Will the war for Ukraine take over Poland? Of course I do. The question is when.
Tomorrow it will be a year from the Russian full-scale invasion of Ukraine that Europe has not seen since 1945. Will this war, being a de facto gigantic hybrid clash of Russia and a collective liberal Western world, under the leadership of the United States, go to the phase of classical war and embrace Poland. Of course it is, very small is missing from this point, and we are constantly seeing advancement in this area.
Firstly, let us not be hypocrites, we have been preparing for this confrontation with Russia in Poland for decades. Secondly, political elites and public opinion after decades of ongoing and constantly deepening anti-Russian narratives have accepted what is happening in Ukraine as something expected and obvious. And the most crucial thing, after a year of war in Ukraine under the influence of profiled information from the front, over divisions we are convinced in the overwhelming majority that Russia is simply a failing dictatorship, “a ellipse on clay legs” and we will win it.
On the another side, at least since 2007 from the celebrated anti-Western speech of Russian president Vladimir Putin on 43. The Munich safety Conference, Russian propaganda prepared its society for the same thing, that is, to face the West, which is inevitable for Russia. The war in Ukraine did not begin in 2022 and started in 2014 and was the consequence of the expansion of the region of influence of the liberal Western planet and the American economy displacing Russia's decade-old influence. The entry straight into the alleged "Russian world" area, after the unconstitutional pro-Western armed coup in Kiev, led to a direct clash with Russia.
We have as “West”, a deep sense of civilizational superiority, defining fresh values and ideas, like the presently ongoing moral revolution under LGBT banners, which we ourselves recognise as universal and impose.
By operating the global net space through social media, emanating our culture, headed by Fb, Instagram, we are building a universal global planet of values, needs and model of life of the future man. The tools of the dollar economy, the global financial strategy specified as the planet Bank, a global economy based increasingly on transnational global corporations, but with its centres in fresh York, Berlin and London we manage financial flows and the global economy, we feel a crushing advantage, in our view, over backward Russia.
The war in Ukraine, and it is better to draw it out in the war on Ukraine, has a dimension far wider than the military clash between the army of Ukraine and Russia. Above all, it includes the start-up in the area of the economy and financial systems (economic sanctions, acquisition of Russian financial assets, blowing up Nord Sream gas pipelines, etc.).
The confrontation with Russia involves equally forming a fresh planet order, as a strategy built in 1945 based on the provisions of global law, We, as Western countries, changed in the 2000s , closer to an undefined "international order based on principles", which Russia categorically rejected and rejected.
Finally, the clash with Russia is besides an ideological war. The western LGBT moral revolution, emancipation of sexual minorities, rejection of all conventional canons and principles for the sake of unfettered liberal expression and freedom including in the moral sphere, aesthetics, arts and upbringing of children and youth, marginalization of the function of churches and religions, climate defence movements with the symbolic figure Greta Thunberg, fashion “eko”, collides with the conventional Russian culture, a conservative planet based on the principles developed over hundreds of years, including the household as a union of a female and a man, the conventional function of a female – the parent of a home fire. It collides with respect and designation of the function of spiritual traditions including Islam, Orthodoxy, Buddhism, Catholicism, evolutionary energy policy, conventional culture, dietary habits, education, kid and youth education.
We do not realize that, as the United States has changed, which are no longer a state ruled by white Protestant elites derived from European emigration, with the dominant function of the Anglo-Saxon tradition, and the Latin majority from South America, the powerfully represented black people of the United States, etc. So modern Russian Federation, is not an Orthodox country, Slavs, blond Ivans and Boris, powerfully imprisoned through studies, travel and contacts in European Mediterranean culture. European values are not a monopoly in Russia. There besides came the emancipation of the peoples of the one-gadas conquered by Russia and absorbed by it. The elites of Islam are very strong, many state activists from the Caucasus and Asian peoples of Siberia. A large number of mosques were built next to the church in St. Petersburg or Moscow, not to mention Kazan or Chechnya.
Modern Russian society is ideologically diverse but mostly conservative, traditional, rejecting fresh Western values and model of life and families that we build present in the US or EU countries.
Finally, Russia is the society and elite of the imperial state, recognising the rights of the empire to certain behaviours and rights. The United States , which besides has its spheres of influence and global interests , remains the mention point . In another words, Cuba, Panama, El Salvador Granada or Venezuela met whether they met with an American reaction, including an armed one, due to the fact that they are in an "American sphere of influence" and an area of importance for the "strategic safety of the United States". Russia and the Russians mostly consider that they have the same imperial rights.
It is besides worth noting that Russian diplomacy, for at least 2 decades, has been building a fresh geopolitical theory, a model of a fresh planet order that was referred to as multipolarity theory. It rejects this model of the function of the United States as the sole superpower, hegemon, for many "centres of strength and influence". China, India, but besides Turkey, Saudi Arabia, Brazil, Iran, South Africa, and Egypt, consider them to be such. A clash in Ukraine Russian diplomacy presents as an component of dismantling the function of the USA as a planet hegemon, after all Ukraine is an ally of the USA.
The war in Ukraine, with the steadily expanding engagement of NATO countries, is moving smoothly into the area of direct confrontation. The front state, very powerfully active in this war is Poland, and it is not a secret. Hence, the issue of the close future are incidents of an armed nature, military engagement which will drag us seamlessly into this war.
The Russians to this confrontation with the West (US) , including Poland, went from the beginning without hiding it either. The Russian side defined its objectives in papers called safety guarantees that Russian diplomacy presented to the US and NATO around 15 December last year. There is, among another things, an ox written request not to deploy troops and not to carry out military activity in Ukraine and in another russian countries and to retreat allied troops deployed to the territories of the fresh NATO associate States after May 1997 (after signing the NATO-Russia Act) or from Poland.
We can imagine present agreeing to leave Poland by US troops and liquidating US bases in Poland? Apart from the margin of the extra-parliamentary plankton of the endecite sentiment, anti-systemists, or likewise the "number" margin of the leftistly revolutionary anti-American, no real political force in Poland will accept this.
In conclusion , the multifaceted contradictions between the Western Liberal countries and Russia are indisputable and the area of compromise is marginal. The war clash is so inevitable, as Carl Phillip von Clausewitz, a Prussian war theorist, wrote, "war is politics, guided only by another means."
The area of military conflict between the East and the West, as it was during the First planet War 1914-1918 and planet War II 1939-1945, mostly runs in Poland and neighbouring territories. The clash in any form will be such, not another decisions of our authorities and deep, beyond the divisions of the consensus of Polish political forces in this area. All that remains is to wait and watch, due to the fact that changing the current course of history, in my subjective opinion, is impossible. Going back to what was going to be, and what will be, it will not be until, among another things, as a consequence of the war on Ukraine.
KP
