The United States and their function in the conflict between Russia and Ukraine

In fresh days, US Secretary of State Marco Rubio has stated that the United States will gotta retreat from attempts to bring peace between Russia and Ukraine if there are no signals that an agreement on this substance is to be achieved. This message caused a storm in the planet of global politics and highlighted the deficiency of strategy from president Donald Trump's administration on this issue.

An American from the University of Wrocław, Dr. Karol Szulc, believes that admitting the U.S. to retreat from attempts to accomplish peace between Russia and Ukraine means the complete defeat of president Donald Trump's administration. "There is no thoughtful strategy behind U.S. action," says Szulc.

According to Shulec, president Trump views politics in an authoritarian way, reasoning that 2 strong men (he and Putin) can communicate over the heads of all others. “He likes the deal, although he seldom achieves it,” adds Szulc.

In the last fewer months, president Trump had announced earlier that he would end the conflict between Moscow and Kiev within 24 hours, then he would accomplish it in a month, and the date of April 20, or Easter. However, as Szulc points out, "if you have a strategy to conduct peace negotiations, you do not exchange terms taken from nowhere that cannot be met."

The announcement of withdrawal from talks between Russia and Ukraine shows the impatience of the president of the United States. “Here is Putin, a friend as he described him, does not want to play his game. Now Trump nudged his ft and said, if so, we will play with others now," said Szulc.

In the coming weeks, Shulc assumes, “it is likely that nothing will happen.” The Russians will not change their course of action, which is to “terrorize Ukrainian people and attack civilian targets due to the fact that they cannot deal with Ukrainians in the field of combat”.

The 2 possible scenarios for the upcoming events on the Washington-Moscow-Kiyów-Brussels line are:

1. Expelling the American alliance policy with the EU for decades. Szulc points out that, on the 1 hand, this does not necessarily mean US support for Ukraine, on the another hand, European motivation to supply assistance Ukraine may weaken. In Shulec's assessment, this is simply a negative script as it means freezing conflict and greater losses on the Ukrainian side, including civilian casualties.
2. affirmative scenario. As Europeans, we have already received adequate from Trump's face and we already know that we must take matters into our own hands, not counting on little or more support from the US. Eventually, allies in the West will realize that peace with Russia is only possible in 1 way – by force. The Russians must lose this war, or there will be no peace with them," says Szulc.

With respect to the words of Rubia, who stated that the US had ‘other priorities’ than an effort to bring peace, The schultz predicts that this may affect conducting a trade war with China. "Since president Barack Obama, we have been talking about shifting the focus of US abroad policy to China as a major global competitor. Europeans have not yet supported the US in this area, and have even succumbed to illegal Chinese trade practices," said Szulc.