The civilian Coalition is increasing stronger, which should be enjoyed by Donald Tusk. The Law and Justice are besides growing, which delights Jarosław Kaczyński. However, as the fresh United Surveys poll for Virtual Poland points out, the real power conflict takes place among smaller parties.
Confederate on the podium, 3rd Way Down
According to the poll, the current power would be having problem re-establishing the government. The best consequence in the survey was the Civic Coalition, which would vote 33% of voters (an increase of 1.8 percent points from the erstwhile poll). In second place it is reinforced by the success of Karol Nawrocki PiS with 30% support (+2.9 points).
The lowest place of the podium traditionally occupies the Confederation with a consequence of 16 percent (+2.9 percent points).
If the leaders gain, who does? The answer to this question lies in the positions of subsequent parties. The 4th is fresh Left (6 percent, decrease by 1.6 percent points), 3rd Road is in 5th place (5.5 percent, decrease by 1.9 percent points). It gains a bit of a lot Together (5.2%, an increase of 1.3 percent points).
At the same time, the number of indecisive people has decreased significantly. 4.2 percent of respondents do not know who they would like to vote for (it's 4.6 percent points little than in the erstwhile study).
According to the United Surveys poll for Virtual Poland, if elections were held next Sunday, 67.9 percent of the respondents would go to the polls.
We besides learn from the calculation of the HR that the 3rd Way as a organization coalition would not exceed the threshold and would not enter the Sejm. She would have done it if she had run as 1 election committee. But in that case, she would not have given the current coalition the ruling advantage needed to rule.