America has set itself on bare strength. And this is simply a strategical decision – Trump's successor will not be able to trust on anything else, due to the fact that the restoration of the relation will take years – if not decades. Trump effectively threw a number of abroad policy tools into the trash.
President Donald Trump led the world's top power. The power of the top in all respect, in fact: military, economic, cultural, diplomatic, and soft force. At the same time, his control of the Republican organization and the ultimate Court gives him almost dictatorial power to control the state machine. And he decided to usage that power.
He started by burning bridges – to make it clear to everyone that the jokes were over. He questioned all alliances and alliances, threatening to annex territories or even full countries. He besides stopped all global aid overnight, inhibiting many lifesaving programs worldwide. America has set itself on bare strength. And this is simply a strategical decision – Trump's successor will not be able to trust on anything else, due to the fact that the restoration of the relation will take years – if not decades. Trump effectively threw a number of abroad policy tools into the trash.
When all this was clear, he went on to apply force by setting ultimats – both inside the US to his political opponents and to the full planet – primarily in the form of customs. The blow fell at the same time, although with different forces – dependent on the level of the trade deficit with goods. due to the fact that Trump considers specified a deficit a theft – which would mean that my local store is stealing from me due to the fact that I undoubtedly have a trade deficit with him.
The light fear fell on everyone, while Trump waited for delegations of countries willing to humble themselves to him. The fresh trade agreements were to be the first and fast success of his presidency. As he said, trade wars are large and easy to win. Meanwhile, before anyone could wink, there was a reaction from China – the most heavy charged duties which symmetrically responded to the imposition of identical US import duties – in the most delicate areas of Trump (mainly agriculture). Infuriated Trump raised duties even more, which faced China's next reply. The Spiral stopped at 145% erstwhile China consciously announced that they would not make fools of themselves and proceed to rise duties will not – due to the fact that it does not substance whether the duties are 140% or 1400% – trade will cease anyway. And so both sides became impasse. Trump demanded a unilateral removal of duties by China before further negotiations – the Chinese did not even respond. Trump lied about Xi wanting to call him – the Chinese denied it. At the end, Trump withdrew (in his style, for 90 days) from the duties.
These dramatic events determined the course of the trade war. Currently, most of Trump's duties are suspended, and partners have seen Trump's stand-up pay off. Besides, not just about customs.
It's clearly in the safety zone. The eventual given by Trump Putin is openly ignored by him. After a two-week ultimatum Trump gave another 2 weeks. After another 2 weeks, he bombed Iran to distract. Ukrainians besides do not bend under Trump's force – although they play a somewhat more sophisticated game than Russians. They pretend to be curious in peace talks, so that Trump's animosity will fall on his favorite, not on the hated Zelenski, who dared in the Oval Office to bite off 2 self-confident buffoons, and this in the colossal disparity of strength and conditions. At the same time, they are rather effective in defending themselves against the theft of all their natural materials by Americans. Especially since much weaker Israel forced the US to attack Iran against all Trump's assurances that it would end wars (some even in 1 day) alternatively than begin. It is simply a right sentiment, though dictated by Trump's complex towards Obama and the anticipation that he should besides receive a peaceful Nobel. Meanwhile, American B-2 bombed Iran, after which Trump appealed for peace – which looked at least absurd.
It would seem that nothing weirder we would see if it wasn't for a fewer days later erstwhile Trump announced the ceasefire – both sides were actively bombing themselves. And if malice is to be expected by Iran, then Israel's behaviour is an open spit in Trump's face. Humiliation was so enraged that Trump was the first president to usage the word on "F" live on TV.
Trump's list of failures continues. On site, it already has the nickname TACO (Trump Always Chickens Out) – that is, Trump always spietra. Anyone who stood up to him came out well, and Trump's ultimat is present a joke. Of course, there will come a time erstwhile individual will stand up to him so weak that Trump will make an example of him and spread him to pulp while dropping his bile. But it doesn't scare anyone seriously.
Someone might say that the force failed Trump due to the fact that he only utilized it as a scarecrow, not being ready to truly usage it. He expected that in the face of specified power no 1 would be prepared to check his bluff. But erstwhile that happened, he was not ready for drastic action. The threat is only effective if it is credible. but as it turns out, there's no explanation for the failure of U.S. forces.
Russia was ready not only to threaten, but besides to usage its strength. And she did. And today, after 3 years of war, she has dug her grave and only deepened it. Russia proved to be military bankrupt, but over 3 years it besides became economic, technological and moral bankrupt. No substance how this war ends – Russia has already lost it. The economy, which nevertheless works thanks to the genius of the head of the central bank, will immediately collapse, as shortly as the war is over – as Nabiulina is rather openly talking about. The war cannot end due to the fact that it will be followed by a crash, but each period of its duration means only an even greater crash at its end. Then hundreds of thousands of immoral and frequently armed people will return home. Russia awaits chaos – and possibly disintegration. The demographic gap will be partially flooded with migration from the Caucasus and so Russia will become the second Muslim atomic power. Putin, trying to rebuild the empire, became his gravedigger.