Election 2025. Is the summertime poll accurate? That was 5 years ago

polsatnews.pl 1 month ago

Published after 23 o'clock a summertime poll poll of Ipsos studio brought a sensational turn after the second circular of the 2025 presidential election. His consequence indicates that it was Karol Nawrocki who received higher support than Rafał Trzaskowski. Is the polling score accurate? We checked it out 5 years ago.

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The results of the exit poll poll poll polling by Ipsos published at 21 o'clock indicated that the highest score was reached by Rafał Trzaskowski, but the survey of the summertime poll of the same studio shows that it was inactive Karol Nawrocki who achieved a better result.

SEE: Return in presidential election results. Rafał Trzaskowski or Karol Nawrocki? We know the data of the summertime poll

The candidate supported by the Law and Justice received 50.7% of the vote, and candidate KO 49.3%. The Ipsos workshop reserves that the final results may inactive change, as the estimation mistake of this test is +/- 1 percent point.

Presidential election 2025. Change leader after the results of the summertime poll. Karol Nawrocki at the head

We decided to follow up on how much the survey of the late poll polling polling polling polling polling poll was different from the final result of the 2020 presidential election. At that time the final difference between Andrzej Duda and Rafał Trzaskowski was besides minimal.

SEE: Minimum difference between candidates. The head of PKW gave his own calculations

According to the authoritative results announced by PKW, the second circular was won by Andrzej Duda, reaching 51.03 percent of the vote. Rafał Trzaskowski gained 48.97 percent.

Then, published late in the evening, the results of the Late Poll poller Ipsos indicated that Duda had won 50.4% of the vote and Rafał Trzaskowski had 49.6%.

Election 2025. erstwhile do we get the authoritative results?

When can we anticipate to announce authoritative election results 2025? The head of PKW predicted it would happen on Monday morning.

We'll meet another summertime poll Ipsos at night. This time, including 90% of electoral commissions in which pollers conducted exit polls. The earlier included 50% of committees.

VIDEO: Presidential election. First attendance data
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