- Politologist agrees that the civilian Coalition should rethink its current governance strategy
- — Her belief that if she absorbs appetizers, she will be able to “close the system” is eager. We have besides seen this many times, even in the days of “the Iron Chancellor” by Leszek Miller or the “emerged savior of the nation” by Jarosław Kaczyński. This only shows that individual is beginning to detach from reality, says Dr. Jarosław Flis
- — The problem with Donald Tusk is that if you want to be the most crucial of the dragon's 3 heads, you gotta make certain that the another heads don't eat, due to the fact that it's devastating, just to look for food for them. And this should be the task of a leader, not to crawl over the coalitions, or to exhort or instruct them, he considers
- More crucial information can be found on the Onetu homepage
In the latest poll conducted by United Surveys for Virtual Poland, Law and Justice saw a crucial increase in support. With 5 points per cent, the organization can now number on 32.4% of voters' votes, which brings it to lead in possible parliamentary elections.
Civil Coalition (KO), the erstwhile leader, recorded a decrease in support of 2.1 percent points, reaching 29.2%. The Confederation, in 3rd place, besides saw growth – its support increased by 3.6 percent points, reaching 13,5 percent.
Change to leadership. Jarosław Kaczyński has reason to be happy?
“ The law and justice, of course, are very pleased with this latest survey, although in fresh years we have seen many specified fluctuations. Note that the PiS in this poll has lower support than it had in the 2023 election. The fact that individual has come out of the gap does not mean that they are the top yet — it reduces emotions in conversation with Onet Dr. Jarosław Flis.
The Politologist agrees that the Civic Coalition should rethink its current governance strategy.
— assesses the expert.
In his opinion, similarly, the Confederate grew stronger in the spring of 2023, erstwhile Donald Tusk played hard to polarize.
— This game clearly failed and it was besides a blow to the “Confy” erstwhile the legislature Pact went to the parliamentary elections separately. Such a “three-headed dragon” took more than half the vote, and Bosaka and Mentzen's organization fell from 3rd to fifth. The fact that PiS was the biggest organization didn't save him from losing his power — recalls.
Jarosław Kaczyński has reason to be happy? Expert calms down: the coalition is not on a slippery slope
There is besides no uncertainty that "one or 2 percent points of difference does not mean that the ruling coalition is already on a downward slope".
— I remember that already six months ago, during the European elections, KO-PiS took place at the expense of the coalitions, and everyone said Tusk was eating appetizers. It's been six months and it didn't. The 3rd Road and Left inactive oscillate around 7-10 percent, notes Dr. Flis.
In an interview with Onet, he believes that "there will never be a two-party strategy in a country like Poland".
Tomasz Gzell / PAPJarosław Kaczyński
The political scientist points to Tusk's biggest problem. “They have power over him”
The political scientist besides points to the biggest problem of the current head of government.
— The problem with Donald Tusk is that if you want to be the most crucial of the dragon's 3 heads, you gotta make certain that the another heads don't eat, due to the fact that it's devastating, just to look for food for them. And it should be the task of a leader, not to crawl over the coalitions, or to exhort or instruct them, he says.
— The real power of Tusk over the coalitions is at least as weak as in Kaczyński's erstwhile word over Ziobra. In fact, the coalitions actually have real power over Tuski. For example, they can vote differently in the Sejm and not peculiarly worry about the consequences, due to the fact that no 1 will expel them from the coalition. In addition, PSL will always get an offer from the Law and Justice,” he explains.
“This may indeed be a informing to the current government”
A political scientist from the Jagiellonian University believes that Donald Tusk's organization can draw appropriate conclusions after tense reactions to akin polls from Jarosław Kaczyński's party.
“ Flis observes.
The expert recalls that after a year and a half of government, in spring 2017, the Law and Justice had precisely the same ratings as the Civic Coalition now has.
— The difference was that the government had no allies. But 2 years later, he unquestionably won the election, sums up a political scientist.
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