Experts summarize the election campaign. “This has not yet been”

news.5v.pl 1 month ago

The choice of specified candidates, alternatively than others, surprised, at least in the case of PiS, already at the beginning of the campaign. Then there were another surprises, related to unclear matters from Karol Nawrocki's past. There were surprises for the politicians themselves, as though rebel of the coalitions who torpedoed the thought of Rafał Trzaskowski for the first debate in Koński. The tension was increasing, and we inactive have any crucial moments ahead, namely waiting, and then choosing 1 of the candidates.

What has been most striking for experts in fresh months?

“I could do bingo what a candidate would say”

— What amazed us at the very beginning of the run was the consequence of casting for the PiS candidate. The thought and deliberalization was in the organization that was immeasurable, only to choose individual not their own, but civic, as they claimed – says Onet Prof. Przemysław Sadura, sociologist of politics. “And they put up a candidate for 1 that we learn fresh things about. And it's not the ones about his powers, but We hear about the setup.And this About stealing an flat from a seniorAnd this on the usage of the resources of the institutions which he directed for private purposesAnd this is about As a safety guard, he gave hotel guests sex workers – mentions the expert. “And here we have another surprise due to the fact that we have not had specified a presidential candidate yet,” says Prof. Sadura.

— Never in the past of the Polish electoral run have there been so many candidates who discussed a full of respective hours – says Onet Dr. Bartosz Rydliński, a political scientist. “But what amazed me the most, and what happened for the first time, was the full collapse of the public debate. Let's be clear – during the full run I heard nothing from any of the candidates that would decision me positively. It's basically, "Oh, that's a large idea." There was no specified thing – he emphasizes. — On the contrary, unfortunately. I was able to make bingo out of what the candidates will tell us," emphasized Dr. Rydliński.

An outraged candidate's past – voters don't mind. “That’s not surprising”

— While remaining with the Nawrocki candidate, it is not amazing that compromising information about his past did not influence his support. And, paradoxically, possibly even this support strengthened – emphasizes Prof. Sadura. “For 8 years, the Law and Justice had been riding on this teflonity, and no scandals could break their power,” recalls prof. Sadura.

— due to the fact that fresh groups of PiS voters were formed over the years on the wave of increasing polarization and deeper ditches in society. The first is people who, under no circumstances and no substance what evidence, will not believe that their leaders, their gurus – like president Kaczyński or the individual he anointed – could do anything incorrect – says Prof. Sadura.

— And the second group of voters is the claim electorate, which votes on the principle: who pays more. And they don't pay attention to the rest. And for these 2 groups of PiS voters, Nawrocki's past changes nothing. And even the more bad they hear about him, the more they are willing to vote for him, due to the fact that they become active with the syndrome of a besieged fortress. Or, it's mostly young, the alleged boomerang effect. Thus, the more others want to detest the candidate, the more they are willing to choose him, on a counterfactual basis – describes the sociologist of politics.

A run collapse? "We have a threat just abroad, and they're debating about the snow"

Dr. Rydliński emphasizes that another surprise, negative, was the fact that candidates did not adults, in his opinion, to execute the function of head of state.

— present we have a situation in which Poland has a threat of war just abroad, we have Russia jamming GPS signals and fishing boats wandering in the Baltic and we are discussing what? About any kind of dream, which is what it was about.. We have people dying all day in Ukraine, where they think about how to survive, not beyond. We perceive to politicians debating whether Ukraine should enter NATO. After all, the Ukrainians themselves do not think about it today," says Dr. Rydliński.

— From vital themes, we face Poland as an avalanche-old society, with aging doctors, nurses, who are about to run out. What do politicians offer us? O Health services only spoke erstwhile cutting the wellness contribution for entrepreneurs, i.e. a real simplification in expenditure on wellness care, while it should be increased. We are in a climate crisis and politicians are not telling us at all. And if anything, it is only in the context that “Green Deal is terrible,” says a political scientist.

- Diagnosis is painful. No major candidates have grown up to be president, unfortunately. And I am afraid that no of them would know what to do if Trump abruptly left NATO," he stresses.

“Trump administration is trying to make us a banana republic”

— What happened in the past of Poland for the first time was the tremendous and unequivocal commitment of the US administration to the Polish elections. It is unheard that Trump's power officials tell Poles who they should vote for – says Prof. Sadura.

— This is an effort to vassalize Poland, make us any banana republic. We as a arrogant nation always rebel erstwhile individual from abroad tries to impose something on us, but these rebellions take place mainly erstwhile they want to impose something on us Brussels alternatively than Washington. due to the fact that there are no protests here – says the expert. “Such interference in elections is something extraordinary, and I anticipate a reaction from the Polish Ministry of abroad Affairs. If not now, then surely after the election, Sikorski will not let go – says Prof. Sadura.

— abroad and previously had been present from election campaigns, but not on a scale like today. Even though in 1989 the Americans were powerfully committed to Solidarity, the minute of past was different – Dr. Rydliński points out. “ What we are seeing present from the U.S. government is evasive. The more so, a kind of right-wing global is created. We have Elon Musk, who appears at the AfD electoral rallies, we have Viktor Orban, who was on pilgrimage to Trump even before he became president and so he remained, we have these congresses of CPAC Republicans, which are held around the planet – he mentions.

— Here we go. Nawrocki's photograph of the Oval Office, which was clearly interference in the campaign plus the voices of the representatives of the American administration, whom they support," he points out. — And the democratic side and its candidates are stuck. What do they do? If they were likewise supported by Emmanuel Macron or Friedrich Merz, it would only harm them in Poland," concludes Dr. Rydliński.

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