China is presently a major rival of the US and a possible threat to American planet domination. However, this does not mean that they are anti-globalist forces.
Without globalisation, the fast improvement of the Chinese economy would not be possible, as you can see whenever it should be based on the interior market, immense but disproportionate to the capital and investment capacity of the mediate State, which simply has to find a permanent outlet somewhere and even then can catch a breath. Indeed. The Chinese task is based on globalisation, although not on globalisationNot as we know it in the Anglo-liberal edition. It is besides a civilizational task not to usage the notion of nationalist, lame in the case of China (in this respect, the fresh US strategy turns out to be only a fewer decades late and a fewer 1000 years late). The Chinese will not send their capital around the world, provided we become Taoists, of course. But...
Clarke’s 3rd Law
The Chinese task is besides based on technology which is increasingly hard to separate from ideology. Of course, it can be assumed that it is intended primarily to supply greater control of its own society, but there are besides applicable implications. small by little, if a essential subcutaneous recognition chip becomes essential to do business with Chinese, then they won't force anyone to implant it. There's no force to do business with them, is there? We have already dealt with 1 global Chinese technological/social engineering project. His name was COVID-19. You can't deny it, it was a strong thing, but I don't think anyone is expecting it. sequel?
At the same time, let us point out at erstwhile that there is no large importance to the intention, the expected planning of the pandemic. It doesn't substance whether the virus was American, Chinese, or someway it was self-procured, leaked, etc. It is crucial that the remainder of the planet more or little well imitated the Chinese way of dealing with the pandemic, where the present liberal authoritarianism is simply a blitz. On the another hand, as my editorial colleague pointed out Tomasz Jankowski – remaining in the Chinese (economic) sphere of influence Belarus was 1 of the fewer countries that did not decently implement COVID rigors at all. any tolerance for the small potential, but nevertheless the fortified Minsk camp was so full acceptable to the Chinese. This is besides an crucial difference between the Chinese and Anglo-liberal model of globalisation, due to the fact that the leading globalism does not let any derogations – which is besides the subject of European-Chinese relations, which is lower.
Considering the American point of view, it is worth noting that focusing on Chinese threat Donald Trump, Elon Musk and J. D. Vance It is not by accident that so much space is devoted to cooperation, but besides to competition in the field of AI or wider technology, data and cognitive capitalism in general. erstwhile we hear about data in the Polish suburb, we inactive think about the PESEL brother-in-law at most, for whom individual wants to take credit, and we besides seldom realize that the data about our own subject, which in all almost minute we spread carelessly on the web – actually they are already... ourselves, serving not only to forecast, but besides to make our real behaviour. Americans know what they are doing by throwing the slogan of the large AI crusade – due to the fact that they realize perfectly well that despite the achievements of Western capitalism of surveillance, the Chinese scope of collecting and processing these data.
Russia partner – China leader?
Of course, there is no uncertainty that China is the most crucial anti-American origin in the world., as for decades the US has been the main anti-British force – not in terms of the current geopolitical struggle, but as an increasingly apparent successor. Let us take Russia, someway leading liberation in a political and military dimension. In fact, what would she gotta propose, for example, to Poland and we to her? Let's presume that in any global situation, the Russians would be on the Vistula River again. What? individual would form a collaboration government that would have fallen 20 minutes after they left and then left to run a canning mill in Tula? Of course, with the rationalized Polish economical policy, Russia as a origin of oil and natural gas could become our very crucial partner again, but decades of our belonging to the economy of the large Germany have passed, the anticipation of moving even the nationalised economy in Poland into cooperation with the Russian marketplace is limited, mainly due to the fact that they no longer request us there, and in the world, including in Europe, erstwhile it is imagined – there are cooperators stronger and more assured than Poles. In fact, specified a script would require deglobalization, enabling politics and economy of fortified camps, with little, but give God to the strengthened Polish Wagenburg. Deglobalisation, however, will not origin Russian policy, due to the fact that this 1 has no instruments for this. The reversal or collapse of globalisation seems imaginable so far only in the context of American-Chinese competitionWhether as a consequence of the digital and financial war and/or real war, or as a consequence of the collapse of the full task by the losing American advantage. Again, unless in specified a situation it would be sustained by China taking over the leadership of the World-System. Then we would gotta deal with globalisation with the Chinese face.
Natural axis China – Europe
So we may gotta keep staus quo, the question of how costly and for how long, a change in the globalization leader or deglobalization resulting from the common collapse of both rivals or from the last defence consequence of the United States. The Polish impact on the consequence of the clash is none, which does not mean that we will miss its effects. A much larger Europe, however, can have the position of organised Europe, which we are part of if we do not want to. China is otherwise its natural partner for pragmatic reasons, it is mainly the European manufacture that yet found itself in Asia, so it is essential to keep the supply chain from there if capitalism is to keep its consumer character. However, it would not only be beneficial for strengthening this initiative, not only for the common drive from strengthening the Belt and the Road, but besides for the elimination of the legs of this initiative, headed by the Northern transition, which is why America is so interested.
Chinese technologies are besides complementary to the European energy transition (a origin of disadvantage to Poland). Above all, both projects, European and Chinese, are based on globalisation, but not necessarily the same. So if it were to stay more or little as it was in the world, only with the limited function of Americans, and then transform further with capitalism – it could happen, for example, as a consequence of Chinese-European cooperation. The American-Chinese clash will so not only be a Pacific war, but besides a competition for Europe. Will her current elite decide to match the changes in the current hegemon, or will they be replaced for a better fit for the fresh stage? Or will they take the first courageous step in their own defence and turn to the rising Chinese star?
It seems that so far encouraging smiles sent to Beijing by Ursula von der Leyen and Kaja Kallas It's just a Eurocracy negotiation game against Washington. Despite the beating received from J.D. Vance, or possibly it is in connection with him that Brussels is inactive not getting free of its ideological, mentoring tone, which boils down to educating Chinese, if not human rights, it is surely inactive in the Anytrosian tone. Yet Europe is not in a situation in which anyone from the East or the West can set any conditions.
Catfish and Ticonderogs
However, the fact that even though a global reversal of alliances is being considered makes the next question even more recent: what would be ordered in specified a situation by the states on the US short leash, specified as the III Polish Republic? What would prevail, our economical dependence on Germany, the European membership of the current management groups, or the possible orders from Washington, who will not quit the fight so long as their own and global financial elites do not become more profitable in changing colors to... Chinese?
Well, it is clear that in no of these capitalist and geopolitical transformation scenarios Poland will play any function if we do not choose to gain subjectivity, first decision-making and so economic. For now, however, this is not only beyond our scope but besides beyond the imagination of people and groups aimed at managing our country. They will not give Poland a fresh message to those who, before expressing any opinion, gotta wait for the message of the day from 1 or even respective embassies. Only individual outside the strategy can make decisions independent of the system.
Unless we're just going to wait for the Chinese.
Konrad Hand