The Search for the End of War

Jerzy Karwelishttps://journalistzarazy.pl/30-08-view-concern-war

30 August, entry No 1372

I knew this would happen, but again it comes out that prophesying does not lead to anything, for what joy is it with bitter satisfaction? The persuasion and the gift of predicting the future is for regular adepts of this adventure the curse of Kasandra, for incidental prophets, or untrained prophets, is simply a origin of frustration that the planet did not listen.

I am referring to the Ukrainian case in Poland.

Yes, I told you a lot earlier that there would be problems with it, and in different ways, even the scale of these problems that are only starting to appear present was visible on the horizon. Intuitively, it was possible to foretell simple human wavering: from the euphoria of helping, through the regular of humanitarian action, indifference And yet pissed at the guests.

It's human, especially in modern times, who don't like the stableness they think is stagnant. Well... We're bored., as a society, but we have 2 more elements here: our beloved authorities and the Ukrainians themselves – and here crucial – divided into their own authorities and people ruled.

We Poles

Poles reacted spontaneously and as usual to Polish emotional reactions of collective movements – unique. People went to the border to choice up strangers, help, deliver, feed and dress, give jobs. The state was very late, first as usual the local governments approached, then the state began to come together. Polish, or human, solidarity revived, Poles remembered what it was like with them, or, in fact, could be.

From the very beginning, the Polish boiler was boiling. The common people took on humanitarian aid, and the superstructure of analysis and plot. At the very beginning, there were shy and ostracized voices that it is not all so simple that it is not so that someway out of itself, with a powerful reflex, Russia threw itself at innocent Ukraine. specified voices were immediately challenged from the Russian onucs and their cries in the wilderness were suppressed by more and more counter-emotions than arguments.

This process continues to this day, but it turns out that the group of those doubting the simple transmission of Manichean relations has grown (multiplying geopolitical arguments), while the group of acolytes has grown Anti-unucism decreased at an accelerated rate. What is characteristic – a group decreasing in number, or anti-union group, covered the drain of its supporters with a proportional increase in sound and, in fact, aggression.

There was besides a debate to say so – geopolitical. Strangely, it was held outside the state narrative. Different Asteroids [ OSINT – White interview md] They dreamed of their forecasts, based more on the compilation of authoritative materials, but appeared next to 2 currents: 1 military-tactical, the another geopolitical at the level of depleting nodes of the world's implications of war in Ukraine. In these first groups, let's say operational-tactic, were led by retired military men who, with maps in their hands, explained the strategical importance of the battles by individual villages or bays. The second group reached conclusions on a global level, with a large amount of possible consequences for Poland, even with the demands of the construction for the future.

This second trend was very dynamic, as it changed according to the destiny of this war. First, they were worried about Poland, then, erstwhile the “special military operation” got stuck and turned into a defeat of Russia, divisions began to be made to push Russia, make any large alliances with the victorious Ukraine, and even if not go to the Kremlin with it, then at least build an extra alliance, beginning the way to the realization of the dream of the Trimortal. There was small left of it, due to the fact that the destiny of the war was different. Now this commentary is alternatively on a dilemma: Would you end this war to save something, or proceed it, even though it threatens to defeat Ukraine even more? It's like we have an impact on specified dilemmas.

But this is the NGO elite of the country. The people had something else on their mind. Another topic, this time Ukrainian, began to become another average for the Polish-Polish war. Strangely, they did not take over these confrontational proponents as usual alternately the POPiS parties, but the Ukrainian issue divided the nation more than the Polish parties. This was a foot-in-the-foot thing, but we'll get back to the authorities. Problems began, especially for those who saw not so much exaggerating from the weaponry, but were angry no longer at the unfair alignment of the rights of Ukrainians with Poles, but at the fact that they were privileged to their countrymen. Social assistance, which was made up of Polish citizens and not Ukrainian citizens. Privilege in school recruitments, infirmary admissions, unemployment rights or pension rights. It was visible, Poles were amazed that they themselves were making hunger pensions, while Ukrainians after a period of work gain the right to equalize their pension to the lowest level in Poland.

