If the second circular of elections had taken place today, the votes would have spread as follows: Rafał Trzaskowski, candidate of the Civic Coalition, would have obtained 52.8 percent of support, and Karol Nawrocki, supported by the Law and Justice Office, would have gained 47.2%.
The survey was conducted on 7-10 May by CATI (phone interviews) on a example of 1,000 respondents. It is worth noting that they were carried out before the presidential debate, which took place on 12 May. The first circular of presidential elections will take place on Sunday, May 18, and a possible second circular is scheduled for 1 June.
Presidential poll 1 week before the election
As we wrote in NaTemat.pl, on Monday 12 May the Institute of marketplace and Social investigation published the latest survey conducted on behalf of Polish Radio 24. The leader of this survey is Rafał Trzaskowski, who obtained 31.5 percent of the votes.
In second place was Karol Nawrocki with a score of 23.6 percent. 3rd place belongs to Sławomir Mentzen. The Confederate candidate won 12.6 percent of the vote. The following items are presented:
Simon Holownia – 8.6 percent,
Magdalena Biejat – 6.4 percent,
Adrian Zandberg – 5.4 percent,
Grzegorz Braun – 2.6 percent,
Krzysztof Stanowski – 1.6%,
Marek Jakubiak – 1.1 percent,
Joanna Senyszyn – 0.9%,
Maciej Maciak – 0.4%,
Artur Bartoszewicz – 0.3%,
Marek Woch – 0.0%.
The undecided percent was 5.1%. Respondents were besides asked to participate in the vote. 51.4% declared that "agreement" would take part in the election, and another 10.1% chose the answer "more or little so".
In turn, 25.7% do not intend to vote, and 11.09 percent declared that they would not go to the polls. The IBRiS survey was conducted on 10-11 May 2025 by CATI (phone interviews) on a nationwide, typical example of 1067 people.
