This poll will only cheer Donald Tusk for a moment. There's 1 serious "but"

According to the latest survey conducted by the National investigation Group, the Civic Coalition is the biggest support. It's seemingly good news for Donald Tusk. Only seemingly. His coalitions would not have obtained the required number of votes to be in the Sejm. Meanwhile, the formation of Grzegorz Braun grows stronger.


The OGB survey shows that if parliamentary elections were held next Sunday, the Civic Coalition would have won 31.66 percent of the vote. The second place was PiS with a consequence of 26.85 percent, and the 3rd place was the Confederation, which supports 16.7 percent of respondents.

In the poll, the Confederation of the Polish Crown made its debut, the group of Grzegorz Braun. It gained 7.27% of support. fresh Left would enter the Sejm with a consequence of 6.62%. Below the threshold were: organization Together (4.39%), Poland 2050 (3.38%) and Polish People's organization (3.13%).

The fresh poll is just seemingly good news for Tusk.

According to Łukasz Pawłowski of the National investigation Group, compared to the erstwhile survey of the Law and Justice Office, 7.6 percent points lost. any voters of this organization could transfer their support to the Grzegorz Braun group.

The full support for right-wing groups (PiS, Confederation, KKP) is 50.9 percent. If these results were to be converted into tickets, the arrangement of forces in the Sejm would be as follows:

Civil Coalition – 175 Members

PiS – 153

Confederation – 84

KKP – 28

Left – 20

This means that KO and Left would have only 195 seats together. It's not adequate to make a government. Meanwhile, a possible coalition of PiS and Confederacy could number on 237 mandates. In addition, both parties would not even request the support of Grzegorz Braun's organization to take over.



The survey was conducted on 4-11 July on a group of 1,000 respondents, utilizing CATI method.

PSL and Poland 2050 would not enter the Sejm

As we wrote in naTemat.pl, besides the survey conducted by the Studio of the Opinion24 did not bring good news for Donald Tusk and his coalitions.

In this poll, the Civic Coalition can number on 29.3% support. It was followed by PiS with a score of 29.2%. The 3rd place was taken by the Confederate, which was indicated by 14.9 percent of respondents.

The 4th place in this ranking belongs to the Confederation of the Polish Crown with a consequence of 5.6 percent. Further were left (5%), Poland 2050 (4.7%), the full organization (3.9%) and the Polish People's organization (1.8%). According to Opinii24, 3 groups present in the parliament present would not enter the Sejm: Poland 2050, PSL and organization Together.