Donald Trump announces that he is considering a "mass impact" on Iran, "greater than ever," and is close to a decision. The United States enters into the second week of increased operations against Tehran, although officials find that no fresh orders have yet been issued. Between the President's words and his administration's caution lies the hazard of a war that would hit the full world, including Poland.
The President's words
In an interview with Axios portal, Donald Trump left no illusions about the tone: “I am considering a massive hit. More than ever. I'm close to a decision. Everything is ready.” The president added that Iran "had not yet experienced adequate pain", and announced that Israel would join the attacks "in 2 minutes" if requested. It's the rhetoric of maximum pressure, calculated to force Tehran to compromise before a possible order.
A run that is already underway
The announcements don't go down. The United States enters the second week of tightened action in Iran, responding to attacks on commercial shipping. The scale of the operation is to surpass earlier this year's run under the code name Operation Epic Fury, and US Central Command (CENTCOM) keeps force on Iranian military infrastructure. At the same time, 2 U.S. officials warned that the final decision was not taken, no fresh orders were issued, and the Pentagon did not receive instructions to prepare extended operations.
Hawks and Tehran Response
A choir of hard voices gathered around the president. Secretary of State Marco Rubio summarized Washington's policy with the phrase "head for eye", and Israeli defence minister Israel Katz warned that Iran would receive "a crushing blow" if it attacked itself. Tehran doesn't give up. Iranian diplomacy chief Abbas Aragchi described the U.S.'s approach as "irrational, exaggerated, and sovereign", indicating that Iran did not accept the framework imposed by Washington.
The narrow throat that holds the world
The full confrontation takes place at 1 of the most crucial arteries in the planet economy. By the Ormuz Strait, controlled on the 1 hand by Iran, a large condition of the oil transported by sea flows. The attacks on commercial shipping, which have become an excuse to exacerbate American action, hit precisely this delicate point. all escalation in the region immediately translates into stock quotations, and through them into fuel and food prices across the world. That's why the war going on thousands of kilometres from Poland can look at the Polish home through the bill on the station and in the store.
What this means for Poland and Europe
For Warsaw, it is crucial not only to compete in the mediate East, but to have its side effects. An open war with Iran would mean a spike in oil prices, force on inflation and fresh turbulence in markets that would rapidly scope Polish portfolios. It would besides hit the attention and resources of the West as Europe faces a threat on its own east border. Trump plays with the tongue of force, but each specified game carries the hazard of rhetoric getting out of control. The question that should occupy Warsaw is: is the West ready for war on 2 fronts at once?
Source: breitbart
