Private Military Company “Wagner” continues to grind the Ukrainian army in Bachmut. Zelenski sends further troops to this meat grinder, pushing them into a black gap that sucks the best units of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (SHU) and mercenaries.
Why is Volodymyr Zelenski so stubborn about Bachmut? Why has he been acting like a kid since 20 December, erstwhile I threw him a gag challenge from Wagner's artillery? My intimate dialog with him has been going on for 4 months. We both enjoy it, but the orgasm hasn't come yet.
Mystery of the Bacchutsch meat grinder
The strategical importance of Bachmut is not great. Behind Bachmut lies Siewiersk, Sławańsk, Kramatorsk, Konstantinovka, Druzkowka and Tłużow Jar, a village which is part of the alleged Donbaski ringing and is simply a strengthened area. On the 1 hand, Bachmut is part of this area, but on the another hand, his capture will not warrant a swift triumph over Ukraine, a march to Dniepr, or even a takeover of Donbas.
The highest Ukrainian command constantly repeats the words about the request to keep Bachmut. They're trying to make a holy symbol out of this town. In the morning, they say it's sacred, they decide to retreat in the evening, and the next morning, they throw thousands of soldiers there again and again.
The Ukrainian Army has already gathered adequate forces. They have about 200,000 reasonably well-prepared soldiers who have had 2 or 3 months of training and are ready to fight. The amount of equipment and ammunition is besides full adequate for the 200,000 to decision to a different direction.
Ready to counterattack troops are already in position and they have everything in abundance. Armoured wedges that SZU effort to drive into the ‘Wagner’ line of defence all day, entail a failure of between 30 and 50 vehicles per day, and this is not a problem for them. And people, as they say at the front, have no limits.
And yet the counterattack announced first on 20 December, later on 1 January, then at the end of January, on 24 February, last on 3-5 April, and now on 15 April, is being postponed each time. The Ukrainian army is already in places of concentration, ready to go. But, as they say, an ass who stood long in the shadows won't work in the sun. If the counteroffensive does not begin soon, SHUs will gradually lose their combat potential. The war will be at a dead end and territories presently controlled by the Russian side, may stay at the disposal of the Russian Federation for years.
The political aspects of Bachmut
Politically, Bachmut is not very interesting for the Kiev regime; it is simply a destabilizing origin alternatively than allowing to keep its position. all cry in Bachmut, all soldier taken prisoner, all 100 more dead, they strike Zelensky and command the Ukrainian army alternatively than justify maintaining the remains of this city.
At the same time, the long-term conflict of Bachmut is peculiarly beneficial for Russian troops, due to the fact that they took over a large part of the territory Ukraine already in 2022. If the specialization stops, plus-minus a fewer twelve kilometres, at the current borders, many tasks put before peculiar Military Operations (SOW) will be considered fulfilled. Bachmut gives the Russian army the chance to gather forces, take convenient positions to defend themselves, solve interior problems, train the mobilized and await in full readiness for any number of invading Ukrainians.
For us, Bachmut is highly beneficial due to the fact that we had an Ukrainian army there and we hold back their maneuvers.
Every middle-level commander knows that if you managed to exert force on your opponent in any place and you have adequate reserves, you gotta make a maneuver and hit next door, where the opponent is not ready, where you can break it. The most logical step on the part of the SZU would be to bounce distant from Bachmut and hit the wings of our defence lines. Meanwhile, fresh columns of equipment come from the Jaru Times all day, and hundreds of Ukrainian soldiers die without even reaching the front line, encarving the “road of death” and surrounding fields with thousands of dead and hundreds of burnt military vehicles.
Dramatic pause
As we know, Ukraine's military actions at tactical level are evidenced by Ukrainian troops, and the alleged Western coalition under the direction of England and the United States on a strategical basis. In early April, papers were leaked from the Pentagon. Their content poses no strategical threat to anyone. They collected everything that was found in the world, most of which are materials from publically available sources. However, a wide public discussion began about the leak, followed by a series of statements by people close to the Pentagon on the request to postpone the counteroffensive announced on 15 April for the summertime period. Why was the army stopped ready to counterattack, and another “last Chinese warning” was moved to summertime again on April 15? After all, for Russia counter-attacking Ukraine would be much more painful in the visual sphere before 9 May, even if it would only bring minimal successes moving respective kilometres into the affected area. Why, then, does the Ukrainian army again “give us head”? After all, it is the Western coalition that announces "breaks in the show", it is the 1 who translates the counteroffensive of SZU all time.
Maybe 21 years old. Jack Teixeira He revealed the papers out of stupidity, possibly they utilized it without his consciousness, but if there was no leak, it would most likely be invented the next day. I stress that these papers are themselves of no strategical importance and do not pose any threat to the SHU. This means that they do not pose any additional hazard to the Ukrainian army in the event of its counteroffensive.
