Russia against the US attack on Iran: normalising relations with the US priority

Russia powerfully condemned the American attack on Iranian atomic objects. Vladimir Putin considered this strike an unprovoked act of aggression for which there is no justification (23 June). The Russian MFA defined the U.S. decision to attack as irresponsible, and the attack itself as a gross violation of global law (June 22). It accused Washington of undermining regional and global safety and making a breach in the atomic non-proliferation regime. At a session of the UN safety Council convened on 22 June, a typical of Moscow accused the United States of “putting on a single charter the safety and well-being of all mankind” due to the fact that as a consequence of the American impact, “the planet may stand on the brink of a atomic disaster”. The Russian Diplomacy has reported a motion for a resolution with China and Pakistan calling on Israel and the United States to halt the attacks immediately, and all parties to refrain and resume negotiations on the Iranian atomic programme. On the another hand, Deputy Chief of the Russian safety Council Dmitri Medvedev in a series of entries of June 22 on portal X found the American strike ineffective and announced that a number of countries are ready to hand over atomic warheads to Iran. He assessed that the Iranian government had strengthened and the US had entered a war in the region, exposing itself to criticism of the vast majority of states. On June 23, Putin accepted Minister of abroad Affairs of Iran Abbas Aragchi in the Kremlin, who he assured that Moscow "is making efforts to aid the people of Iran". However, the gathering ended without any joint communication or even separate statements. In its open part, the Russian leader stated that the talks were organised to jointly consider a way out of the situation.

The Russian consequence tries to reconcile 3 different aims. Firstly, he wants to mask his actual inability to influence American and Israeli military actions against the state, which as 1 of fewer gave Russia not only diplomatic support, but besides military aid in her war against Ukraine. Secondly, he wants to show his solidarity with Iran in order to win the sympathy of the Global South countries and further strengthen the wave of anti-American and anti-Western sentiments there. Thirdly, he tries not to alienate president Donald Trump and keep the possible of normalizing the US-Russia relationship. The second is simply a precedence of the Kremlin, and it is so not to be expected that Moscow will supply significant, especially military, support to Tehran.

Comment

• The American attack on Iran's atomic installations forced the Kremlin to rhetorically correct his erstwhile attitude towards the crisis around Iran. Moscow's main nonsubjective after the start of the 13 June Israeli raids on Iran was to prevent them from threatening the possible of normalising relations with the Trump administration. Russia so limited itself to criticism of Israeli actions, but avoided any negative assessment of US policy, attempted to keep contacts with all parties to the conflict and proposed its mediation. Moreover, she said that ending it would require Israeli safety interests. She besides openly acknowledged that she was not giving any military aid to Tehran (justifying that Iran had not asked for specified support). At the Peterson economical Forum (18 June) Putin evasively answered journalists' questions about assessing Washington's rhetoric and actions towards Iran and Russian aid to Tehran. On the another hand, he pointed to the request for the Kremlin to take into account the fact that Israel has a multimillion-dollar group of Russian-speaking migrants from the FR.
• Moscow's condemnation of U.S. raids on Iran is mainly addressed to the Global South countries, usually critical of US policy. Under Western sanctions, the Kremlin is forced to trust on the readiness of these countries to cooperate in economical cooperation with Russia. In this context, he besides tries to exploit the expanding anti-American sentiments following the US attack on Iran. At the same time, Moscow's consequence is limited to rhetoric and diplomatic action within the UN, which is of no applicable importance.
• At the same time, Russia continues to search the normalization of relations with the US, which it prioritises. Kremlin spokesperson Dmitri Pieskov, after gathering Putin with the Iranian abroad Minister, stressed that differences in the mediate East conflict do not affect Moscow's drive to normalize relations with Washington and that it continues dialog with him on Iran. Putin, criticizing the attack on Iran, did not mention straight the United States, and his assurances of support for Tehran formulated in a way that suggests humanitarian aid. This is due to the Kremlin's desire to manipulate president Trump to accomplish the strategical goal of strengthening divisions within the West.
• The Russian stance on the conflict between Israel and the United States and Iran is improbable to change. Moscow will proceed to avoid steps that would put her on the way of direct confrontation with Washington. Therefore, it is not expected that it will supply assistance to Iran, e.g. in the form of supplies of military equipment (maybe outside spare parts, components, etc.). In particular, Russia's atomic weapons should be considered improbable. These Medvedev entries were interpreted by many commentators as suggesting specified action and provoked Trump's own critical reaction. In response, Medvedev made it clear that Moscow had no specified intention.