The candidate of KO Rafał Trzaskowski could number on 32.7 percent of the votes, supported by PiS Karol Nawrocki for 27.5%, while the candidate of the Confederation Sławomir Mentzen for 13.7 percent - according to the forecasts of the results of the first circular of presidential elections, which was submitted on Thursday by CBOS.
The expected turnout in the first circular would be 66.9 percent.
Election 2025. CBOS Forecast: Tough fight for 4th place
Fourth place is the candidate of the 3rd Way Simon Holovnia with the consequence of 6.2 percent organization candidate Together Adrian Zandberg could number on 5.7 percent and fresh Left candidate Magdalena Biejat on 4.9 percent. In turn, Euro MP Grzegorz Braun recorded support of 4.4 percent.
SEE: New presidential poll. Tough fight between 2 candidates
Of the remaining candidates, 1 percent of the support was exceeded by Joanna Senyszyn (1.6 percent) and Marek Jakubiak (1.5 percent).
Further included: writer Krzysztof Stanowski (0.9%), economist Artur Bartoszewicz (0.6%), leader of the Prosperity and Peace Movement Maciej Maciak (0.2%), and candidate of the Independent Local Governmentists Marek Woch (0.1%).
The expected turnout in the first circular would be 66.9 percent.
The CBOS survey was carried out utilizing computer-aided telephone interviews (CATI – 91.2%) and online interviews (CAWI – 8.8%) between 12 and 13 May 2025 on a example of 1001 adults in Poland.
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