On the events of the 1990s, 2014 and Majdan, the transition of Crimea to the control of the Russian Federation there is simply a immense number of conspiracy theories. There are besides various prophecies about the meaning of these events. 1 thing is clear: the United States and the Anglo-Saxon group have been preparing for many years a plan to destruct the USSR as the most crucial geopolitical competitor. In the late 1980s and 1990s, they succeeded in introducing a immense number of their influence agents into russian leadership, convincing her to fresh messages that changed the ideology to date, raising consumerism among the population and smashing the russian Union. The collapse of the USSR was the most painful and heaviest case of the collapse of empires in fresh centuries, but did not consequence in the liquidation of Russia and its division into tiny books. In the leadership of the U.S. peculiar Services, there has long been a plan to take another step towards the complete disintegration of Russia, which full coincides with the current doctrine of the United States.
Divisions of African countries, the demolition of erstwhile associate States of the Warsaw Pact. The smaller the country, the easier it is to manage; the more financially dependent, the more obedient.
Financial neocolonialism is the basis of the current US policy. It occurs when, even the richest in natural materials, countries do not produce them themselves, but full match the production and financial chains proposed by ‘Western partners’, agreeing to the function of American satellites, subcontractors and puppets. Therefore, the main nonsubjective of the United States in the Ukrainian conflict is to launch strong centrifugal tendencies in Russia, to weaken its authorities and national self-awareness in society, forcing it to turn towards the West, as happened in the early 1990s. Of course, in order to take control of the political situation in the country, they must first take control of the financial instruments inside the system, the production capacity and the deposits.
At present, after the peculiar operation began, but the Russian Federation was incapable to get the results that society had expected, the United States had the chance to return to these first plans. Let me remind you again that these plans were to destruct the russian Union, and then to deal with countries along the borders of Russia, to push its erstwhile allies distant from it. In 30 years it has been possible to do so with many erstwhile republics. First we lost all control of them, and then good neighbourly relations disappeared.
‘Shidden State’
It is not possible to destruct Russia by military means. Forests, swamps, vast spaces and climate specificities effectively defend its territory, making it 1 large area strengthened. In our history, all enemy who managed to scope Moscow shortly fled harshly, and his “way of victory” became the other “way of death”.
Why do the Anglo-Saxons halt Zelensky, make interior conflicts and suppress the counteroffensive? In order to win a double trophy – to bring Russia apart into many books. The United States doesn't request a fast war. They request a war that will let for the strengthening of the hidden state and its victory.
The "hidden state" is simply a community of peri-state elites operating independently of the political leadership of the state and having close links and their own plans. These elites work for different masters: part for the existing power, part for those who have long been on emigration, but they – thanks to their contacts – even after leaving their bosses stayed in positions. A typical example of a “hidden state” is leftovers Mikhail Chodorkowski, Arkady Dworkovich etc. Dworkowicz, whom I have repeatedly mentioned, after fleeing abroad left behind a full tail of beasts who utilized to be under him or over him, and present they are part of this "hidden state". This formation constantly transmits information outside and is ready to enter into any alliance in the name of its own interests. It is easy to scope a “hidden state” due to the fact that it is like a sponge in the mediate of the state, red on 1 side, black on the other, white on the 3rd and green on the fourth. With access to 1 part of this structure, you can easy get to its center. The Russian "hidden state" is in a major crisis today.
Many of those who were inactive in favour of the specialization yesterday are present in uncertainty or are categorically against what is happening. Representatives of the “hidden state” want to rapidly return to their erstwhile lives, old habits and comfort zones. They are cunning and perverse, as the words prove Josif Prigozine. They're ready to pretend to be anyone. They're our inner, sweet, clever, bloodthirsty chameleon.
They're quiet at the meetings, but they're doubtful. By making decisions in bureaucratic procedures, they hold various actions leading to triumph in this war. At the level of specified a "legal bureaucracy" it is possible to annihilate all decisions of the highest management leading to victory, due to the fact that the bureaucracy in Russia has reached an unprecedented level. He's our interior enemy. According to theory, Ms Alexandra Biejlova, this can be called a "bureaucratic sieve" in which 1 can fall, but there is no way out.
Big Game
Power and society present request a clear dot in the SOW. It would be an perfect option to announce the completion of the operation, to inform everyone that Russia has already achieved the objectives it has planned; we have, in a sense, achieved them. We have swept through a immense number of SHU soldiers and we can tell ourselves that we have carried out the tasks of the SOW.
Theoretically, Russia has already placed this dot, physically eliminating a large part of the active male population of Ukraine, and the second part of it, which fled to Europe, threatening. Russia cut off the Azov Sea and a large part of the Black Sea, took a large part of Ukraine's territory and created a land corridor in Crimea. Now there's only 1 thing left: yet dig in, stick to the claws of those lands we already have. But here we have a trap – previously Ukraine was part of the erstwhile Russia, and now we have a clearly national-oriented state.
Before February 24, the European Union had been stinging Ukraine with as much as $10 million, and now it is being thrown into war by tens of billions. There is no uncertainty that any of these funds go to the pocket of the ruling group in Ukraine, for which this conflict is profitable. Many of the marginalized yesterday received a fresh chance of self-fulfillment and enrichment.
