The latest United Surveys presidential poll for Virtual Poland brings crucial information about Poles' electoral preferences. Although Rafał Trzaskowski remains the leader, his advantage over Karol Nawrocki is inactive decreasing. Will the upcoming presidential run change these results?
Trzaskowski leader, but with little support
The survey shows that in the first circular of presidential elections Rafał Trzaskowski can number on 34.2% support. Although inactive in first place, his ratings dropped by 2 percent points compared to the December poll. The second position is taken by Karol Nawrocki with a consequence of 29 percent, which means an increase of 6.1 percent points in the same period. The difference between the 2 candidates is only 5.2 percent points.
In the second round, Trzaskowski could win 50.3% of the vote. This is, however, a score lower by almost 10 percent points compared to an earlier study. Nawrocks in this election phase would gain 44.5% support, indicating a dynamic increase in interest in his candidacy.
Other candidates far behind
Sławomir Mentzen ranks 3rd in the survey with a score of 13 percent. His support increased by 2.9 percent points compared to December. In turn, Szymon Hołownia, despite being the talker of the Sejm, recorded a decrease of 3.5 percent points, reaching a score of 6.7 percent.
New Left candidate Magdalena Biejat is supported by 4.6% of voters, which means a decrease of 1.2 percent points. Adrian Zandberg from the organization Together achieved a consequence of 1.5% of votes. The another candidates, specified as Marek Jakubiak and Piotr Szumlewicz, obtained 1.2 percent and 0.2 percent respectively. no of the respondents pointed to Mark Woch.
The number of undecided voters rising – presidential poll
One of the most crucial elements of the survey is the increase in the number of people who do not yet know who to vote for. In the January survey, 7.6 percent of respondents could not indicate their favorite, which means an increase of 2 percent points.
Read more: Are we going to break up the ruling coalition? There's a poll.
Study and policy context
The United Surveys survey was conducted on 10-12 January on a example of 1000 people by CATI and CAWI. The changing preferences of voters reflect not only the dynamics of the campaign, but besides the overall political situation in Poland. The decline in Trzaskowski's quotations and the emergence in Nawrocki's popularity propose intensifying competition between the 2 main candidates.
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