EUROPEAN GERMANY PROBLEM

It seems the Americans have chosen. As they reduce their presence in Europe, they will be mainly occupied by Germany. So the little America in Europe, the more Germany in Europe. The Americans now give the Germans the cards that Germany will give in Europe. But it's besides a way for the Americans to have control over it and draw money.

The fresh Chancellor Friedrich Merz has just invited president Trump to Germany. The visit is intended to bring a major political breakthrough in US-RFN relations, which were disastrous behind the erstwhile government coalition. In fact, Elon Musk's public relations were highly offensive. president Trump has never distanced himself from these shrouds and even praised Musk.

It's gonna be different now. Trump's visit is to be historical and have a peculiar setting. It is intended to highlight, among others, the German roots of the current US President. It is besides prepared by the tiny wine town of Kallstad in the west of Germany in Pallatinate, where Donald Trump's grandpa emigrated to the United States.

In this context, fresh cooperation projects in the defence manufacture and beyond are significant. In January 2024, a joint venture of Raytheona and MBDA Deutschland was announced in Germany to produce about 1,000 Patriot PAC-2 GEM-T anti-aircraft missiles for the start. Production infrastructure is created and technology transfer is made. The value of this task alone is about $5.5 billion. The task is to be further developed in the context of increasing request for fresh Patriot systems following the experience of the war in Ukraine. The Patriot is de facto the only strategy available to European countries capable of destroying ballistic missiles specified as the Russian Oresznik. This agreement forms part of the European Sky Shield Initiative (ESSI), which is the creation of a common air defence strategy within NATO under German leadership.

The cooperation of defence industries has its roots in times of Cold War, but is now extensively played. Germany acquires American technologies, which Americans consistently refuse another allies, e.g. Poland. We got a bucket of cold water from the Americans for Biden's presidency. Poland is not among 18 U.S. allies in the world, who have access to the most advanced semiconductors needed, for example, for the improvement of artificial intelligence, despite its leading position in the planet in this area. So he is simply a friendly country, although not a close ally. This optics does not change and for Donald Trump's presidency, although he overturned Biden's decision in this respect towards all affected countries (Poland was not specially distinguished here).

The latest example of this a fewer days ago is the joint Lockheed Martin Co project. with German Rheinmetal for the production and improvement of rocket missiles to American HIMARS systems worth over $10 billion. Poland has been struggling for respective years to produce these missiles in our country. The Americans chose Germany. So we will gotta buy in Germany crucial amounts of costly rockets for our 500 ordered HIMARS launchers, unless our and Korean engineers adapt Korean rockets from Chunmoo launchers, which 218 Poland ordered, to shoot with HIMARS. We have just signed an agreement on their production and improvement in Poland between the WB Group and the Korean company Hanwha.

The Germans purchased 35 F-35 aircraft, besides in Lockheed Martin Co., as atomic bombers that they have in their possession under NATO atomic Sharing, but in the offset they negotiated, among others, the creation of a fresh Lockheed aircraft factory. Poland bought a akin number of F-35 but did not negociate anything. It has now been announced that more and more components of this aircraft will be produced there.

Germany, by the words of fresh abroad Minister Johann Wadephul, has already declared the defence spending of over 5%, as the Americans request from all NATO members, but the majority resist. The compromise option of 3.5% prevails. Wadephul proposes a compromise to add 1.5% of the cost of defence infrastructure to these 3.5%. In any case, Germany sets an example and takes on the function of European leader with the support of Americans. They declared the emergence of more than 400,000 of the strongest in Europe and the most armed German army, to a large degree by conscription. This is to be announced at the upcoming NATO summit in The Hague. Germany is so to be the main force defending Europe and scaring Russia.

German strength and weaknesses

Germany is the richest and most powerful country in Europe. It is the world's 4th economy with GDP more than twice the GDP of each of the strongest European countries: France, the UK and Italy. For Poland the difference is six times. Germany has accumulated wealth for many generations, and we become richer only from 1 generation. Germany aspires to be a associate of the UN safety Council and is the undeniable leader in helping the mediocre countries of the global South. There they have the reputation of a rich country, but besides open to migrants. Illegal migrants detained at the borders of the Union almost always indicate Germany as their destination.

