Somewhere on the margin of a march-racquet-ball mix of emotions, there is simply a reasonably crucial game for the future of the independency March, in which the main opponents are 2 Roberts: Winnicki and Bąkiewicz. From a conservative, "catechonic" or national point of view, it would be the most profitable triumph of the latter.
The PiS avatar of nationalism
Let us remind you that on 11 November the March of independency with Robert Bąkiewicz as president passed traditionally and by no 1 disturbed. The VIPs were attended by politicians of Solidarne Poland, as well as figures specified as Antoni Macierewicz. The turnout was clearly lower than in erstwhile years, which illustrates with measurable numbers the scale of firing the march itself, its full uselessness for the thought of a sovereign national state.
However, this is good news. There is nothing worse than Antoni Macierewicz or politicians of Solidarnej Poland, who would be able to be credible as patrons of any national movement. The thinning ranks of participants of the independency March are a signal that you want to march right under the wings of the PiS.
Of course, it is hard to fishy the average participants in the yearly marches for deep political reflection. Nevertheless, it can be assumed that intuitively they sense the failure of authenticity of this event. In fact, it ceases to be an crucial mention point, and if it had not been for the stubbornness of the Liberals to fight and discredit the March of Independence, it would have no more emotions. 1 can even get the impression that the president of Warsaw Rafał Trzaskowski inadvertently (?) delays the death of the natural march.
A stake greater than a march
Meanwhile, handling the expectations of the most utmost electorate, to put the "fascists" on their feet all year, only gives MN organizers political oxygen. I guess that's why Robert Bąkiewicz's starting option appeared on the table from the PiS letter in the 2023 parliamentary election. Organizer of patriotic march, nationalist, but "our", additionally fought by liberals, and by the way able to attract a decisive fraction of the percent of votes – for the Law and Justice, it would besides be the culmination of the hostile takeover of the march, which was the salt in the eye of the Żoliborski Warden of the State as patriotic, but independent of it. In the background of these calculations is the eventual goal, namely the permanent elimination of any non-PiS right, whatever we would consider of the latter, is, however, tolerated by Kaczyński at most as a transitional phenomenon.
Of course, the functioning of Bąkiewicz as the organizer of the independency March, and at the same time the policy of the Law and Justice would be equal to killing the march anyway, only on favorable terms. Despite this, for any reasons Robert Winnick inactive has a peculiar interest in taking control of the independency March Association. This means that he needs it for any intent and would service to strengthen his political position. possibly it is about assets that SMN has accumulated under the president of Bąkiewicz, and possibly something else that is in any case valuable to a associate of the Confederation.
Due to the above in the competition Bąkiewicz-Winnicki should be cheered on the former. The planet will not collapse if the current head of SMN becomes a PiS MP, and the march itself is just an yearly patriotic walk that does not stimulate anyone to undertake political reflection or national activism. In this regard, as an excuse to calm conscience and false sense of duty, it is more harmful than it is beneficial. So the sooner the independency March burns out, the better.
However, it would not be good for Winnicki to win Bąkiewicz this time and rebuild the association, already having serious sums of public money. This is peculiarly crucial when, as part of the Confederacy, any form of discipline of Grzegorz Braun is being considered, in which Winnicki is expected to participate. Why the strong position of Braun himself is important, I don't think we request to explain that.
Good Bad Bob
But let's do a thought experimentation and imagine that, in the course of the explosion, the loser after February 24, 2022 in the Confederate, there is no Grzegorz Braun and the speech of the party's message is given to the rest. The remaining Korwin then goes to the Confederate Zoo, and his co-co-coalists wink communicationally to the public that the aging freak is not taken seriously anyway. Meanwhile, it was Korwin with Braun – both of them seeking controversy, which is unbreakablely consistent – who became the voice of reason, even as part of an anti-systemic group, allegedly having solid interior opposition.
The 2 politicians mentioned must give their organization colleagues a serious headache. Their coalitions clearly did not grow up to the scale of the challenge that a real anti-system group must face after the outbreak of the war in Ukraine. In this way, as long as Corwin and Braun cannot be removed from the Confederacy's ranks, it is impossible to pretend to be reasonable or moderate, digestible to the Grouping System. On the another hand, Korwin, among another things by age, and Braun, by their own extra-parliamentary achievements, are able to imagine life outside the Sejm, which is their advantage over most Confederate stakes. For them, the Sejm is just another grandstand to preach the same ideas for years.
