In fresh months, pro-government Russian media have begun to inform that the end of the war is near. Proclemlovian war bloggers besides talk about this. The Nezygar Canal on Telegram, known for its ties to the presidential administration, stated that "most of the population will see the end (special military operation) as Russia's victory".
And you can actually believe the words that the end of the war is coming — but not due to its advantage over Ukraine, but due to the condition of the Russian economy that She's becoming increasingly inefficient.
Russian economy under force
As the war continues, the state of the Russian economy deteriorates and interior force increases. Even proclemlovian war bloggers don't hide it anymore. The VCHK-OGPU channel late wrote on the Telegram that If the war in Ukraine is not over soon, “the economical situation will get out of control by 2026”. And that's just the tip of the iceberg.
In the banking sector too, problems are becoming increasingly apparent. Russia is faced with a “catastrophe decline in the value of assets” and an expanding number of threatened loans — i.e. those that may stay unpaid — as stated in the Telegram channel.
There are besides financial difficulties facing the Russian military. Independent Russian journalists reported that in 2024. supplies of old tanks have halved. Experts estimation that by the end of 2025 the army will lose all tanks that can inactive be repaired. There are besides staff problems — less and less Russians want to join the army.
Russian divided society
The war besides led to divisions in Russian society. any Russians, especially those exhibiting radical-patriotic sentiments, reject the thought of negotiations with Ukraine and request “war until victory”.
On the Military Review portal linked to the Russian Ministry of Defence, you can read that any agreement with the US would be a “blind alley”. On the another hand, any war bloggers, specified as Nezygar, are talking about "the request to rebuild a peaceful life", stressing that "Most in agrarian areas have had adequate obituary".
Another threat to the Kremlin may be those who straight benefited from the war. This is about 40%. Russian oligarchs — thanks to Western sanctions, they could take over the Russian marketplace and replace any previously imported goods.
Some analysts believe After the war, these billionaires can become Putin's target. The origin cited by the Think Tank The Jamestown Foundation believes that "one of the main themes that can unite Russians may become a redistribution of wealth and reconstruct social justice". In this context, in the absence of an external enemy, the Kremlin may begin to look for "internal enemies" and intensify repression, especially if the peace carries an economical crisis.
Although the force for peace negotiations is increasing, it is unclear what the Kremlin will do. Putin may be forced to end the war by moving out of resources. However, there is besides a hazard that the government may exacerbate interior repression or even resume war to keep power. The situation is uncertain. 1 thing is clear: the coming months will be crucial for the future of Russia and the region.
