The parliamentary election would win the KO with 33% support, the second place would be the PiS with 30% votes, and the last place on the podium would be the Confederation with 16% - according to the latest poll. Left - 6 percent of the vote - and the organization Together with 5.2 percent of the vote would get to the Sejm.
If the elections to the Sejm were held next Sunday, 33% of respondents would vote for KO, a 30 percent on the Law and Justice - according to the latest United Surveys poll for Virtual Poland. As added, both KO and PiS gain in the latest poll.
In the case of KO, this is an increase by 1.8 percent points from a survey in early May. PiS noted the consequence by 2.5 pp. better than in the erstwhile study.
On the final place of the podium in the poll was Confederation with a consequence of 16%. (an increase of 2.9 pp.). He's inactive here. New Left, for which 6% would vote (a decrease of 1.6 pp) Third Road with a consequence of 5.5% (decreased by 1.9 pp) and Total - 5.2 percent (an increase of 1.3 pp.). 0.1 percent of those surveyed would like to vote for another party, and 4.2 percent would not know who they would like to vote for.
In turn to urn 67.9 percent of respondents would have gone.
The latest parliamentary poll. In the Sejm 5 parties
If PSL and Poland 2050 were to launch as a coalition, then the formation would not get into the Sejm, due to the fact that it would not exceed the 8-percent threshold - the Wp.pl notes. Based on calculations utilizing the calculator Prof. Jarosław Flis from the Jagiellonian University, the portal indicated that in specified a scenario, Civil Coalition would get 185 seats in the Sejm, Law and Justice - 166 mandates, Confederation - 79 mandates, Left - 17 tickets and Together - 12 tickets.
For the current ruling coalition This would mean losing power due to the fact that KO and Left would have 202 ticketsAnd with support Together - 214. It is inactive insufficient to win a majority in parliament (at least 231 seats). The government could so form an alliance of the Law and Justice and the Confederation (245 mandates).
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As the portal points out, in the script if the 3rd Road had decided on a launch expression as an election committee, it would have a 5% threshold. Then there would be six formations in the Sejm.And the 3rd Road would get 13 tickets. besides then, the current ruling coalition would have 209 (or 2020 with Together) and thus insufficient mandates. The PiS and the Confederation together would have 239 votes in the Sejm and could form a government.
The United Surveys survey was carried out on 6-8 June 2025 by a mixed method of CATI&CAWI on a typical example of 1,000 adult Poles.
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