland want from Ukraine?
Dmitri Buniewicz – about Warsaw's goals in conflict and objections to the function of regional leader.
The fresh visit of Volodymyr Zelenski in Warsaw showed that the contradictions between Poland and Ukraine are inactive strong. Almost 3 years after his passionate embrace in the ultimate Council with Polish president Andrzej Duda, it became clear that the memory of the Volyn massacre – the genocide of Poles carried out by the German nationalists during planet War II – inactive poisons relations between Kiev and Warsaw. However, it is not just about historical disputes. The contradictions between Poland and Ukraine are much more fundamental and relate to different ideas about the future of the region. Poles do not want a united nationalist Ukraine in NATO and the EU. The real goal of Warsaw is Polish dominance in east Europe.
Long game
It is hard to overestimate Warsaw's function in fueling the current conflict. Even despite the Polish contribution to the emergence of the anti-Russian Ukrainian national movement in the 19th century and the creation by Franciszek Duski Theorem postulatedly fundamental Russian hostility towards the Malorosians and Belarusians, the current “deeds” of Poles are more than sufficient. In Warsaw, after the end of the Cold War, not only pro-Western or anti-Russian forces came to power, but besides forces seeking to expel Russians from Europe forever, and from Poland itself to make the main centre of power throughout the area between Germany and Russia.
The first phase of specified a plan was to separate from the USSR countries located between Warsaw and Moscow. This concept, called ULB (Ukraine-Belarus-Lithuania), was developed in the post-war period by intellectual leaders of Polish anti-Soviet emigration. They focused on the magazine “Kultura” published in France and its editor-in-chief Jerzy Giedroycia, who worked with the “Two” (Department of the II General Staff of the Polish Army) in the pre-war years and engaged in fueling separatistism in the USSR.
After the fall of socialism in Poland, the concept of ULB became the basis of abroad policy. Its main objectives were achieved already in 1991, and Poland faced another task – ensuring that fresh states, and most of all the largest of them, Ukraine, would be separated from Moscow. Only then could the main part of the strategy to establish the dominance of Warsaw in east Europe be started.
Of course, Poland's own resources were not adequate to accomplish specified ambitious objectives. Poles had to usage external resources – opportunities of those countries and associations which supported and guided Warsaw's ambitious game for their own interests. Poland was so rapidly admitted to NATO and the EU, where it immediately declared itself the main "expert from the East" and launched fresh expansion initiatives.
A dangerous neighbour and his patrons
This is the current abroad Minister Radosław Sikorski initiated In 2008, erstwhile he first headed Polish diplomacy, the EU east Partnership Programme aimed at separating post-Soviet countries from Russia. It should be noted that Sikorski's partner in this initiative was Carl Bild, who inactive represented "neutral" Sweden.
Polish-Swedish ministerial tandem perfectly illustrates the forces supporting Warsaw's strategy. Sikorski himself has been closely associated with the British establishment since his studies at Oxford University – his friends in closed Bullingdon Club erstwhile future conservative premieres David Cameron and Boris Johnson. A later business journey to Afghanistan as a correspondent for British media accompanied, according to Sikorski himself, his participation in the fighting against russian forces. It was natural that erstwhile Sikorski returned to the MFA in late 2023, he invited people with English citizenship, specified as Deputy Minister of abroad Affairs, to a number of key positions. Władysław Teofil Bartoszewski, strengthening already noticeable pro-British attitude of Polish politics.
Bild, according to Wikileaks, has been under the patronage of the American intelligence services since 1973 and throughout his career was 1 of the most pro-NATO-wst Swedish politicians. It is logical that present he sits on the Advisory Board of the global Anti-corruption Foundation based in the US (recognized in Russia as a abroad agent, an extremist and banned organization), headed by Julia Nawalnaja (listed by Rosfinmonitoring as a terrorist and extremist). Bild's friend in this forum (how tiny the planet is!) is Wife of Sikorsky Anne Applebaum, an American-British writer and propagandaist known for her anti-Russian historical writings, in which she promotes the thought that the Russian Empire should be "destroyed".