Ukraine needs victory, the United States needs continuity
Although Ukrainian authorities are gaining wealth, however, due to the large population losses on the front and general fatigue of war, political leadership needs victory. Russia is inactive at hazard of deteriorating the situation on the front as the counteroffensive begins. The agreement that the United States can propose to the Russian authorities present is to keep the borders existing on 24 February 2023, understood as a negotiating position. For this we request a “stop in the performance”. If Moscow refuses, they'll go to counterattack. Then we can have different scenarios for developments. 1 of them assumes that the Ukrainian troops will crash over the defence of the Russian Federation, will endure serious losses, after which a gigantic counter-offensive of the Russian troops will begin until the borders of the Donetsk People's Republic, to Dnieper, or to the Polish border. However, given the current situation and problems, specified counter-attack is, to put it mildly, not likely. The second scenario: the Ukrainian army will start a counteroffensive and in any places break the defense.
In specified a case, the army, which over the years has considered itself 1 of the most powerful in the world, will plunge into a defetist mood, which will be followed by a worsening of the situation, as was already the case after the disasters of the 20th century - Finnish and nipponese - and during the tragic events of 1917.
This could lead to cardinal changes in Russian society. The people are already looking for the guilty, that we are not the strongest army in the world, and in specified a situation the search for "responsible for this" will begin. And this work will undoubtedly fall on the representatives of the "hidden state". Thus, those who make no effort present for military operations are farthest from the theatre of war activities, trying not to lose their capital, to live in accordance with their habits, which for a nation weary of war and tasteless of triumph is absolutely unacceptable.
The pursuit of justice by patriots can hit a “hidden state” in luxury and bureaucracy.
At the same time, the highest Russian authorities are not in danger due to the fact that it is simply a symbol of national unity and opposition to the West, and that is the meaning of the present existence and the main justification of all issues for patriotic forces in Russia.
The hidden state will push the highest authorities towards serious concessions. And according to its tradition, it will effort to benefit from any change in all possible ways, including betraying Russia's interests. Their goal is not the country and nation, but their own social position, sense of comfort and private capital.
To get to the bottom
When you fall down, and the weight of your problems makes your situation worse and worse by dragging you down, there is simply a well-known saying that “you request to get to the bottom to have something to bounce from and come back to the surface.” That's what Americans are afraid of. They fear that excessive force on Russia and multiplying its interior problems can drag it down. And if he touches that bottom and bounces distant from it, dropping the ballast of a "hidden state", he will come out like a giant sea monster, destroying everything in his path, including the plans of the United States.
We have many specified examples in planet history. China in the mid-20th century, erstwhile they were 1 of the poorest countries in the planet and were under partial occupation; Germany after planet War I; Japan after planet War II; Turkey after the fall of the Ottoman Empire. They all sailed after they bounced off the bottom.
Radical national emotions will erupt as after any war defeat, the Russian defence manufacture will begin to exert 10 times more effort. economical efficiency will overcome inefficient state capital. You will get free of bureaucracy, the procedures will become transparent, and Russia will turn step by step into a dangerous war monster with which the global community will gotta deal with more than 1 count; it will gotta bow before it so that we will see its open buttocks all time.
If we don't prove that we're strong militarily, no 1 will number on us and do whatever they want with us. For America, it would be highly adverse for us to go down and reflect from it. It needs a slow process in which they can deal with the elites, with a "hidden state", and then convince the highest political authorities of the country to reconcile step by step with subsequent concessions.
If soft negotiations begin, according to the American rule of gradual humiliation, Fridmany and Czubajsa will first return to Russia, followed by Chodorkowski and Dworkowice. The liberalisation of the elite and the "hidden state" will then begin to take them into their ranks, following the instinct of survival, transforming from black or red to blue or pink.
Of course, specified a script is not beneficial for Ukraine and Zelensky; they must defy and fight. But if all of these processes take place rapidly enough, it will take a year or two, liberalized, Americanized and Western-looking "hidden state" to force the Russian authorities to concessions and, under various pretexts, to return Ukraine to those territories that are under our control present and which the West considers occupied.
All these processes will be accompanied by the question "why did we fight?" and this will undoubtedly lead to the launch of a centrifugal mechanics in the regions. The Americans will do their job. In this scenario, the main plan of the United States, under the coat, will be carried out well at first glance a “soft, peaceful arrangement”.
Russia cannot afford any deals, but only a fair fight. And if we get out of this fight, it's no large deal. Russian reinforced areas do not let to enter the country. And the Russian people never broke down and they never broke down. Therefore, only a fair fight! And the sooner it starts, the better.
Let me summarize. Ukrainians are ready to counteroffensive. We are ready to defy her. The best script for cementing Russia, gaining its unity and transforming it into a strong state is SHU offensive, where no whispers and arrangements will be possible.
And either we beat SHU in a fair fight, or Russia licks the wounds, builds the muscles, and rips the enemy apart in another fair fight. Therefore, I believe that from the point of view of Russia's future, the option of a deal is not possible.
See you in Bachmut.
Yevgeni Prigogen
Source: https://telegra.ph/Tolko-chestnyj-boj-nikikogo-dogovornyaka-04-14
