
The presidential elections are coming in large steps. We are followed by the first period of the authoritative campaign, during which candidates began their tour of the country and meetings with voters. Meanwhile, the pollers are constantly checking how support for individual candidates is shaping. In the latest survey conducted by UCE investigation for Onetu, the respondents were asked if they already knew who I would like to vote for in the presidential election. As it turns out, the vast majority has already made a decision on this matter. 74.8 percent (40.5 percent definitely yes and 34.3 percent alternatively yes) answered the yes. 12.1 percent of respondents not yet, for which the policy will vote (9.1% do not know and 3% do not know). The answer was not known or hard to say was given by 13.1 percent of those who took part in the survey.
After a deeper analysis of the results of the survey, it turns out that their candidate most frequently has supporters: Civic Coalition (91.1 percent), Law and Justice (85.5 percent of them) and Confederation (83.6 percent of them). In the case of the 3rd Way it is 19.1 percent while the Left 14.2%.
Another question that was asked to respondents was whether they considered that in the first circular of elections they would vote for another individual than they now support. 55.4% of respondents do not let themselves to change their minds. all 4th surveyed (28.2 percent) takes into account that it can change its preferences and 16.4 percent chose the answer I do not know. In the case of KO voters, only 16.2% of them are allowed to change their opinion. Thus, the electorate of Rafał Trzaskowski is by far the most disciplined.
The situation is completely different for another groups. The change of preferences is based on 41.8 percent of those who declare themselves a 3rd Way voter, 35.1 percent of PiS sympathizers and 32.2 percent of leftist supporters. 29.4% of Confederate voters are besides allowed to change their favor.
The survey was conducted on 7-10 February 2025 by the CAVI (Computer Assisted Web Interview) method by ACE investigation for Onetu on a example of 1003 adult Poles aged 18-80.
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