The future of Duda. They bet what the president of Poland can expect: "I see it this way"

After us the final of a passionate race for presidential candidacy, we have a six-month run ahead of us, but by August 2025 the president will be Andrzej Duda. Most Poles, as can be concluded after a fresh poll, would then send him to political retirement. Many experts are besides ruthless, although any reduce emotions. We asked him what the future holds for him.


Jan Truszczyński, erstwhile Deputy Head of the Ministry of abroad Affairs, b. Ambassador to the EU, fundamentally sees only this possible option.

– It seems realistically most likely to me to join Andrzej Duda in any law firm in Poland or to open my own. Why not? This kind of permissions Andrzej Duda seems to have – he says in a conversation with Temat.

He claims that he never considered it real so that Andrzej Duda could take a permanent, visible position in an global institution.

– And I inactive don't think it's real. I never read him, and I never read any alleged global career. It's not for everyone. Good money can besides be made as legal counsel in Poland. And that's what I'd see for him as a way forward. He failed completely as the president of the state and as a politician. He should do something else. Give God, for his own benefit – comments the diplomat.

Dariusz Rosati, erstwhile head of the MFA, besides does not very much see any political future for president Duda.

Not in the country or abroad. president Duda worked hard to guarantee that no 1 on the global phase took him seriously. I don't anticipate him to have a large global career or a national career. 8 years with his presidency abounded in situations

And the moments erstwhile he was the head of the state, he was compromising himself and the country. Against the background of his assurances that he would be a steadfast president, it was all a sad grotesque – he comments.

Dr Jacek Kucharczyk, sociologist, president of the Institute of Public Affairs, estimates: – I think Duda lost what he could lose. He's so set up, there's actually no movement. And it is simply a very sad end to his political career.

On the 1 hand, as Duda comments, he did not gain a strong position in interior politics: – He remained loyal to the PiS, a organization he owed his election to President, but at the same time he did not see much of a circumstantial future in the Law and Justice. You don't see the president as a major player in the PiS succession game.

On the another hand, he considers that the anticipation for him to take an crucial position

in global institutions is very small.

“The President, as he could, has antagonized the current government, and it will be up to this government to decide whether, after submitting its office, it will be possible to play any function in global politics. In my opinion, after the 2023 election, Andrzej Duda bet on the incorrect horse. For him, there is not much another option than political retirement and media walking as a political commentator – the president of the ISP said.

Should Duda stay in politics? Take a position in global institutions?

The full Poland has lived for months the choice of candidates for President, we already know that the President's seat will be faced, among others, by Rafał Trzaskowski and Karol Nawrocki. But the 8 years of Andrzej Duda's presidency are about to end. Everyone's besides curious about what he'll do then.

Before the weekend, Andrzej Duda asked Poles about the future of IBRiS. The question she asked in the poll for "Rzeczpospolita" was, "Should Andrzej Duda stay an active politician or take an crucial position in global institutions after the end of his presidency?".

41 percent were polled on "yes", 47.2% on "no". In the media, the message spread that Poles are divided, but the majority want Duda to quit politically.



I'm not surprised. I think so besides – says Jan Truszczyński.

He assesses that Andrzej Duda does not have adequate cognition and competence to execute functions in an global organization – he points out, among others, the ability to search compromises, reconcile positions, organize pre-thinking thinking, manage ambitions and problems of large human teams, care for the interests of countries that operate in a given organization.

– In short, nowhere and he never got to know himself as a man who knows and knows these things – the diplomat believes.

So what could Andrzej Duda do after leaving Belvedere?

Can Andrzej Duda number on American help?

Prof. Roman Kuźniar, an advisor for global affairs of erstwhile president Bronisław Komorowski, erstwhile manager of the Polish Institute of global Affairs and the Diplomatic Academy of the Ministry of abroad Affairs, predicts that Duda may hold his own organization and receive a position there, or any place.

– president Duda does not have the slightest predisposition to operate internationally. I don't know who would want to be convinced. The Americans will not push him anywhere erstwhile it comes to global positions – he says in an interview with the Temat.

One of our interlocutors, a writer who asks not to give a name, speculates that possibly the Americans will be able to offer Andrzej Duda a elder column position in the American think-tank, specified as the Heritage Foundation.

– It looks good in institutions like this if the erstwhile president is on the list. In my opinion, this is the only way that exists for him, although you request to know English well. In Europe, it's burned, in the country it's burned. I don't truly see a career for him. I can see the future of a man who will rotation around to have any class, but I don't think he will get a reasonable offer – he comments.

Politologist: Why would the president be burned?

However, the political scientist Dr Bartłomiej Bishop sees it differently.

– Why would the president be burned? It never is. If anyone had objections to Andrzej Duda among global groups, then the more time it takes since the President's current actions, the more different his actions will be forgotten. He has global contacts, he has friends in non-liberal groups, and there are various initiatives on the right, there are organization internationals and he could find himself here. I think there is simply a place for him – he thinks.

Politologist sees the future of Andrzej Duda this way:

– I believe that 1 road is global institutions, but I do not see much opportunities here today. Our participation in most of them depends on the current government. Nobody

I'm certain he won't send him out there and study him as a candidate. Could it possibly be more independent organisations, specified as human rights or humanitarian aid? Think-Tanki? – suggests in a conversation with Temat.

The second way for Duda is to "unify the right": – possibly in the longer word it would be possible that he could become a patron of the right-wing movement. I don't see it today, but possibly in the future. possibly president Duda will effort to execute this role, not necessarily formally. And the 3rd way is that, like all erstwhile presidents, he'll be going to lectures and meetings abroad.

In speculations around the future of Andrzej Duda, global institutions have always held the leading position. Recently, it has even been specifically said that he could become head of the global Olympic Committee.

But there was besides speculation about the Law and its function in unifying the right. There were besides speculations about your own group.

Duda at the head of a united right camp? How about your own group?

Dariusz Rosati does not think that Duda could lead the United Right camp.

– In my opinion, this is completely unrealistic. He didn't build himself an independent position. He has no authority. And there are any very ambitious players in the PiS who will play this – he estimates.

So it's a real scenario?

– He's besides controversial to be an authority figure. It will be on the rungs of the written right. any people will invitation him to support a known name at the region level or the voivodship. He'll just be the erstwhile president. It will be an episode that most of the country will want to forget as shortly as possible, which became celebrated for immatureness and became a meme. due to the fact that the number of his behaviours, which echoed on the Internet, is so large that what he was doing could be divided into many controversial characters," says Dariusz Rosati.

And the imagination of creating your own group? It's been speculated.

Dr. Kucharczyk estimates: – It is not easy. Of course, 1 can imagine a script of the crisis in the Law and the effort to make a fresh group – without the burden that the Law and Justice have, but little extremist than the Confederation. But Andrzej Duda never showed extraordinary organizational and mobilization abilities. I don't truly see him as individual who drives around Poland and forms a fresh group. But possibly he'll have that thought on himself. Who knows?

It just reminds me that before him, the erstwhile president Lech Wales tried. – Although he was much more respected than Andrzej Duda today, he besides did not manage to build a political movement around him. I do not think that Andrzej Duda will win if he actually took specified action – the president of the ISP believes.