A fewer years ago, nobody listened to him. Now it announces the end of the planet as we know it

A study and a year later a book entitled "2017: War on Russia" by a British general raised quite a few controversy in an global environment, convinced that the pessimistic scenarios cited by the British general would not only fail, but are only groundless incitement to war.

— I wrote this book to act as a wake-up call for NATO and the West and to make certain that the script I am describing remains only on the pages of the novel. As I said earlier, Putin’s words and actions — especially a series of aggressive so - called exercises show that Russia’s reasoning is aggressive. The intent of this book is to make certain that the doctrine of deterrence is implemented so that Russia does not behave aggressively towards NATO – He spoke 8 years ago in a conversation with Onet.

“Today, General Shirreff assesses. He warned Russia 8 years ago. Then no 1 listened to him. Why hasn't the West done besides much for many years to halt the Kremlin from neo-imperial attempts?

— I think a fewer things truly worked out. First of all, I think it's part of human condition. People are not prepared to see the planet as it might be due to the fact that they are besides comfortable. They don't want their prejudice to shake their heads in the sand and feel that it can't be as bad as the experts predict. In the 1930s, there were many warnings about the emergence of Nazi Germany, and yet the West and Western European countries, especially France and the United Kingdom, did nothing about it – the military explains.

It besides highlights "a failure of political leadership without a imagination to truly admit what is happening". “It is besides a failure of intelligence services. Everything, however, boils down to human nature, consisting of unwillingness to take account of events and probable trends if they are not in line with pre-established assumptions.

Domino effect

In 2016, no 1 in the planet was ready for president Donald Trump. This time, U.S. NATO allies do not want to make the same mistake. In Brussels, the Alliance officials have developed a plan that the eventual future administration of the Republican leader could not harm, especially as it is increasingly said that Trump is considering agreeing with Putin on Ukraine.

— I don't think any deal Trump thinks he can make with Putin on Ukraine would make any difference to Kiev. Since the full-scale invasion, I have been in Kiev respective times and my Ukrainian friends have said directly: “We will fight side by side with you or without you.” They know perfectly well that if they halt fighting, they will not be due to the fact that they know Russia's intentions," says General Shirreff, while stressing that "he realizes that this will not halt Trump from concluding the alleged agreement".

— If that happens, it'll let Putin halt fighting and announce victory. There will inactive be battles, but this will give Putin time to regenerate, rebuild his strength, decision them to the right places, so that in two, possibly 3 years, he will have another chance to remove Ukraine from the map as a sovereign country. Putin will never quit his intention. erstwhile it does, it will decision to action in Moldova. Let us besides remember about Georgia, in which there are already many Russian influences," Onetu mentions.

– notes.

Trump can unwittingly origin planet chaos

According to General Shirreff, "Putin is the man who said that the most suitable solution for safety in Europe is the fresh Yalta". “ And as a Pole, you know very well what the old Yalta meant. Russia and Poland realize this better than anyone else, but the Baltic countries, that Russia is an imperial country. Russia was always just an empire. And what Putin is doing is trying to rebuild the Russian empire. The Russians want it, too. The Empire is in Russia's DNA – she believes.

According to the erstwhile deputy commander of NATO forces in Europe, if Russia attacks Poland or the Baltic countries, or both, “this means a war between Russia and NATO, which is de facto the 3rd planet war”. — Can this happen erstwhile there is another reality and NATO? An alliance makes sense erstwhile it's strong. Putin respects strength. Without the U.S. in the North Atlantic Alliance, this force will not be there, and the Kremlin will want to usage it.

Gen. Shirreff believes that if Donald Trump becomes president of the United States, the United States will not leave NATO, but fears that “they will sit in the rear rows of the alliance”, meaning that they will be “a sleeping partner that will not always be reliable”. “I do not know if Europe would be safe if it were attacked. It's a very likely scenario.

— Ukraine will be in reverse and failure will be drawn on the horizon. The agreement with Putin, nevertheless fragile, full of smoke and mirrors, will dare to act any autocratic leader who has territorial plans elsewhere in the world," he says, listing China and Taiwan, Serbia and northern Kosovo, Venezuela and French Guiana.

– emphasizes the military.

The General does not imagine that even after the war the West can return to average relationships. “ We have 25 years of Putinism behind us. I find it hard to imagine a liberal and democratic Russia that wants to coexist with the West, taking care of common prosperity. The only hope for peace in the transatlantic region for the next 2 or 3 generations is simply a scope of deterrence forces around east Europe, covering Ukraine as a NATO member. I presume that Russia will proceed to be a long-term existential threat to the West," she says.

— So I think that we are surviving in truly disturbing times, as onetu says. In his opinion, “Germany will never take over leadership” and “they will just keep quiet”. The UK and France will not break out due to the "political turbulence". “So it all comes down to the United States. Biden was kind of careful, and that allowed the Russians to take the initiative. Will we witness the determination to win Moscow? I would like to think so, but I am not an optimist – he concludes.