Czarnek bites Braun, Mentzen bimba. What does this mean for the chances of liberals?

After PiS's poll slump in February, which benefited both Confederations, Kaczyński recovered half of his losses in March by feeding on Braun's KKP – these are the conclusions of 8 IBRiS polls in 2026. How much of this "Czarnek effect"? And how much gluing with Nawrocki? What does this mean for electoral chances?