In addition, artificial exile on paper began, of course, erstwhile all these apanages could be obtained practically without moving from Ukraine. These procedures developed throughout, and information about them was blocked. There was a Western-known syndrome that did not origin aversion to migrants with bad news. Only that only Ukrainians switched to us colored visitors – I practiced it myself erstwhile I wanted to learn about the nationality of any bad guy who in Olsztyn He ran over a truck. bus stop. It was impossible to find out who started, what gave a clear premise – who started, due to the fact that we know who we defend from the expected anger of the people. Just like the West. And as in the West, the superintendent knew what to think, what to talk about and what not, of course, for her sake. increasing frustration with this topic, the bigger, the more suppressed by the media and silenced by the authors of this process – power.

We end up with a social adventure frustrated, we have a stew for Ukrainians, we collect on them hooks of their misdemeanors and band declarations, as shaping their national and axiological identity. This frustration was caught by politicians who survey public opinion and utilized to gain popularity, that is, in democracy – power. This was peculiarly the case in the presidential campaign, which has the feature that the strategy is leaky here and can be heard in specified a run the most illegitimate, anti-system thesis and collect a reward for their support. So it has an increasingly established and confirmed basis, although, as with the President's last veto on Ukraine's assistance, the political class is inactive legally on the same track, although society has already shifted its support. And this situation leads to the derailment of the train may not the 3rd of Poland, but the mainstream – definitely.

Powerful

Yeah, it turns out we helped with the military equipment as we could, for free and without any conditions. another countries have acted more restrainedWhat we even told them. And these countries to this day They remember that. and erstwhile our (soon) good luck turned – present they commute us, holding us in a donkey bench of arrangements. It turns out it's hard to get out of this funnel, due to the fact that erstwhile you started giving up for free, you'd gotta halt 1 day, and how would you halt if the Ukrainians were fighting for us? And so we arrived at the stripping of our army and we found ourselves in a vacuum of equipment, due to the fact that we do not have old equipment, and the steel for the fresh equipment is inactive made of iron ore ores of Korean or American mines. So we have a strategical gap in structural weakness. So much military. Additionally, there is credit in the dark interest of Ukraine, even erstwhile it is That's against ours..

As for the strategy of the Polish authorities, we have faced a uncommon case of agreement over divisions. The full political class stood by the escalation of support – the pala nicho, that military in equipment, but why social, I don't realize it anymore. There were fears of the Polish-Polish war for the top nonsense, but here it was completely agreed with each other. Yes, we even had cases of opposition charges, that not enough, something like that, that the government (put in any government here) is not trying enough. This phenomenon further escalated the frustration of society, as it turned out that the full political class did not care about it, which gave emergence to suspicions about the systemic arrangement of pretend-enemies.

Many have argued that this peace in the Polish-Polish war is caused by the unity of the state's reasons over divisions.

Nothing like that, and it's not happening. We had unity due to the fact that the priorities of our patrons – for the U.S. Law and Justice, for the Tusks – German, erstwhile both sides wanted to proceed this war. In fact, it was for the people to sale a communicative that this time we weaken our enemies with another hands, we are not “first to fight“ So it’s better to give equipment, due to the fact that all man killed with a Polish drumming Russian is simply a Russian who will not enter the Polish land. So we thought we were actually at war. percent.

But specified a communicative led to telling the people, too, that it was “our war”, and so the degree of its commitment was to be as if we were at least in a preventive war or even going to it. The imagination of Ukraine's defeat was automatically transferred to “next countries”, due to the fact that Russia would not halt and rebuild the full post-Stovian empire, including us. This communicative is peculiarly cultivated in Ukraine, as it is the only reason for dragging the lost war into the prometean messianism of a bloody sacrifice in the name of saving Europe. And specified a constatination led us to incitement of war, due to the fact that specified a war would gotta end in a complete defeat of Russia, which became a harmful dream at the price of spilling Ukrainian blood. In general, the continuation of the war became a precedence for the majority, in addition to the Ukrainian people. Putin is doing well, and so why peace, Zelenski besides does not want to end this war, due to the fact that the conditions of possible peace will be much worse than the Istanbul proposals that the president of Ukraine rejected at the beginning of the war. And individual might ask why and why hundreds of thousands of Ukrainian soldiers died after that? Europe, in the disguise of the EU's globalists, besides wants to prosecute this war, due to the fact that business is going to the best, besides with Russia as never before, and panicking Europeans with terrible Putin, as it were, serves as an excuse to rob us all of property and freedom, adding the federalization project, so essential in the face of equal threats.

