Ambassador Andrzej Derlatka, erstwhile head and creator of the Intelligence Agency, presented a shocking assessment of the scale of the threat that may affect Poland in the coming years.
To the Russians, we are the most powerful enemy in Slavic. You didn't talk about that. It was evasive. Today, it's becoming public awareness. president Kwaśniewski mentioned this erstwhile he talked about his talks with Putin, who said straight that there was a fight between 2 empires, 1 of which is in his opinion Poland. The meaning of this message is in the difference between the Russian lifestyle and the Polish one, which has a immense impact on societies, especially Belarusian and Ukrainian. It means, among another things, that Ukrainians usage the Polish standard as an example of success, which motivates them to reject what Russia proposes.
It should besides be recalled that Putin in a celebrated interview with Carlson last year listed Poland 34 times in negative contexts, frequently lying about our past and function in the world.
This is, and in any case should be, a clue for us to prepare decently for the actions of the Russians. And there are a fewer things they say that can have a very serious impact on our safety.
“Experts, generals, Western politicians indicate that the Russian attack on the West may happen within 3 to 10 years."
What are Putin's next plans?
Putin clearly states that the most crucial issue to be resolved present is the issue of the royal district, which is according to the Russian nomenclature of the Kaliningrad district. On the edge of the knife, he put the alleged safety of the royal territory and the prosperity of the population. In his opinion, which he spoke about respective times last year, the territory must have a contact with the state of Russia and Belarus. And I remind you, it's already in the late '90s. – although this information was not peculiarly popular in Poland – Russia, diplomatically, made akin demands, namely that Poland and Lithuania supply a direct corridor between the royal circuit and Belarus. Poland rejected them, as did Lithuania. But they do.
To any degree this situation resembles Nazi demands Germany in relation to Poland, in order to make a communication and transport corridor between East Prussia and the German Reich. Here, the corridor is to emergence between the Kaliningrad territory and the Russian matrix. Knowing the Russian fantasy, it could be a 100-kilometre-wide belt that will consist of a railway way and a highway.
Talks about this are definitely ahead of us, including the course of the route. Time will show whether if Putin's thought comes to pass, it will not run in the Suwałk area. It should be noted that this area is 1 of the richest deposits in Europe in iron ore, vanadium, molybdenum and another uncommon metals, which, for any reason, do not know what – Poland does not operate. The possible of a powerful injection for the economy by exploiting these valuable resources is indisputable. Why don't we? I don't understand.
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Putin will attack Europe?
Experts, generals and Western politicians propose that the Russian attack on the West may happen within 3 to 10 years. late Putin himself, who lamented that the attack on Ukraine had taken place besides late, poured oil into the fire. This was detailed by Lukashenko, mentioning that Russia should proceed its offensive in 2015 to settle the situation in Ukraine.
Weight of dense agreements between Lukashenko and Putin
Another threat which I see, which is not openly mentioned in Poland, concerns Ukraine and Belarus. It must be made clear that we are not making any territorial claims to this last country. We'd like the best relation possible. This shows our common past since Belarus became an independent state. We have 300 000 refugees from Belarus who have received permanent residence permits with a safety guarantee. Repressed and arrested otherwise. People who chose Poland as a place to live may not be for long years, but at least until Belarus becomes a democratic state of law again. Unfortunately, there are no views, due to the fact that the bond between Belarus and Russia is getting closer. Belarus becomes a de facto Russian province, ruled by politician Lukashenka. Moreover, from a Polish point of view, it is highly dangerous to have an agreement that Lukashenko and Putin concluded a fewer months ago about strengthening cooperation in the field of security.
“From the Polish point of view, an agreement which Lukashenko and Putin concluded a fewer months ago about strengthening safety cooperation is highly dangerous.”
Putin's Death rocket – Oriesznik
I'll draw attention to 2 exposed points from a full complex of items that are classified. The first issue concerns the strengthening of atomic forces in Belarus thanks to the location of the newest ballistic missiles Oriesznik, equipped with six atomic warheads. These are hypersonic missiles. It is not actual that there (as Putin claims) is no way to shoot them down. Well, the rocket systems in Redzikow are able to knock them down. Problem is, there aren't many of them. At the minute of the massive attack on Poland, it will prove to be rather a problem.
You can attack practically the full of Europe with an orchestra. If the bullet were located in the royal district, it would scope London or Paris in 5 minutes, according to popular opinion.
What's not to talk about in the media?
The second issue, which is part of Putin's agreement with Lukashenko, is the question of grouping Russian-Belarusian troops in Belarus. So far the Russians have been there in exercises, there they have besides prepared for attacks, e.g. Ukraine. Now, as the Russian-Belarusian army, they will be stationed permanently in respective points close the Polish border, e.g. close Grodna, from which the corridor to Kaliningrad is expected to be removed. This is simply a clear signal for us, what can happen and what we must do.
But in the media, it's quiet.
I realize that there is no point in causing more panic due to this, but this situation illustrates the dynamics and direction in which Russia will be moving in the close future. I inform you, this is 1 of the most serious threats that have occurred in fresh years.
“Putin says the most crucial thing to settle present is the question of the royal district“
Will Putin ultimatum be realized?
Putin in 2021, in an ultimatum addressed to the United States, to NATO and the full West, made demands that warrant Russia's safety.
To be honest and unequivocal, he demanded that we demilitarize ourselves. Apart from the fact that it besides demands that NATO retreat from all the east flank, which it sees as a buffer zone, separating it from NATO. It is thus an invitation to cooperate with various political forces, including in our country. And I remind you that we have 3 legally acting pro-Russian political parties, we have different organizations in the country, we besides have Poles (including erstwhile politicians) who flee to Belarus for example...
The Russian eventual is inactive valid. However, I see no space for NATO concessions. On the another hand, there is simply a hazard that any of our allies, in order to remove the minute of the war threat, will go with the Russians to make concessions. And our function is now to argue any compromise, due to the fact that it will be at our expense.
What another threats, according to the expert, appear before Poland in 2025 and what action should we take to feel safe?