In opposition to Braun and Korwin, Artur Dziambor is now trying to legend. He entered the shoes of the 1 who would account for the Confederacy from “putinism”, whose face is to be given to Grzegorz Braun. This is at the same time linked to the doomed destiny of his organization of Freedom, whose 3 Members will lose their previously guaranteed seats to the Sejm. Therefore, building credibility as the 1 who tried to "repair the Confederate from within but failed due to the will of the majority" is the only thing left for Dziambor. Finally, it is convenient to show a dispute with the remainder of the Confederate as a conflict over Putin, not over stools, due to the fact that this erstwhile associate of the Law and Justice organization has had adequate contact with the parliamentary stool to let go of the dimension of his business besides easy – let it be besides from the letter of the Kaczyński Party. The present "torn" including Braun's public swindle is seemingly the momentum before jumping to the only legitimate patriotic camp, even if they are there some shortcomings on the free market. Besides, it is now Putin who sets the line of political division, so he goes to get along.
Silence Braun
Nevertheless, the temptation to publically mark Grzegorz Braun as 1 whose “radicalism” does not fall within the Confederacy line remains large enough. It is Mentzen – the main winner of the push of Dziambor and the Confederacy – and his fresh friend Winnicki are to be, according to media reports, the initiators of Braun's "punishment". What did he do? In fact, it prevents the creation of a Confederacy with a human face, or something that Dziambor tried to play. In turn pacifying the latter's accusations that the Confederation tolerates Braun's “proputinity” would require any form of distance towards the leader of the Confederation of the Polish Crown.
Let us besides add that according to the media, Winnicki, who wanted to deprive the Corvinists of the majority in the Confederate Leadership Council, was the co-initiator of the break-up in the KORVIN organization (now fresh Hope). However, Winnicki's plan did not presume a clash with the strong leader, the fresh chief of Corvinists Sławomir Mentzen. Winnicki thus reversed the alliances, leaving the Freedomists on the ice, for which Mentzen thanked Jerzy Wasiukiewicz's “turnover” on the Board of the independency March Association through a good friend of the latter, Stanisław Tyszka. Meanwhile, it was Tyszek as Mentzen's man who joined the Confederacy without a word of opposition, so the business was slaughtered.
Meanwhile, Grzegorz Braun is inactive a danger to Winnicki for at least 1 crucial reason. Braun exposes by his political activity the unauthenticity of the head of the National Movement, exposes his pettyness, cynicism, complacency, deficiency of rule and character. As long as Grzegorz Braun has the full right of citizenship as a Confederate politician, it is essential to translate from his “offenses” and to cut himself off from the coalition. A akin operation with Korwin came out neatly – the politician-senior himself gave the position of president, and the KORwin organization besides changed its name to 1 that no longer associated with the emotional JKM. The defence of Braun against Dziambor is inactive only the wisdom of the phase and the question of personalities, Since Dziambor is already denied the right to review the actions of the Confederacy, since this 1 is inactive on the way out, it necessarily besides concerns decisions concerning Grzegorz Braun.
However, this does not mean that the substance mentioned above will not be taken by the "leaders of the Leaders' Council", namely Mentzen and Winnicki. After all, Braun's reluctance to preserve the Ukrainian version of the past of the large Hunger or to specify as terrorists the heads of countries neighbouring Poland is simply a sufficiently credible pretext. "Now Braun has overdone it" – he would most likely like to say his alleged colleagues who very much want to put their hand in the moronic resolutions of the Sejm. Therefore, no Arthur Dziambor is needed to be polite and anti-Russian in the media, due to the fact that they will cut off from Braun on their own terms.
Clearly, then, this cutting off from Braun is any high-value currency, which the strategy concentrates on from people with soft spines and villainous characters in exchange for political life, and, after all, it is mainly specified as is unfortunately surrounded in the Confederate by Mr Grzegorz Braun.
On the march of Winnicki
Returning to the first postulate to fingers behind Bąkiewicz in the dispute with Winnicki, it is worth remembering that the little resources in the hands of the latter, the little opportunities he has. If he doesn't get the benefit of the deal he made with Mentzen and regains control of the independency March Association, he won't have something he cares about. Winnicki's injury will so be pacified significantly.
Moreover, the additional benefit will be the faster and more permanent plowing of the independency March itself, as it is Bąkiewicz who has the top possibilities of its stubbornness (in the PiS-cia), without the option of maintaining any appearances. On the ruins of the independency March and Winnicki's political career, at most at the expense of being replaced by PiS-owiec Bąkiewicz in the Sejm's benches, it will be possible to lay the foundations for a movement in which parliamentary mandates are the consequence of the permanent mobilisation of thousands of people in good cause. The Confederacy is not specified a movement, as evidenced by the loneliness of Gregory Braun, surrounded by foolish and tiny people.
Marcin Skalski