Krzysztof Bosak on the X service summed up the last “powerful government action” with the entry of the police into the Presidential Palace, the detention of Mariusz Kamiński and Maciej Wąsik, as well as with the most likely deliberate blocking of the presidential column by the city bus.
Krzysztof Bosak: A little intelligent and more fanatical part of the sympathy of the fresh government is delighted with yesterday's action. Trzaskowski even boasts about the action with the bus on his profile (respecting his intelligence I treat this entry as the perpetrator's signature; playing in Putin's style), but what truly happened is detrimental to the government at many levels.
Here's the balance sheet:
– the prematurely interrupted action of the president to defend convicted MPs solved a situation from which he did not have a good exit;
– PiS retains a continuous and favorable series of media events, allowing to stand up as defenders of the regulation of law and victims of persecution; – Poland's image is deteriorating abroad, agency and diplomatic messages sound like a banana republic in which the coup continues;
– government-president relations are in ruins only after a period of government;
– the political conflict between the Prime Minister and the president enters the individual level; on the escalation ladder of Prime Minister Tusk, there are most likely only detainees of the President's associates, search their homes and physical aggression towards the president's environment and family;
– any discussion about vetoes or joint projects becomes very hard or impossible after yesterday;
– the coalitions of the PO, especially Władysław Kosiniak-Kamysz and Marshal Simon Holovnia, put this situation in a very bad position, from the 3rd road they entered the road without retreating;
– reputation and trust in the Protection Service of your president are ruined; the question is: what about the protection of the President? Whereas it is clear to me that after this it must be organised again in another way;
– the government and president's cooperation in abroad policy becomes problematic or impossible; the Prime Minister pushes the president to be a political dissident alternatively than a partner from another political camp;
– after yesterday we are more than close to averting anarchy in the judiciary and in a state that the PO government will importantly impede the regulation of law if the government intends to adhere to the regulation of law;
– the question of whether the Prime Minister wants to adhere to the regulation of law or play purely forcefully ceases to be a public question and becomes completely real;
– average voters who have waited for a smiling, law-abiding Poland with a lower level of political conflict have the right to feel confused;
– abroad embassies stay silent, do not condemn further violations of the regulation of law, but that does not mean that the position of the Tusk government has not weakened over the last month. He may have shown finesse and tenacity in his attempts to find conciliative solutions, but he didn't even effort it.
This is, in my opinion, the balance of another (after partially unsuccessful business of TVP) military government action. There's no reason to be satisfied, no substance who you're rooting for in this conflict.
A little thoughtful and more fanatical part of the sympathy of the fresh government is delighted with yesterday's action. Trzaskowski even boasts about the action with the bus on his profile (respecting his intelligence I treat this entry as the perpetrator's signature; playing in Putin style), but yes...
— Krzysztof Bosak (@krzysztofbosak) January 10, 2024