From 5 to 8 years — so much time, according to the German document, will take Vladimir Putin's forces to rebuild and regroup for the NATO war after the losses suffered in Ukraine. General Inspector of the German Armed Forces Carsten Breuer believes this may take even little time.
— We must be ready for war before the end of the decade," he said.
"Russians may presume that conflict with Germany is little dangerous"
Andreas Orth in a documentary entitled War of the Future (Krieg der Zukunft) addresses the issue of preparing Europe for fresh and old threats.
— In the event of a war with Russia, Germany will be an area of deployment of NATO troops, says analyst Franz-Stepan Gady of the global Institute of strategical Studies in London. Analyst claims that Moscow could possibly attack Germany utilizing "ballistic missiles, maneuvering missiles, drones and cyber attacks".
According to a specialist, in the event of a possible conflict, German troops will be deployed mainly in Lithuania and Poland. According to political consultant of Francois Heisbourg’s film, “the most worrying of the 3 Baltic countries” may be the location of Lithuania.
“ Russians can presume that the conflict with Germany is little dangerous than, for example, a conflict with atomic weapons troops in Estonia, where the British, French and Americans are stationed,” he says.
German forces are “weakly prepared for the drone war”
“ The Bundeswehr is presently poorly prepared to wage war with drones,” says 1 specialist in the film, citing an interior document. However, tanks are equipped with more and more protective functions.
— As a result, we in Europe gotta ask ourselves what bridges tanks can cross, says retired Colonel Wolfgang Richter, pointing to 1 of the many gaps in the European defence. Russian tanks, specified as older but lighter T-72s from the Cold War, have an advantage in this respect. They are besides cheaper — the most modern version Leopard tank costs around EUR 20 million (approximately PLN 83.5 million).
The same applies to equipment utilized in air-to-air combat: the more complex the system, the higher its maintenance costs. The Eurofighter fighter is already considered obsolete. Germany ordered 35 American F-35.
German armed forces spend EUR 8 billion (about PLN 33 billion) on Israeli Air defence strategy Arrow 3. However, it does not defend against maneuvering missiles. Scientist Justin Bronk of the Royal United Services Institute in London describes this investment as “less than pleasant”. “Many another things could have been bought with the same money. The main problem is that it is an Israeli system, so it cannot be integrated into NATO's air defence system, he believes.
The “war of the future” will look completely different
In the current situation, the main burden of air defence should be the Patriot system. However, the Bundeswehra presently has only 9 systems. However, to defend the full country, it would need, according to the calculations of the Hamburg researcher, about 50-60 pieces.
But even they would only be able to defy the attacks to a tiny extent. “We should not take words about protecting Europe utilizing the Iron Dome or the shield as a good coin. It's just marketing. It does not warrant full security, warns Kadyshev.
The documentary ZDF concludes that "technology and communication" will play a key function in the battlefield of the future. Soldiers will inactive be needed to storm enemy positions. The “war of the future” will look completely different, however. — Robots, drones, and artificial intelligence will play an crucial function in it — at the same time, they will not deficiency real dead, wounded, and fighting in trenches.
Most victims of the analyst Franz-Stefan Gady anticipate at the beginning of a possible war.
— This will disproportionately affect combat troops on the German or NATO side. We're talking tens of thousands of victims in the first hours. Is NATO able to bear specified losses? He surely does not, he says.
