Russian military maneuvers: Is the slide threatened?

In fresh times, the media has been increasingly reporting increasing concerns about Russia's attack on the sluice. An expert on this issue was expressed by Colonel Matysiak, erstwhile Deputy Chief of the Military Counterintelligence Service, who recalled that Russia's large military maneuvers could be interpreted in 3 ways. 1 of them is dangerous for Poland.

As the German paper "Handelsblatt" reported, there are increasing concerns about Russia's attack on the east NATO border. According to this analysis, if sanctions are relaxed during ongoing negotiations and Russia takes advantage of the chance to reorganise the army, this could exacerbate the situation on the east flank of NATO. An example of this is the slide, which is simply a distance of respective twelve kilometres.

Figures indicate that Russia has more than 1 million soldiers, and its military budget reaches over $65 billion. This data may origin NATO and Poland to be prepared for possible threats.

Russian expert Sabine Adler warned that there was a "real hazard of war". It could detonate in the fall of that year. This background is the military exercises “Zapad” (West) planned by Belarus and Russia for September, which will take place in Belarus, among others.

Russia conducted akin exercises close Ukraine 3 years ago. They served as a cover for preparations for an invasion of all Ukraine in the spring of 2022. According to the ‘Tradesblatt’, respective hazard scenarios be in the Suwałki gulf region. 1 of them has the protection of Russian-speaking citizens in the Baltic countries, which could service as a pretext for the attack – as in the case of the war in Ukraine.

Reserve Colonel Maciej Matysiak, Stratpoints Foundation expert and erstwhile Deputy Chief of Military Counterintelligence Service, commented on these reports in an interview with the Zet radio. specified comments appear occasionally, and after the invasion of Ukraine are intensified. You gotta realize that a slide pass is simply a alternatively crafted password, it's just a line on the map.

The slide pass is understood as part of the Polish border, the border between Poland and Lithuania, which was separated by the royal circuit from the territory of Belarus. According to experts, large military manoeuvres by Russia were treated as an element—first—of checking their readiness. Secondly, the readiness of their opponents, which is why they were conducted close the borders of the Natovian states. Thirdly, Russia treats them as a possible way of moving to combat activities.

However, according to Colonel Matysiak, Russia is not preparing to attack the slide pass. This is evidenced by the deficiency of reports of resource accumulation. You request logistics to carry them out. It's about supplies, ammo, food, fuel and so on. Before the attack in 2022 the Russians gathered troops from autumn until the end of winter. At the time, the Americans said the military didn't go to the barracks, they stayed along the border.

In addition, they collected specified supplies that indicated that these were not drills, but preparations for invasions. In this case, I do not see any data indicating this," Matysiak said. According to the erstwhile Vice-Chairman of the Military Counterintelligence Service, in this case we are most likely dealing with only intimidation. The spread of panic without the appearance of military bases indicates nothing another than the divination of the furrows.

On the another hand, this agitation may be part of the alleged cognitive war, the Russian narrative. So we make a panic, they're afraid of us. We'll see what we get. In conclusion, I believe that the "Fad" exercise should not have effects in the form of an attack on any NATO country – Matysiak concluded.

It is worth noting that Poland and NATO should be prepared for possible threats from Russia. Therefore, measures should be taken to strengthen safety in the region. 1 specified action may be to increase military presence in the region, as well as to cooperate with another NATO countries to thwart possible Russian plans.