The people most pleased with the death of Ismail Haniyeh in Tehran on July 31 are presently not only in Jerusalem but besides in underground tunnels in Gaza.
It belongs to them. Yahya Sinwar, actual leader of the Brigade Ezzedeen Al-Quassam, Fighting Gaza with an Israeli invader. Sinwar and Haniyeh hated each another and fiercely competed for actual, not nominal, leadership in Hamas—which they knew well active intelligence services in the region, primarily Israeli and arabian states.
Haniyeh has been head of Hamas Politburo since 2017. As of 2019, he was on emigration in Doha, where Hamas sponsored negotiations with Israel. Tel Aviv maintains unofficial contacts with Doha, Qatar, alongside Egypt and the United States, has patronized the negotiations of the judaic State and the Muslim opposition on the interruption of the ten-month war in Gaza. Hamas' face in these negotiations was Haniyeh. Of course, he did not have a mandate or adequate political power to make peace on Hamas' part, but he could negociate a long-term hudna – a truce. According to reports from the American press, the possible of breaking fire in exchange for the release of Israeli hostages held by Hamas was to be close.
On the another hand, the permanent resident in Gaza, Sinwar, was most likely in favour of the attack on Israel last October 7. Formal leader Ezzedeen Al-Quassam Mohammed Deif, According to the judaic government, he was to die on 13 July in an Israeli attack on Khan Yunis. Hamas denied the death of his military leader, however, if it were found that he was actually killed, Yahiya Sinwar would stay the only 1 in the political square of the fight. Born in Gaza, Sinwar never believed in the sense of negotiation and is simply a supporter of the armed conflict with Israel. It has Israeli hostages in Gaza. The American press credited him with saying that Palestinian victims would harden the spirit of this nation, although Hamas denies the veracity of these reports.
Haniyeh's death is so a defeat of force centres organising the deescalation process. It is not amazing in this context that the Prime Minister of Qatar Sheik Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thiani He asked, "How can mediation win erstwhile 1 organization kills the negotiator of the another party?" and appointed on 3 July the fresh abroad Minister of Egypt Badr Abdelatty He complained that "Israel has no political will to bring about a ceasefire". The United States refused to comment on Haniyeh's murder, Secretary of defence Lloyd Austin However, he had to ritually guarantee that, in the event of the escalation of the conflict, the US would defend Israel.
Ismail Haniyeh at an audience with Iran's ultimate Leader Ali Chamenei
In the context of the United States presidential elections scheduled for November 5, attention should be paid to open support in March this year by Kamala Harris The concept of ceasefire for six weeks in exchange for Hamas' release of hostages. Kamala Harris is married to a hebrew Douglas Ernhoff and is judged by the judaic community as full loyal to their interests, but this does not mean loyalty to interests Benjamin Netanjah, looking forward to maintaining power in extending the "border war" of average strength with Hamas and Hezbollah. In turn Donald Trump is politically close to Netanjahu and is simply a supporter of giving Israel a free hand in terms, according to his own words, of "finish the problem" with Gaza.
Haniyeh's execution is simply a major prestigious blow to Iran, as it occurred in the territory of that country, the day after the death of the individual who was murdered in swearing in. Masuda Pezeskeana for president of the country on 30 July in the Mahlis forum. The ceremony was besides attended by Palestinian muslim Jihad leader Ziyad al-Nakhalah, as well as representatives of Hutich and Hezbollhahu. The safety of the invited guests was liable for the muslim Revolutionary defender Corps (KSRI), for which Haniyeh's death is an undeniable embarrassment. The success of the Haniyeh assassination puts the KSRI's ability to defend the lives of Iran's leaders themselves, as the killing was carried out in northern Tehran where the residences of crucial officials and war heroes are located.