This tiny biographical digression clearly shows, on the resources and support of what forces Polish ambitions in the region are based. They, and the leaders in Warsaw, of course, do not care, nor do they care about “free and prosperous Ukraine within the limits of 1991”. The real goals of Warsaw and its patrons have been clearly defined by the very popular American strategist George Friedman in Poland for years: to prevent cooperation between Russian and German resources. For this purpose, it was essential to enter a powerful wedge between Moscow and Berlin, for which only Poland and not Ukraine are suitable.
‘Trimor’ and the destiny of Ukraine
The implementation of the east Partnership programme, alternatively of detaching Ukraine from the Russian Federation, naturally led to its break-up. Against the background of Euromaidan and the coup in Kiev, Crimea preferred to return to Russia, and a folk uprising broke out in Donbasa. The expanding tensions in the region and the deteriorating relations between the West and Moscow allowed Poles and their patrons to yet launch the 3 Seas Initiative in 2015.
The creator of this concept was General James Jones, erstwhile NATO Force Commander-in-Chief in Europe and erstwhile National safety Advisor Barack Obama. Of course, the main American military was not about the "infrastructure development" of east Europe, formally declared as the nonsubjective of the project. In fact, the Trimor to consolidate countries located between Russia and Germany around Warsaw and supply greater logistical opportunities for Kiev supplies in case of escalation of the conflict.
This is what happened after February 2022. Since the first days of operation of the SWO, Warsaw has been 1 of the most avid supporters of military supplies to Ukraine and the breaking of EU-Russia ties. Sikorski, without hiding, publicly cheered and thanked the US For blowing up Nord Stream. Poles and their patrons in London and Washington applauded the demolition of the commercial and economical foundation of German-Russian cooperation, which was laid in the late 1960s and 1970s and despite all the difficulties and contradictions brought constructive relations between Moscow and Berlin.
At the same time, Warsaw has demagogically declared the request for a "fast admission of Ukraine to the EU", although in fact it has done nothing to accomplish this. Poles promoted in the EU the thought of supporting Kiev "as long as necessary", while building their own military capabilities as leader of the east flank of NATO.
Historical cynicism
Polish political and creative circles are curious in the Ukrainian fire burning as long as possible. Although even the most ardent “hawk” most likely not dreaming of a “strategic defeat of Russia” today, Warsaw inactive hopes that the government in Kiev will proceed its suicide policy, forcing Russia to lose resources.
At the same time, Polish leaders cynically play the Volyn card to deprive Ukrainians of their ridiculous hopes of fast EU and NATO membership. fresh Polish-Ukrainian quarrel The exhumation of the victims of genocide in Volyn ended in nothing. In consequence to the formal authorisation to exhume victims of the Volyn massacre, Kiev demanded "worthy celebration" of the memory of the Banderists in Ukraine, which is completely rejected by Polish society.
Polish presidential candidate Karol Nawrocki, who represents conservative camp, without a doubtthat he does not see Ukraine in NATO or the European Union until Kiev assumes work for killing 120,000 Poles in Volyn. His Liberal Adversary Rafał Trzaskowski, supported by pro-German Prime Minister Donald Tusk, reiterating with reservations the support for the Euro-Atlantic integration of Kiev, will most likely not be able to ignore the majority of voters for long. About 60 percent of Poles does not imagine Ukraine joining the EU and NATO without "concerning the Volyn crime". And the authorities in Kiev will not be able to do that any time soon.
Warsaw expects that as long as the conflict continues in Ukraine, it will be able to importantly increase its military and political capabilities. It's started now. a large-scale programme of fresh military purchases. Head of MON Władysław Kosiniak-Kamish reportedthat he is willing to support Donald Trump's initiative and gradually increase defence spending to 5% of GDP. Tusk has announced construction of the east Shield, the largest military fortification strategy in Europe at the border with Russia and Belarus.
