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Tusk and the Nawrock problem.
Donald Tusk may be satisfied that Nawrocki's character is simply a problem not only for him, but besides for Kaczyński. The Law and Justice came to an uncomfortable situation, for Nawrocks are not just a right hand — they are a brown - colored ultra-right. In the long term, this could lead to the marginalisation of the Law and Justices by the Confederation and Braun. For now, however, it is alternatively a time-delay scenario.
Breaking up the coalition? Not real
Nawrocki and PiS's announcements of attempts to break the ruling coalition are not credible.
Left — Even Zandberg Together —He won't cooperate with the Confederacy, much little Braun. And vice versa. PiS, as a organization with a national-socialist profile, could effort to work things out with Zandberg, but it would not change the arrangement of forces.
PSL — entering an alliance with the PiS–Confederation camp would be political suicide for them.
Poland 2050 “The farm has become unknown. At first, he had hoped, but after a night visit to the Bielan home and stories about the “state attack” he seems to not know what game he plays.
Current polls under the electoral threshold should keep PSL and PL2050 in the coalition, which is why the government is likely to last until the end of its word of office. Darkness — or, indeed, brownness — can only come after the 2027 elections.
What should Tusk do?
Ending economical populism
Attempts to compete with the PiS and the Confederacy in the publishing field make no sense. The claim electorate will no longer convince and may lose the support of those who look at the state realistically.Clear PiS and Duda
Action must be taken to destruct the regulation of law, nepotism and fraud Quickly, definitely and within the limits of the law. It's a message that can attract disappointed voters.Direct the Worldview and Return laws to Nawrocki
The law on partnerships, on abortions up to week 12, on the Constitutional Court, on the KRS, or on neojudges should pass through parliament and end up on the president's desk. If he does not sign them or direct them to the so-called. TK, the blame will fall on him and on the PiS, not on the Democratic coalition.Clear Nawrocki's promises
If its programmes are to cost the budget of PLN 125 billion, precise sources of backing should be requested. The PiS slogan “For PO: Money is not and will not be” present sounds peculiarly current.
Public debt for the governments of PiS doubled (partly by pandemic), and the cost of its service increased from PLN 15 billion to PLN 100 billion per year. Additionally, there is simply a request to modernise the army, which will consume another 200 billion. Countries simply cannot afford to reduce taxes and further increase spending. Tusk should have made that clear alternatively than bid on the promises of publishing.