And the Polish authorities, regardless of their colors, are now up to their necks. We're out of the surviving room, the Pole has done his job, and the Pole can go. The PiS engaged in Ukraine for relationship with America, Tusk, due to the fact that specified an attitude is in the hands of his German moguls. Anyway – always Nowak.

The worst is coming, because, erstwhile building a political dispute between the 2 sides of the anti-Russian attitudes, bringing Trump and Putin closer to each another throws everything upside down. It fires due to the fact that it is impossible to reconcile Trump's quest for peace with ours, even hiss, declarations of hostility to Moscow erstwhile the United States is in agreement with it. This is alternatively a burden on our position, as a partner for Washington – we are a well-deserved but troublesome fellow in this arrangement. erstwhile the fates of the planet (not of Ukraine) are reorganized, we jump with our principity, proclaiming revelations that Putin is lying and should not be believed. It is simply a transfer to the planet of our idiotic positions of diplomacy based on trust, faith, and not on strength – the top warrant of agreements and treaties.

German ambitions placed in Poland besides force Tusk to escalate the war by continuing this hopelessness, which may worsen the destiny of Ukraine and consequently our position. And not due to the fact that the Russians will come closer to our borders (because they are already close), just due to the fact that by our position as a free component in this game, Trump and Putin can convince themselves to different concessions, and the Kremlin clearly declares that peace will truly be as they vanish "the root causes of this war." Our humiliating position at the end of this war shows the mirage of all our diplomacy in the 3rd Republic of Poland. We pay the bills for not building our own strength, failing to conform to our state of affairs, utilizing abroad policy solely for interior usage and serveilism against the priorities of our external patrons. This arrangement of Ukrainian threads exposes to collapse, as it is political gold for supporters of the thesis about the rule unity of the model of the Polish-Polish War. And it is an anti-establishment constatation, a average for populism, in its Trumpian, common-sense application, which can systemicly disassemble the Comprador model III of the Polish Republic.

Ukrainians

Let's start with the people. From the Polish point of view, we are dealing with 3 groups. Let us take, for the sake of clarity of the discourse, a powerfully doubtful presumption that there in Ukraine the people are reasonably uniform in relation to this war, but we will return to this theme. Now let us deal with Ukrainians in Poland. I have already written here that we are dealing with 2 migration groups: pre-war and post-war. Attention – mostly hostile to each other. Pre-war men with horror see this fresh migration: bold, demanding (we are fighting on behalf of Europe, possibly not us personally, due to the fact that we are in Poland), increasingly ideologicalized for anti-polonism. Well, write-paint like engineers In the West. And the first ones look at it with horror, due to the fact that the pre-war people had their thought for each another in Poland alternatively permanently, they might not want to assimilate here, but at least integrate. He's abroad, but close to his country. In good relations with Poles. And here, the behaviour of the second migration is put by Poles into 1 bag of assessments. Ratings going down.

And here they come on full firecracker not only boys of draft age, at the same time calling on Poles to support, not only social cheaters, but all this oligarchical exports from Ukraine are beginning to flow to us. This socio-political cancer, which besides brought Ukrainian possible to ruin before the war. The fresh post-war migration spoils these subtle relationships that were carefully touched by pre-war Ukrainians. And before the war, they practically knew nothing about any bander, and now they see this ideology with horror, as the main discrimination of Ukrainian identity, built on blood and hatred of enemies.