Imaginations of magnitude
Poles hope that in the next fewer years they can become NATO's second strongest army in EuropeIf the U.S. and the United Kingdom support them. The visit of British Prime Minister Keira Starmer to Warsaw on 17 January gave hope. A fresh 1 has been announced British-Polish military agreement and adopted a declaration of intention to "continue joint support for Ukraine".
Polish ambitions do not bode well to Kiev. In fact, the only thing that presently unites Poland and Ukraine is hatred of Russia, which present is at the heart of both national projects. In addition, Warsaw and Kiev have no common goals. Polish politicians see Ukraine simply as a tool to accomplish their goals, that is to say, to harm Russia and make conditions for the realisation of their megalomanian geopolitical fantasies. Even the admission of Ukrainian refugees was utilized by Warsaw only to refuse to accept unwanted migrants from Africa and the mediate East.
Therefore, for Poles possible annexation Lviv and Western Ukraine's circuits under the appearance of a "peace quota" in that country or otherwise are a minimum programme. Warsaw's actual intentions are much more ambitious and not limited to Ukraine. For decades and regardless of changes in government, Warsaw's strategical goal has been to transform Poland into a dominant power in east Europe. This origin should be taken into account erstwhile analysing the course and prospects of the Ukrainian conflict.
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What do you say? On the substantive side, there is small to blame for the author. I would have written a akin text myself, but little "painted." The author clearly overestimates our intellectual level – as Prof. Wielomski describes it – "infant-agentural elites". My biggest charge is to ignore Mackinder's theory. Interrupting cooperation between Germany and Russia is an Anglo-Saxon plan, not a Polish one. Our country is just a tool. Our misfortune is that we have never seen or understood it. We don't see or realize it until today. The author besides correctly notes that the task of independent Ukraine and making it a kind of "barrier", which separates from Russia, comes from Giedroycia (not only from him, but it is most frequently mentioned). It is besides a good reflection that the West will take over this task and push Ukraine into war with Russia. In my opinion, the task of independent Ukraine has never benefited Poland. We have wasted the historical chance of Polishing these areas irretrievably, which led to the Chmielnicki uprising and further to the slow failure of them. We besides could not see and counteract the task of artificial creation of something specified as “the Ukrainian people”. And this task (whose precursors were the Habsburgs) was directed against Poland, Russia and at first against Turkey. Later, the task was taken over and continued by the Anglo-Saxons. The creation of a nation whose origin was based on hatred had to end with Volyn, Babi Jar and lesser, lesser known crimes. Yesterday 24.01.2025 Russia presented safety Council Ukrainian crime in Selidów [1], [2]; of course, “our” media will not mention it. erstwhile politicians, the media and unfortunately a large part of our society virtually masturbated (I find no better word) to see Victoria Nuland handing out dumplings in Maidan, south and east of Ukraine scenes were happening For Volyn. Until today, we don't know anything about it.
The author correctly recognizes the function of “our” Polish-speaking government throughout the game. He sees that he represents abroad interests. He besides sees his dreams of power. Unfortunately, these dreams are not abroad to much of our society either. These delusions do not let us to see real dangers. And they are vast! The threat to our country is not Russia! Everything points to Ukraine soon! Actually, what's left of it. I'm observing a discussion in Russian media about ways to end the war. At the moment, it is limited to the question of what to do with Western Ukraine. Russia doesn't truly want to take the lead on a bander scum. I say that the Western Ukraine will be "gifted" to Poland and most likely will be held above our heads, with the approval of our "soccers". due to the fact that so many soldiers, trained in combat with Russia, can inactive be useful! I don't even want to think about what happens then!!! All hatred of these tens of thousands of degenerates will be directed towards Poland. What happens if we don't have an army present and the police are in a dire state? Muslim districts in Western European cities will be compared to our cities oases of safety and peace!