The assassination of Ismail Haniyeh and the death in the Israeli drone attack of Chief Hezbollah Fuada Shukra On 30 July in the suburbs of Beirut, it undoubtedly represents a strong hit in the Iranian opposition Axis, which includes, in addition to Iran itself, besides Syria, Hutch, Hamas, the People's Front of the Liberation of Palestine, Palestinian muslim Jihad, Hezbollah and the muslim opposition Movement network in Iraq. In response, Iran is expected to escalate its conflict with Israel, but without crossing the red line of direct confrontation. A full-scale war with Israel would endanger Iran's atomic program. Without atomic weapons so far and officially depriving himself of its intention to get it, Iran could besides not inflict crucial losses on Israel, as his rocket attack on Israel of April 13 has already shown.
Prime Minister Netanjahu, leading to Haniyeh's assassination, won a "scalp" he can boast of before his supporters. However, the longest-serving leader of Israel besides needs to extend the border conflict with Muslims to stay in power. Continuing the war of medium-intensity with Hamas on the southwest perimeter and with Hezbollah on the northeastern perimeter, is simply a safeguard for Netanjah's political life and his government. The war that Israel is able to effectively manage is an component of intrastate political propaganda, consolidating the Israeli public around it.
In comments reluctant to Hamas, there are sometimes allegations that he is Israel's "product" and is "controlled" by him. Insinuating any dependence and even a silent agreement between Hamas and the judaic state is evidently nonsense. If there is any “control” here, this is “indirect control” – as described in this article; Israel “models” Hamas and his reactions, “slicing” him according to its will, by selectively eliminating unfavorable activists. However, these activists are not the most fanatical and aggressive ones, but those seeking to deescalate.
In Jerusalem and Washington, they are most likely aware that the Israeli “war against terror” will never bring a definitive “win”, just as the akin war declared by the United States after the 2001 bombings could not bring specified a victory. Hamas cannot be definitively eradicated, just as it has not been definitively eradicated to this day in a residual form and inactive functioning al-Qaeda.
However, the 2 “wars with terror” are not meant to “conquer” them (this is just authoritative propaganda), but to manage them skillfully and to re-assemble them accordingly. In these wars, neither Al-Qaeda was the "US operation under the false flag" nor Hamas is the "Israel operation under the false flag" as suggested by conspiracy theorists. However, both Al-Qaeda was played by the US and Hamas is played by Israel.
However, the American "war against terror" was in a different economy of scale than the Israeli one. The United States had the support of almost the full world. Israel is isolated and condemned by almost the full world. Kremlin Press Secretary Dmitri Doskov "clearly condemned" Haniyeh's assassination. Russian Deputy Minister for abroad Affairs Mikhail Bogdanov he called them “an unacceptable political murder”. The assassination of his political ally and Haniyeh's "brother" president Turkey Recep Tayyip Erdogan He called it "Zionist barbarism" and the abroad minister of this country Hakan Fidan He called them “honorable”. A spokesperson for the Afghan Government Zabihullah Mujahid stated that the Afghan authorities consider the defence of Hamas to be both political and humanitarian. The killing was besides condemned by the authorities of erstwhile Israeli-close Pakistan. Tel Aviv's tumultuous policy even pushes distant from him his conventional silent allies and most of the supporters of the past prevent the support of the judaic state.
The question of hostages remains an open wound in Israel's interior policy. For Bibi, their probable death is the “immeasurable cost” in the “fair defensive war” of the judaic state, whose only morally just solution would be to destruct Hamas altogether. More and more Israelis think differently, however, not accepting specified a "side effects" of war, the real aim of which is not Israel's military triumph over the Palestinians, but the Prime Minister's political triumph over his home opponents, and the Palestinians themselves are only a tool which the Prime Minister uses to drive Likudu's competitors to the corner of Parliament's opposition.
Ronald Lasecki
Ismail Haniyeh (in the 3rd row) at the ceremony of Qasem Soliemani, head of Iranian services killed by Israel (2020). Photo: Wikipedia
Think Poland, No. 33-34 (11-18.08.20124)