Social aid Ukrainians receive as Polish suckers, on the basis of: "You've got a loser, choke him if he shits, let him go." And now that bubble broke. And in 2 parts – abruptly the communicative about the key contribution of Ukrainian migration to the Polish economy ended. This 1 would fall apart without the Ukrainians, who, in addition, give distant what they get in social assistance. As a presidential veto, it all fell apart, due to the fact that specified 800+ will be taken distant from those who do not work, so they do not contribute to Polish social assistance. The argument was broken due to the fact that the working Ukrainians will proceed to contribute, and those who do not contribute will get nothing. The real balances of Ukrainian contribution to the budget and this budget of spending on Ukraine and Ukrainians began to appear. And, without charges of onucism, it turned out that this balance sheet was about 10:1 or more in favour of the Ukrainians.

The second argument on the veto case concerning aid to Ukraine was the mother's story with children in Poland (and thus not working)whose husband fights in Ukraine for Europe. specified individuals should be supported. This is where we take them. And that's where the Ukrainians started to resent a heavy-weight argument. How is it that Poland, a country with twice as much budget deficit as the militant Ukraine, is to support the state with a clearly better budget position? Why sit here with the wives of the warring fathers erstwhile they can go to Ukraine, release their husband from the front, and place 3 young bulls in his place, what do they do to clubs not only in Poland, not only in Europe, but besides in Kiev and Odessa? Why is Poland to be the historical phenomenon of a state that holds 2 countries and 2 nations?

And we inactive have Ukrainians in Ukraine and their authorities. The people there are divided heavy into those who have had adequate and those who have it for the blood of the last. Both attitudes are understandable, but the erstwhile – peace supporters – do not translate into the action of the authorities. Trump has in the hands of Zelenski, who can not only disable Zelenski in the second he takes his gun, but more intelligence and alleged targeting (the Ukrainians have produced themselves in their own production), but show the Ukrainians at least the perceived machlojkas earning on Ukrainian oligarch blood, including the president himself. Zelenski is simply a small free for now, he's bombing Russia, but Trump is okay with it due to the fact that he hopes it will push Putin into peace. And what could be seen in this war, Trump, during his last visit to Washington. Putin can't do anything to Trump, but Ukraine and Europe so much that in the White House, everyone got caught up in it like good dogs and listened to you as they looked like walking and training, and how much doggies would pay for it.

Ukrainians in Ukraine have come a long way. First the pride of victory, then the pedagogy of communicative valor, erstwhile in 1 breath they demanded help, respect for their war effort, while the others urged their children to spill where their eyes would carry. He inactive reigns, though to a degree fading myth, that Ukraine sacrifices itself for peace in Europe and in the world. This is not true, due to the fact that this story, as has already been said here, is the only reason for continuing the lost war for the Ukrainians, and for the West it is an excuse to intensify the aid effort, mainly in declarative form, due to the fact that militarily Europe must be weak, since we are expected to be its top military resource.

My friends Ukrainians are curious in Poland, late asked me with concern, inactive during the campaign, about Nawrocki. They were scared, at home and at migration in Poland, that Nawrocki is simply a Ukrainian eater, although the evidence of this was in demanding the exhumation of the victims of Volyn, small more. Now, after the President's vetoe, they have the justification for their earlier concerns, not knowing (not remembering?) that akin demands about the 800+ limitation for Ukrainians had and Nawrocki's countercandidate. But who's playing so subtle?

My Ukrainians went through a process that justifies the thesis of building their identity on a flag symbolizing blood and earth. erstwhile I told Elina in 2017 about the movie Volyn, she knew nothing about this tragedy, or even about any Bandera, let alone Shukiewicz, or another songs of cultural cleansing. erstwhile she got to the movie, she looked at it, and she called me and said it was all Russian propaganda that was going to break us up. So there was nothing to talk about. present Elina, after over 3 years of this war already knows precisely who Bandera is and that Volyn was a sad match between the natives and “Polish masters”. She found out that for any reason she changed her mind. Something's going on in Ukraine, and it's not good news for neighbourly cooperation.

