The Confederacy has a short breath. In 1 group of voters he has a immense loss

Only at first glance in the fresh poll you can see no major changes in the lead. In particular, the Confederacy's support clearly shows that after a series of excellent listings, the organization caught a breath of breath. Still, it keeps a place on the podium.


33 percent of support – that's what the Civic Coalition claimed in the Opinion24 poll for RMF FM. And that's all it took to take first place and outrun the Law and Justice. Jarosław Kaczyński's organization scored 28 percent.

The survey showed that the 2 largest groups stabilised support. In the opinion poll24 of 10-13 March, KO had 34 percent, and PiS – 26.3%. There is simply a minimal difference, but according to the authors, it is within the limits of statistical error.

New poll. What happens to the Confederacy?

A completely different temper of the fresh survey can trigger in the Confederation, which ranked 3rd with a consequence of 16 percent. But that's up to 5 percent points little than a period ago. Why the change? As RMF FM notes, this is the effect of the "outflow" of the youngest voters from the scope of 18-29 years. If we just focused on this group, the Confederacy's support fell by... 25 percent points. In addition, the organization loses support among men.

Further in the poll outside the podium we have the 3rd Road (7.5%). The erstwhile consequence was 6.7 percent. Even 6 percent did not exceed the fresh Left (5.6 percent). The organization Together had 3.2 percent. In turn 0.9% of respondents would indicate a completely different option in the survey. 4.8 percent replied, "I don't know / it's hard to say".

Let's add that the Confederacy has scored a large polling jump in fresh months. She jumped on the podium, recorded growths – as did Sławomir Mentzen, who "grown" in polls before the presidential election.

About who truly supports the Confederacy has late been writing on the Konrad Baginski theme. "Confederation is no longer a organization of young men from large cities. It attracts women, half the voters in the country. He does not request television, he develops without conventional media," he wrote. In a conversation with us, the phenomenon of the Confederacy was explained by Marcin Duma, head of the Institute for marketplace and Social investigation (IBRiS).