Donald Trump announced on Wednesday 19 August that he wanted to meet Kim Jong Un in 2026. The American president speaks of good relations and 57 North Korean warheads. For Poland, this means 1 thing: Alliance safety again depends on the hard calculation of Washington.
Trump is betting on talking to Kim again.
Donald Trump returns to individual diplomacy with North Korea. The U.S. president told reporters on August 19 that he knows Kim Jong Un very well and that the fact of good relations with the leader of the atomic state is an advantage alternatively than a problem. How He Reportes Al Jazeera in material about announcements of talks with PyongyangTrump besides spoke of 57 North Korean atomic warheads.
It's a politically dense number. It is not just part of the American debate on Asia. If the president of the largest NATO state publically speaks of the arsenal of North Korea and at the same time announces a gathering with Kim this year, he sends a signal to all allies. besides to Poland. safety order is not given erstwhile and for all, and guarantees must be anchored in the real interests of the powers.
North Korea plays with fear and fear
Trump met with Kim Jong Un 3 times during his first presidency: in Singapore in 2018, in Hanoi in 2019 and in a demilitarized region at the border of both Korea. These meetings had a immense symbolic dimension, but did not lead to a lasting agreement limiting the Pyongyang atomic programme. This is the most crucial lesson for anyone who wants to see a breakthrough in the conversation itself.
The North Korean government does not disarm due to the fact that individual is polite at the table. He only steps down erstwhile the power bill becomes unfavorable to him. Therefore, it is in the Polish interest for Washington to talk about the position of advantage alternatively than the request for fast media success. In the background is besides the closeness of Pyongyang to Moscow, which we wrote about in the case North Korean soldiers for Russia.
Alliances hatred illusions
By ABC It would be Trump's first gathering with Kim during his second term. At the same time, the media indicate that the message was made after the decision to limit part of US military exercises with South Korea. For Seoul, it's a top priority. It should besides be a informing signal for Central Europe.
The Polish right hand must look at specified movements soberly. A sympathy for Trump's hard language cannot mean child's religion that all motion of Washington automatically strengthens our safety. Americans do their own business. We besides have an work to carry out our own: a strong army, the arms industry, the resilience of the state and diplomacy, which does not bring Poland to the function of a petent.
The same mechanics was seen erstwhile American policy towards allies caused tensions in NATO. In the text on how U.S. legislature criticized Trump after signals to South Korea, the credibility of the safety umbrella was besides at stake. Front states cannot afford the luxury of naivety.
Poland needs its own strength
For Warsaw, the case of North Korea may seem only seemingly distant. Pjongjang supports Russia politically and militarily, and all US game with Kim's government affects a wider array of forces. If America is moving attention to the Pacific, Europe must take more work for its own defence. Only that in practice Europe frequently means Brussels full of regulatory ambitions, not a combative safety community.
Therefore, the national consequence is simple. Poland should strengthen its alliance with the US, but without giving up its own cause. She should defender NATO's east flank, but not wait passively for another people's decisions. She should realize that in the planet of atomic blackmail, it is the army, industry, borders, and elites capable of reasoning the category of the state.
Trump can talk to Kim. large politics always require channels of contact, including with the opponent. The question is whether Poland will draw the right conclusion from this: national safety is built by its own strength, and alliances are effective erstwhile the partner sees us as a serious state.
Source: Bankier.pl, Al Jazeera, ABC, The Washington Post, The Guardian.
Source: Bankier.pl