Interestingly – whom Ukraine listens just recently. It was adequate that the Ukrainianophile Duda replaced Nawrocki and it turned out that our policies could be conducted differently and the Ukrainians, so far arrogant after our unconditional overstepping, begin to sober up at the level of the authorities. All you had to do was stand up. The Nawrocks who are going to Trump showed how it is with this Tusk thesis that "government rules and the president represents". Nawrocks on his way to Washington, D.C., called a gathering of the Baltic States to agree a common position and bring any supliques to Trump, so he started working (Finally!) at the level of creating coalitions of common interests, which Tusk is incapable to do, due to the fact that neither in the United States tolerate it, and in European matters (if any) he drives in the 3rd carriage. But at the end of these Baltic talks, Nawrocka invites for a gathering of Zelenski, while this 1 behaves rationally. He does not talk back, he does not shine in Polish eyes with our onucism, he does not even worry about 800+. Thank you for having been invited, for having a chance with Nawrocki's mouth may add something to the current arrangements, those without Poland. So you can see (obviously, but not for us) that Ukraine only respects strength and perpetuity, and not Duda sings about Ucropolis.

With them we request hard – to realize our national interest and take Ukraine with us only erstwhile our interests are not conflicting. Not like Duda did, which only made Kiev bold. I hope that these times are just ending, which – paradoxically – may turn out to be good Ukraine, who does not see that her affair with Germany is instrumentally utilized by them.

Before Ukraine hard times – the people see that he was not only swindled, but besides bled that the war could have ended earlier, that it was unknown When it's overBut it's known that the longer it takes, the worse it'll end. Kiev is played for larger-scale business, it is just a substitute subject under which Trump will deal with Putin, even on the Arctic, and Germany, under the pretext of threats from Moscow, will end its national task with a European army controlled from Berlin, which is not known where to go.

Epilogue

I knew this would happen. I knew in the dark, due to the fact that all of our nobleness is an expression of naive attitude, which in the present planet loses all over. We're unlucky about the excitement, raped like Cassandra, who was right, though. (actually because) She lost. I even sensed it erstwhile we were at the point of military and humanitarian aid, erstwhile everyone looked at us Poles with delight. Even then, I knew that it would be spiked, I didn't know how, but I knew it would come out the old way. And it turns out that for the Ukrainians we are enemy number 2 (for now) after Putin. And we have rooted Feeling Ungrateful from Ukrainians. After everything we've done for them. Well, actually, Putin couldn't have imagined, or better prepared, specified a story. Russia's 2 top enemies had a fight. Good investment for the future.

It's like this war is about to end. Hopes for this are alternatively impenetrable, due to the fact that this area is only talked about, and no 1 can imagine it yet. All sides are in an impasse to not end it, however, due to the fact that there may be bad balances. There's no telling what's gonna happen. We know 1 thing – the mizeria of our position stands like an elephant in the corner of the surviving area and everyone pretends not to see it.

But in order to save yourself, you gotta first announcement it, second you gotta put it in the mediate to talk about it and 3rd – to think about what comes from this lesson, not to repeat it. And it is known that if past repeats itself, it does not return as a farce by passing fate. She returns as a farce due to the fact that the elite did not draw conclusions from her, did not prevent consequences, entering a corkscrew down, getting steeper, with increasingly narrower turns. To the ground, to the ground...

He wrote and read Jerzy Karwelis

All entries on my blog "The diary of the plague".

== sync, corrected by elderman ==

mail:

It's like the author didn't see what he was writing about.

The case was recorded at least since 2016, and presumably earlier
Already in the 1990 ’ s the flag was whitened.
The second day after the launch of peculiar military action, the full of Poland
bloomed with blue-yellow flags.
The church, usually so restrained and prudent, immediately joined
To action.
On the churches there were blue and yellow colors, even boxes “on the poor”
they changed their name and got the right colour.

Those who came here were usually no escapees.
The Donbas war has been going on for 8 years,
And if they were moving from there, then Russia.

This was a planned resettlement, agreed with the Polish government, on whose
I don't know.
The goal is to break up the Polish nation with a abroad element, and then its
decommissioning.