In a conversation with money.pl Szymon Hołownia expressed the belief that the current strategy of the Law and Justice organization – an effort to decision even harder to the right – could paradoxically deepen the problems of the ruling party.
He believes that there can only be 1 answer:
"PiS is now trying to deal with Confederate and Braun, going hard to the right, but can solve its problem paradoxically, only by turning to the center. For there is extremist oxygen present – present they feed on the hope of people, disappointed by the fight of 2 large political blocks, that is where the growth of the far right, among the disappointed “normals”, not in the inferno radicals. I hear in the Sejm present in the talks of the coalition Members not about transfers in our midst, but about the Confederacy. It may be rumors spread by her, but we already have the first transfer from PiS to Braun. I feel that busy assisting with the painful and aggressive agony of po-PiS polarization, due to the fact that this planet is inevitably ending – ugly – we have not noticed adequate that next year we can have a completely different political scene and axes of divisions.”
The Holovnia indicates that the PiS responds to increasing support for the Confederacy through radicalisation of the message – moving further to the right, but will shortly realize that it is not this group that should search answers. It indicates that the key link to the growth of extremist moods lies among disappointed centrist voters, “normals” – not radicals. It is in the centre that locates the presence of "oxygen for radicals".
He besides draws attention to the signals from the Sejm, where, in his opinion, members of the coalition are talking not so much about transitions to Poland 2050 or KO, but straight to the Confederation – which is already partially true: "We already have the first transfer from the Law and Justice to Braun" (although it is actually the second Confederation, the Polish Crown). In his opinion, the planet dominated by the PO-PiS polarization is deteriorating, and next year the political map may look completely different.
"In a fewer weeks there will be a full fresh political world. We will have fresh players, fresh conflict fields, fresh emotions and fresh relations in the Sejm.”
The Holovnia provides for a revolution on the political stage, not cosmetic adjustments. It speaks of a real change in players and the logic of the conflict – which suggests that the current division can be completely dismantled by events coming months.
“PiS cannot last without taking over people from the center, and present there is nothing to go to it. Kaczyński lost his monopoly on being a translator of Poland for people.”
Here, Holovnia points out the weakness of PiS: the inability to convince average people without resorting to fear and conflict. Kaczyński's failure of language of "normality" is, in his view, the end of the political monopoly, which inactive seemed to be permanent.
