During Campus, Poland Donald Tusk informed listeners that during the current word of the Sejm abortion would not get a parliamentary majority. At the same time, a fewer days later, together with wellness minister Isabella Leszczyna, he announced fresh guidelines, according to which, based on 1 opinion of the psychiatrist, the kid could be killed practically until birth. Moreover, hospitals are to be punished for trying to get additional expertise. At first glance, this does not seem consistent. So what's Donald Tusk playing?
Prenatal homicide leaves the Sejm
The fresh guidelines announced on 30 August are, of course, caricatural. Prenatal homicide doesn't cure intellectual illness, but there will be doctors who think it is. Especially if it costs something. The Minister of wellness has already explained how the guidelines introduced fit into the current Life Protection Act and the condition contained in it for abortion in situations of threat to the life or wellness of a woman. "The Act does not specify whether the threat to the wellness or life of a female is to be sudden, highly dangerous," said Isabella Leszczyna a fewer days ago. It is hard to interpret this message in a different way than as letting go of the eye into pro-abortional medical environments.
Tusk explained his opinion at the time of the campus message on Friday 23 August as follows. “At this moment, especially the MPs from the KO say: let us effort to vote again. The problem is – I effort to be applicable always, in the sense that erstwhile we agree on something, I would like to see it through to the end. The reality is that Gierty did not vote, Sługocki was in the States on the way out, there were no 2 votes from us, but in fact there were very fewer votes," said the Prime Minister.
However, Members in a method sense may be right. The vote on the bill on the depenalization of abortion of 12 July this year was lost minimally by supporters of the admissibility of prenatal killing. Life won thanks to favorable circumstances and possibly a real mobilisation of the pro-abortion coalition, with even partial demobilization of another Members, could bring the expected consequence to Tusk's colleagues. However, Tusk decided to act not through the bill, but on the basis of fresh guidelines. Why? You can find quite a few reasons.
Surely the Prime Minister, the man – as he said about himself – practical, did not want to exposure himself to another possible defeat. It would be an image problem and could besides origin tensions in the ruling coalition. However, if we could win any vote, the Left would triumph by announcing its victory, and that part of the PSL MPs whose pro-abortion course does not like could declare their own moral or possibly immediately political sovereignty. At the same time, Tusk, his government and his organization would become a lightning rod gathering all the attacks, whether from opposition parties or Catholic opinion. Clearly, the Prime Minister is not at all certain that fulfilling the electoral promise of abortion would bring him political benefits. He most likely thinks the Law and Justice have lost the election due to the substance of protecting life, and he does not want to make that mistake. We must besides remember that pro-abortion actions of the Sejm would most likely meet with the veto of the President.
He besides seems to have learned from the experiences of Jarosław Kaczyński. Throughout the years of the regulation of the Law and Justice Party, the regulation of “till we regulation will be...” was in force in this organization as regards public affairs. And here there were various issues, specified as abortion or the work of anti-family and anti-religious indications of the Istanbul Convention. specified a policy allowed the Jarosław Kaczyński party, on the 1 hand, to keep a distance from the crucial demands of the civilization of life, and on the another hand to keep voters in check who feared coming to power of the Liberals and the Left. In a circumstantial way Donald Tusk followed – for now – a akin path. It will personally be him who will owe the centrolev electorate to the change in abortion, despite adverse circumstances.
The process of pro-abortion laws at the level of the Sejm is an atomic option in a game with the right. In an excellent way, it polarizes politics. However, it may prove to be, like any atomic option, a tool of single usage and in addition causing unforeseen consequences. Meanwhile, “guidelines” are a kind of interior tactical game that has so far brought Tusk the same benefits. possibly we are dealing with a solution that could have been accepted by both PSL and Lewica, and thus lowered tensions within the ruling coalition. On the outside, however, the present situation can be read in an even more favorable light for Tusk.
Firstly, voters can now rightly conclude that votes against abortions, coming from the PSL, can be circumvented. This means, in a broader perspective, that the organization of Władysław Kosiniak-Kamisha will be even little in the eyes of the public from now on. Secondly, erstwhile proposing guidelines that can open the way for abortion on request, they are further taking over the left electorate. No left-wing bill could offer the pro-abortion electorate as much as Tusk gave his guidelines.
At the same time, encouraged by the situation left-wing MPs began to brag on social media about their views, which proved to be very close to the horrors proclaimed by utilitarian ethicist Peter Singer. This has resulted in the stumbling of many people who consider themselves centrists and agree to kill children, but to a far more limited degree than coalition radicals.
One of these opinions in peculiar is worth mentioning. According to the head of the parliamentary club of the Left, Anna Maria Żukowska, the difference between the kid and the fetus is only due to whether the kid was born or killed. “The planet is different. Otherwise, in Italy, in Sweden, where fetuses with life signs are not saved, they wait for them to halt breathing," Żukowska wrote on social media. A user named Nero soberly wrote the messenger that “a kid is said to be at birth. And here I see that we are inactive talking about a fetus.” To which Żukowska reacted with a clear distinction: “He is after abortion, not after birth”. Let us add that abortion is besides the birth of a kid only, either already killed or about to be intentionally brought to death.
The celebrated writer of Virtual Poland Patryk Słowik besides responded to Żukowska's statement: “Mrs. fetus with life signs, functioning outside the mother's body, it child. Kindness’. In another opinions of left-wing women 1 could read, for example, that the fetus becomes a kid only at first breath.
Surely Donald Tusk, who is simply a man with no views, but very “practical”, received a study from this festival of left-wing superstition and from a reaction to it. Undoubtedly, specified a course of events had to be satisfactory for the head of the government – both coalitions someway compromised themselves. Similarly, Tuska must have enjoyed the poll that CBOS announced on August 30. It shows that the Civic Coalition has the biggest support among Poles present (34.8%), Law and Justice is second (30.4%), 3rd is the Confederation (17.4%), while KO coalitions settled on the bottom – Left with 9.8 percent support, and 3rd Road, that is Poland 2050 and PSL with 6.8 percent support. Tusk is most likely hoping that after his abortion maneuvers his position will improve further.
But that is not all. As I wrote, protecting the life of unborn, or actually allowing them to be killed again, remains 1 of the atomic options of Polish politics. It may be that Donald Tusk is looking for a golden key that would perfectly let him to polarize and mobilize societies again and at the same time win again. After all, next year we have presidential elections. So were fresh events a test balloon to test social sentiments? Perhaps, but it would be a hell of a plan.
The polarisation of the abortion issue itself seems to be insufficient, especially in the presidential elections. But what if Tusk's plan is to conduct the elections with the highest office in the state as well as parliamentary elections? Then polarization caused by the demands of killing children would only be a second-degree reinforcement. The first step should be the second circular of presidential elections. It cannot be excluded that citizens, erstwhile voting for candidates for parliament, will want to agree on this choice with the vote devoted to presidential candidates. Although today's plan is political fiction, it cannot be ruled out.
Tomasz Rowinski
