The Law and Justice Office, with the support of 29.6%, regained an advantage over KO (28.6%). The 3rd place in the survey was the Confederation, which received 13.9% of the support, but the consequence is 2.5 percent points lower than the erstwhile survey.
The latest ranking shows an improvement in the number of 2 smaller groups. The 3rd Road, the alliance of Poland 2050 and PSL, managed to cross the threshold required for the coalition, gaining 8.1 percent., which means an increase of 1.2 percent points. She besides noted Left, which reached 7.9 percent of support. An increase of 2.9 percent points gives the group a chance to stay in the Sejm.
The consequence is besides noticeable Together, which, despite the deficiency of a chance of exceeding the electoral threshold, gained 3 percent points and reached 3.5 percent. inactive outside the parliament, however. It is worth noting that as much as 8.4 percent of respondents indicated that they had not yet made a decision on whom to vote.
A ruling coalition without majority in the Sejm
The calculation of the mandates developed by Prof. Jarosław Flis from the Jagiellonian University shows that The Citizens' Coalition, the 3rd Road and the Left could number on a full of 223 seats, which would mean no parliamentary majority.
In turn The possible PiS and Confederate alliance would supply 236 mandates to these groups. Apart from the main division, there is simply a German minority, which, according to the forecast, would have 1 MP.
- PiS — 168 mandates;
- Civil Coalition — 162;
- Confederation — 68;
- Third Road — 31;
- Left — 30.