In pre-war times, military power is crucial. Germany wants to have at least 400 1000 armies armed mainly by its own industry. Germany has never neglected its own defence manufacture in contrast to Poland. While Poland maintained the existence of factories of the military manufacture in a permanent vegetative state, Germany – although the German army limited purchases and utilizing the post-winter dividend, limited the number and disposal of equipment (in this way, for example, we came into possession of about 250 Leopard tanks for almost free) – they never neglected investigation and improvement and modernization of weapon systems. German companies have participated in almost all global projects for the joint improvement and production of arms within NATO, the European Union and bilaterally, e.g. American Abrams tanks come from a joint American-German task and have much in common with German Leopard 2. As a result, Germany became the world's 4th arms exporter. A weapon their own army didn't want to buy. Only the WB Group went the same way in Poland. It developed and produced drones for example over a decade, almost exclusively for export. It became a large company, and now that our military has yet grown wise after Ukraine's experiences, it can supply it with weapons.

I have been calling for years to treat our defence manufacture as a motor of improvement not only for the full industry, but besides for the full economy. Germany, after years of economical slowdown, decided to do so at home. They have the best technologies in the world, inactive existing facilities, educated staff and a increasing marketplace for Europe and the world, which has begun to arm itself. We have most of these assets, we deficiency technology, but we barely do anything. Technologies can be obtained as offsets, but we do not usage offsets. In addition, we could take the German road and enter global projects – neither do we. Recently, the government refused to enter the capital and technology airbus, earlier buying CAMM missiles from MBDA. To Italian Leonardo we sold a large mill in Świdnik, as did PZL Mielec first the American company Sikorsky, and now Lockheed Martin Co. – practically without any economical benefits. Now PZL Mielec could produce together with Lockheed and make Korean FA-50 aircraft and later F-21 stealth. The Koreans are seeking this due to the fact that the request for the FA-50 itself is estimated at 2,000 pcs. On the EMEA markets. Now the Germans are betting on the armory. The Czechs do it with success. We don't.

In the fresh exposé the fresh Chancellor In view of the ageing population, Merz announced the continuation of the policy of openness to the absorption of immigrants, but besides the closure of Germany to illegal migration. The German government officially welcomes the process of assimilation of immigrants, recognising that the vast majority of them are integrated by German society. This is different for a large part of German society. They are fed up of falsifying reality by the pushy sometimes propaganda of political correctness, promoted inclusiveness and affirmation of minorities. The consequence is an increase in support for extremist right-wing groups, including AfD, which is already the most powerful opposition organization in all of Germany and dominates the east of Germany.

What powerfully weakens Germany is simply a known phenomenon of political schizophrenia from the erstwhile GDR and PRL. What is different is the right authoritative propaganda, what is said in families. erstwhile we think of the times of GDR or PRL, of popular propaganda indoctrination, lies of history, or imposed patterns of planet perception, we realize what collective memory is stored in families. It's a major part of a permanent legacy of national identity. Not only about the affirmative face, but besides about the various morbidities and national demons, which sometimes appear in the form of extremism, nationalism or xenophobia.

In the case of our nation, it allowed us to reconstruct the actual native values that unite us, almost immediately after the regainment of sovereignty after 1990. With the return of sovereignty, the established stereotypes and prejudices have besides returned, especially to our neighbours. The long-standing efforts of the Polish communists to divide the Germans into these “good” ones from the GDR and “bad” from the West Germany or to build Polish-Soviet friendships, read Polish-Russian. In the case of Germany, this took another form due to the Nazi past. There was a schizophrenia of political correctness. I experienced it myself, surviving and working among the Germans for about a year. They were mostly educated mediate class representatives from Rhineland. After getting to know each other, it turned out what they truly thought, and that it is very far from authoritative propaganda. These were not only problems with immigrants, but besides more general issues, like the constant deficiency of German sovereignty limited by the Constitution (Grundgesetz), democratic, but de facto written and imposed by the American business authorities, whose troops are inactive stationed in the same bases as during the post-war occupation. I was there at the time, as it seemed, the end of the Cold War, and I was asked why the Americans were inactive buying Germany. Now after the outbreak of the war in Ukraine, this optics changed, but the sentiment remained.

Quite commonly, not only AfD supporters “replace” the image of their country as a criminal state. It returns to the same German syndrome as before planet War II, erstwhile the Germans massively rejected their guilt for creating planet War I and the “dictate” of Versailles. They pointed out that the powers of the Entents were at least as guilty as the imposed reparations. specified preaching besides paved the way for Hitler to rule.

The latest survey of the historical awareness of German youth shows that Poland is guilty of causing planet War II, not Germany. The consequences of losing the war are unfair to Germany. So for nothing years of work of the Polish-German school textbooks commissions. German youth repeats what they heard at home, and their parents are increasingly voting for AfD due to the fact that it has what they truly want in the program. From any of the AfD's postulates, she tactically withdrew (like a request for revision of the German-Polish border), but they were not forgotten.

Competing France with Germany

After the UK left the European Union, France remained the only competitor to lead Europe. However, there are many treaties aimed at weakening the centuries-old hostility between these large nations that have secured Europe's peace and development. The European Union (and earlier the European Coal and Steel Community and the Western European Union) was created to remove the threat of war and initiate peaceful cooperation between the German and French peoples. What is now forgotten in Europe is the cornerstone on which the Union is built. Both countries are part of NATO (France with restrictions due to the fact that it does not participate in a common atomic policy), and they are besides linked by a separate alliance – the 1963 Elysian Treaty, which is the basis for close cooperation to replace hostility with friendship. The treaty from the beginning was oriented towards the future and put youth education first. There is no specified treaty with Germany. If it were, there would most likely not be specified results of historical cognition of German youth and deficiency of empathy for suffering of the Polish nation during planet War II. There is besides no treaty due to the fact that Germany would gotta face settlements for the demolition of over 6 million Polish citizens and the demolition of Poland. They already know that Poles will not forgive them, and the deficiency of a legal basis for settling by Germany does not mean a deficiency of work resulting from conscience. Resentments, however, are inactive present in the consciousness of both nations. It should be pointed out that president de Gaulle had no assurance in the Americans or the Germans. The Force de Frape, built during his time, was of course to deter Russia (then the Warsaw Pact), but the French developed it in autonomy from the US and NATO, due to the fact that they saw differences in interests that could origin France to be left to its destiny at the time of the attempt, because, for example, the US would not hazard global war.

This besides applies to Germany, whose development, as past teaches, can besides be very unfavourable. De Gaulle knew that strength had to follow in building a relationship with Germany. At 1 time, he signed the Treaty of Elise with Germany and built his own national atomic forces. France has about 290 atomic warheads on mobile launchers (aircrafts, ships) and has resigned from rocket launchers in silos on the Central Plate. It makes them impossible to destruct in its entirety. specified a number of warheads seem tiny to over 5800 Russian and over 5200 American, but it must be taken into account that almost all of Russia's population, industrial and military possible is accumulated in its European part. This is an area comparable to France. And that makes these 290 heads enough.

As the past of diplomacy teaches, France consistently builds its position in Europe in opposition and in relation to Germany, which for hundreds of years have been richer, more populous and stronger than France. So she was able to build networks of alliances that equalized that advantage. An alliance with Britain was peculiarly important. France is now returning to its roots and seeing Poland's increasing position, wants to incorporate it into its safety architecture. The fresh French-Polish treaty on relationship and cooperation is based on the model of the Elysée Treaty, but has an additional defensive dimension due to the immediate war threats in Europe and changes in the strategical situation. Europe will no longer be able to number on US assistance to the degree that it has been in the past. With the departure of the US from Europe, the function of Germany will increase, with all negative consequences for France, but besides for example Poland. The problem was and is the effectiveness of the American atomic umbrella in the context of Russia's ability to usage tactical atomic charges. The U.S. has global interests and their usage of atomic weapons may not be obvious. Poland sees this problem. It is not about the usage of atomic bombs, it is about effective deterrence, which is gradually becoming little effective in the case of the US.

From the point of view of Poland, the core of the treaty is military deterrence, including nuclear. The Treaty is progress, but it has serious restrictions. France and Poland have committed themselves to military common assistance, on a rule beyond the work under Article 5 of the Washington Treaty to make NATO. At present, the nature and scale of the aid are decided by the associate States, each individually. Military aid is so not obvious. The fresh Polish-French Treaty provides for military aid. However, the usage of atomic weapons remains the work of the president of France. France does not have tactical atomic charges, so it cannot give them to Poland. The Treaty does not treat the territory of Poland as does the territory of France. The president of France is not forced to defend Poland legally after a Russian atomic attack. In addition, France is bound by the NATO-Russia Act, which prohibits any NATO atomic installations in Poland. Especially due to the fact that the U.S. doesn't want to overturn it, it wants to reactivate it. They just reported a will to reactivate the NATO-Russia Council.